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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026

On Tuesday, I asked ChatGPT to draw for me a new version of an old

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Leave a Comment on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

September 22, 2026

Remember: It’s only a buyer’s market if you can afford to buy. US home prices

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Leave a Comment on WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

September 22, 2026

If Iran’s allowed to rebuild, they could “create a far greater country” than they’ve ever

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9 Comments on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Hope, like oil, floats. Brent was on track Tuesday for a fifth consecutive decline amid

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5 Comments on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 21, 2026

Here’s a notable statistic: A quarter of this year’s blockbuster earnings growth for semiconductors is

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4 Comments on There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026

No one who participated in the FOMC’s latest macro forecasting exercise viewed risks to the

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Leave a Comment on The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026

“Wiiiiiilssoooon!!!” I can’t do it. Not anymore. I can’t start a Mike Wilson article without

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1 Comment on Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026

Over the weekend, while editorializing for the nth time in 10 years about equities’ pain

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4 Comments on Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Donald Trump will host his “good friend” Xi Jinping in Washington this week for a

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5 Comments on A King In Washington

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

If you thought it couldn’t get any worse for the CDU in Germany following the

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3 Comments on Achtung Baby

What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

How high can bond yields go before stocks “notice”? That question feels terribly clichéd if

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4 Comments on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 64?

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

“No soup for you!” Sorry, I couldn’t resist. If you don’t immediately get the joke,

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12 Comments on The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Jesus Christ, maybe I should sell something and buy in Nashville. My aversion to country

Read More

8 Comments on Who’s Coming To Nashville?

Weekly: The Counterfactual

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

As a general rule, macro-market snark tends towards the conspiratorial only as it relates to

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11 Comments on Weekly: The Counterfactual

‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

The yen plunged on Friday despite the most hawkish Bank of Japan meeting in living

Read More

5 Comments on ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

Relief

September 17, 2026September 19, 2026

I suppose Kevin Warsh and Scott Bessent, if not Donald Trump, got what they were

Read More

8 Comments on Relief

A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

September 17, 2026September 19, 2026

There was good news and bad news in Thursday’s update on residential construction in America.

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3 Comments on A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

Below 200k. Again.

September 17, 2026September 18, 2026

Oh, look: US jobless claims are back below 200,000. In an ostensibly auspicious development for

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5 Comments on Below 200k. Again.

Holding Pattern

September 17, 2026September 18, 2026

The sooner elevated energy costs recede, the better. If the war-driven increase in crude and

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2 Comments on Holding Pattern

‘The Plain Fact’

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

“The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long,”

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17 Comments on ‘The Plain Fact’

Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

The Fed raised rates on Wednesday, thank God. I say “thank God” because a Fed

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9 Comments on Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

How Crack Spread Reflexivity Kills The Equity Bull Market

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Crack. It kills. It’s also a high margin business. Not that I’d know. Currently, crack’s

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8 Comments on How Crack Spread Reflexivity Kills The Equity Bull Market

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Homebuilder sentiment remained in the dumps early this month, according to the September installment of

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2 Comments on Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

Bolstered By Stock Gains, Americans Keep Spending

September 16, 2026September 16, 2026

The Fed needn’t worry about the US consumer when it comes to debating the merits

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3 Comments on Bolstered By Stock Gains, Americans Keep Spending

Trump’s ‘Achilles Heel’ May Raise Odds Of Energy Export Ban

September 15, 2026September 17, 2026

Blame China. No, seriously. If you’re vexed by triple-digit crude and you need another scapegoat

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10 Comments on Trump’s ‘Achilles Heel’ May Raise Odds Of Energy Export Ban

‘Disorderly’ Bonds Are Biggest Tail Risk As Pros Doubt ‘The House’

September 15, 2026September 16, 2026

“The House” won’t win. Not this time. According to nearly 200 fund managers who participated

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Leave a Comment on ‘Disorderly’ Bonds Are Biggest Tail Risk As Pros Doubt ‘The House’

Warsh Behind The Curve Already, Fund Managers Say

September 15, 2026September 16, 2026

The Fed’s behind the curve. That was one message from the September vintage of BofA’s

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8 Comments on Warsh Behind The Curve Already, Fund Managers Say

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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