Oil Bulls Have One Last Hope: The Journalist Contrarian Indicator
“Journalists (including myself) are writing lots of bearish headlines — is that a sign that oil is about to rally?”
Wall Street Journal Calls Trump A Twitter “Troll,” Says Maybe You Can’t Trust Him
“The episode is further proof that the biggest obstacle to an effective Trump Presidency is Mr. Trump.”
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After “Fat Finger” “Muppet” Crash, Goldman Says Gold Is Good Hedge For Equities
“Our commodity team’s view is gold at $1250/oz over 12 months as higher real rates from Fed tightening could put further pressure on gold, but this may be offset by 3 things”…
It Did “Happen Here” – Now How Can Republicans Fix It?
“Trump has turned out to be far, far worse than I imagined. He has instituted policies so right wing they make Ronald Reagan, for whom I worked, look like a liberal Democrat.”
Is A “Stubbornly Hawkish” Fed Trying To Fucking Kill Us, Or What?
“Yet, unfazed by the roll-over in activity and inflation and lower growth expectations, the Fed and the PBOC are sticking to a stubbornly hawkish path. Tighter money at a time of weaker activity poses deflationary risks and a spill-over into the real economy.”
The Third Mandate Is Official – And “It’s Stunning” That You Don’t See It
“This morning, at a speech at the BIS Annual General Meeting, Bill Dudley came right out and stated unequivocally that the Federal Reserve was targeting financial conditions.”
Financials ETF Suffered Third Largest Outflow Since Election On Friday
“Stressed” out?
The Algo Wars Are Real: Inside The Pentagon’s “Algorithmic-Warfare Team”
“The Team has been assigned to consolidate “existing algorithm-based technology initiatives related to mission areas of the Defense Intelligence Enterprise.” That remit expressly includes “all initiatives that develop, employ, or field artificial intelligence, automation, machine learning, deep learning, and computer vision algorithms.”
“Fatalistic” Markets Give In To Summer Lull, Crude Chaos, Washington “Horror Show”
“In fact it’s odd how fatalistic people seem to be. We used to furiously debate where and when we’d find the canary in the coal mine warning of an imminent market reversal to pounce on. Now, there seems to be blanket resignation that the trend is your master.”
We’re Devolving: “It Used To Be That Politics Only Trumped Econ In Emerging Markets – Not Anymore”
“Yet, the chart which struck me as most relevant in the whole thing showed how market response to either Fed or ECB meetings has become calmer and calmer, whereas the response to the three major G7 political events of the last year (and a bit) has been so dramatic.”
“No One Has A Clue”: Markets Baffled By Monday’s Gold Flash Crash
“No-one has a clue, apart from the unfortunate individual that pressed the wrong button.”
Gold Flash Crashes, “Jubilant” Germans, And Bank Bailouts
Well, gold plunged $18 in seconds on surging volume (18k contracts in a one-minute window) for no apparent reason, falling from 1,253 to test 1,236, the 200-DMA at around 4 a.m. EST. That’s being chalked up to a “fat finger,” and the follow through for the dollar and yields was readily apparent, with Treasurys diving…
Key Calls (Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
You need an upgrade.
3 C’s: Crude, Carry, CPI And Your Full Week Ahead Preview
Ok, so it’s Sunday which, as we’re fond of reminding you, means that tomorrow will be Monday – right up until Trump does something that takes the whole of idea of there being a “tomorrow” off the table…
A Brief History Of The Next 30 Years
“Capitalism is exiting the historical scene. However, before it disappears, capitalism will continue to inhabit the world of undead.”
Reality Check: Rolling Back Globalization Is A Really Stupid Idea
“But rolling back globalisation would be as foolhardy as rolling back technological change.”
