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Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘Even For Him’

August 22, 2020August 23, 2020

As expected, the US House on Saturday passed legislation barring the postal service from operational

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4 Comments on ‘Even For Him’

37%: A FAAMG Story

August 22, 2020August 22, 2020

On Saturday morning, I characterized the market as being defined by what amounts to “one

Read More

8 Comments on 378: A FAAMG Story

The Bubble That Never Pops (It’s Been One Trade For Half A Decade)

August 22, 2020August 22, 2020

“We are in a deep recession, yet the stock market has completely blown it off”,

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5 Comments on The Bubble That Never Pops (It’s Been One Trade For Half A Decade)

‘Extremely Highly Confident’

August 21, 2020August 22, 2020

“We intend for this package of tariff reductions to mark just the beginning of a

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2 Comments on ‘Extremely Highly Confident’

Value(less)

August 21, 2020August 24, 2020

It was only “right” that the week should end with another day of outperformance for

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6 Comments on Value(less)

After The Election, Whither King Dollar?

August 21, 2020

The dollar was on track for a weekly gain Friday, as the greenback rose in

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Leave a Comment on After The Election, Whither King Dollar?

Sheriffs

August 21, 2020August 21, 2020

Friday finds the world considering the prospect that America might manage to reestablish a functioning

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13 Comments on Sheriffs

‘Now Booming’: US Economy Gets Good News As Slow Week Grinds To A Close

August 21, 2020August 21, 2020

At least the PMIs are holding up. Following disappointing data out of Europe, where the

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6 Comments on ‘Now Booming’: US Economy Gets Good News As Slow Week Grinds To A Close

In Europe, ‘Fragility’ And ‘Doubt’ Creep Into Data

August 21, 2020August 21, 2020

The European recovery narrative, already under siege from an increasingly disconcerting uptick in coronavirus cases,

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Leave a Comment on In Europe, ‘Fragility’ And ‘Doubt’ Creep Into Data

Temple Of Doom

August 20, 2020August 21, 2020

I’d be remiss not to point out that the political circus in the US took

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6 Comments on Temple Of Doom

Top-Heavy, ‘Trillionaire’ Tech Rally Draws Jeers Ahead Of Big Gamma Roll-Off

August 20, 2020

Here we go again. It’s probably fair to say that the pro-cyclical rotation witnessed earlier

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2 Comments on Top-Heavy, ‘Trillionaire’ Tech Rally Draws Jeers Ahead Of Big Gamma Roll-Off

What’s Next For An Over-Leveraged Corporate America?

August 20, 2020

Much has been made over the past several months about the impact of massive debt

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2 Comments on What’s Next For An Over-Leveraged Corporate America?

Certainly, Certainly Not

August 20, 2020August 20, 2020

Two doesn’t make a trend, I suppose, but coming as it does after a miss

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9 Comments on Certainly, Certainly Not

Fed Didn’t ‘Exacerbate Moral Hazard’ With Treasury Market ‘Intervention’, Fed Finds

August 20, 2020August 20, 2020

By The New York Fed (via Liberty Street Economics) In response to disorderly market conditions

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3 Comments on Fed Didn’t ‘Exacerbate Moral Hazard’ With Treasury Market ‘Intervention’, Fed Finds

Jobless Claims Jump Back Above 1 Million In Bitter Disappointment

August 20, 2020August 20, 2020

Last week, initial US jobless claims fell below 1 million for the first time since

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Leave a Comment on Jobless Claims Jump Back Above 1 Million In Bitter Disappointment

Opaque

August 20, 2020August 20, 2020

The July FOMC minutes had an outsized impact on risk sentiment Thursday, as global equities

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3 Comments on Opaque

‘What’s Not There’

August 19, 2020August 20, 2020

The problem with the July Fed minutes is “what’s not there”, one rates trader said

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1 Comment on ‘What’s Not There’

Fed Minutes Sketch Contours Of Inflation Framework Change, New Forward Guidance

August 19, 2020August 19, 2020

If the Fed was hoping to stoke inflation expectations as part of a broader effort

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1 Comment on Fed Minutes Sketch Contours Of Inflation Framework Change, New Forward Guidance

$2 Trillin: A Job(s) Well Done

August 19, 2020August 19, 2020

The astounding surge in US stocks from the pandemic lows hit in late March marked

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7 Comments on $2 Trillin: A Job(s) Well Done

Morgan Stanley Has ‘Good News And Bad News’ On Central Bank ‘Dominance’

August 19, 2020August 19, 2020

Are central banks all that matter? Or, as Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wondered late last month,

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Leave a Comment on Morgan Stanley Has ‘Good News And Bad News’ On Central Bank ‘Dominance’

Target CEO: Correlation Not Causation When It Comes To Free Money And Shopping

August 19, 2020August 19, 2020

“It’s hard to understand what’s going to happen next week, let alone three or four

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6 Comments on Target CEO: Correlation Not Causation When It Comes To Free Money And Shopping

Decay, Dollars, And Downward Spiraling Death Stars

August 19, 2020August 19, 2020

There was talk Wednesday of a “trimmed down” stimulus plan in Washington, where Democrats and

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9 Comments on Decay, Dollars, And Downward Spiraling Death Stars

While Rome Burned

August 18, 2020August 19, 2020

Under heavy political fire, postmaster general (and Trump donor) Louis DeJoy promised on Tuesday to

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3 Comments on While Rome Burned

Walmart To Washington: When The Free Money Ran Out, The Spending Dropped

August 18, 2020

“Stimulus was definitely impactful to the consumer in the second quarter, and we’re watching what’s

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2 Comments on Walmart To Washington: When The Free Money Ran Out, The Spending Dropped

‘Two Weeks Of Calm’ And What’s Next For Stocks, Bonds, And Gold

August 18, 2020

The last two weeks of August will likely witness stabilization in the US rates space

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Leave a Comment on ‘Two Weeks Of Calm’ And What’s Next For Stocks, Bonds, And Gold

51% Later, Half-Trillion In AUM Admits We’re Probably In A Bull Market

August 18, 2020August 18, 2020

It took a while, but participants in BofA’s closely-watched Global Fund Manager survey finally acquiesced.

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5 Comments on 515 Later, Half-Trillion In AUM Admits We’re Probably In A Bull Market

Just When You Thought It Was Safe

August 18, 2020

New coronavirus cases in Germany jumped the most since April, underscoring fears that Europe is

Read More

2 Comments on Just When You Thought It Was Safe

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • hackpoet on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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