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Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Markets

Deus Ex Machina?

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026
  • Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026
  • Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

    November 2, 2026November 4, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026

economy

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Nailed it. Sort of. What was it I said in this week’s macro preview about

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1 Comment on Drunken Monkey Darts

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Ok, so November 5, 2026, was obviously a disaster on Wall Street. I mean, not

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6 Comments on On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

It worked until it didn’t. For most of 2026, and particularly post-Iran war onset, the

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4 Comments on Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

With the end of the Trump era comes the end of the AI/data center grift,

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27 Comments on Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Somebody check TruthSocial. Donald Trump’s propaganda machine might’ve made a new poster to celebrate the

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1 Comment on US Jobless Claims Chase History

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

In this week’s macro preview, I described Thursday’s Challenger report as a “now or never”

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Leave a Comment on ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

“Unless the conflict in the Middle East is resolved,” it “seems” like the Bank of

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Leave a Comment on Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

Deus Ex Machina?

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Hey, um, “The Capex Catch-22“, an article published here on Tuesday afternoon, was an election

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5 Comments on Deus Ex Machina?

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Well damn. I was countin’ on that $5,000. I was gonna buy a Louis Flaneur

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44 Comments on Tsunami

Irrepressible

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

You can’t keep it down. Naive hopes for a return to democratic normalcy and starry-eyed,

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7 Comments on Irrepressible

In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

It’s all about politics on Wednesday, but if you care about the macro, the ADP

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1 Comment on In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

The Capex Catch-22

November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Free cash flow. It’s all about free cash flow. Or, more to the point, lack

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10 Comments on The Capex Catch-22

Someone’s Got Work For You

November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Jobs. They’re out there if you want ’em. Allegedly. According to Tuesday’s only notable US

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4 Comments on Someone’s Got Work For You

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

“Mr. Market,” who Benjamin Graham famously described as “cray-cray” (that’s not exactly how he put

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Leave a Comment on Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 4, 2026

For the first time, I’m starting to wonder if hyper-scaler management might’ve lost the plot

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22 Comments on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026

Apple on Monday reported higher-than-expected overall sales during John Ternus’s first quarter at the helm.

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7 Comments on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026

Ok, whaddawe got goin’ on here, some macro I have to cover? Choices, choices. Tempting

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15 Comments on Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026

Everybody relax, Mike Wilson says it’s gonna be ok. That’s sarcasm, obviously, but if you

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9 Comments on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

This week, Americans will pretend they still have a say in who governs them, and

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71 Comments on Let’s Talk Blue Waves

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

The marquee event this week is obviously the US midterms. You can read my (deliberately

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Leave a Comment on Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026

Nobody likes to hear “I told you so,” even when it comes from someone, in

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17 Comments on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026November 2, 2026

Investors are genuinely concerned that these companies are in the midst of destroying some of

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13 Comments on The Problem, In A Nutshell…

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

Alphabet was on track Friday for its worst week since March of 2020, during the

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10 Comments on What’s What And WTF?

Oil, Dammit!

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

Oil, goddammit! Oil. I remember chatting about it (oil) early in 2020 with a guy

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14 Comments on Oil, Dammit!

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

I’m (not) rich   “All’s well that ends well. I mean, I’m rich now. So

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14 Comments on The Arbitrageur

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

Cue the Ren & Stimpy horse: “No sir, I don’t like it.” Amazon said after

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8 Comments on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

I’m not going to pretend any of you care about Christine Lagarde’s “early” exit from

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6 Comments on Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Blognonymous on Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding
  • derek on Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding
  • John3D on Drunken Monkey Darts
  • Brian Bretz on On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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