Wherever I Lay My Hat
I suppose this goes without saying, but the highest US mortgage rates in a year
Warsh And War Undermine American Dream
Remember when Scott Bessent and Donald Trump were going to “focus on the 10-year Treasury
Manufacturing > Services?
The marquee gauge of activity in the biggest part of the world’s largest economy suggested
US Private Hiring Cools Sharply, Pay Gap Widens
Private sector hiring in the US decelerated sharply in July even as employers added jobs
Space Is To SpaceX What The Metaverse Is To Meta
A company which, according to itself, has identified the “largest addressable market in human history,”
Lazarus On Biker Speed
The equities right-tail (i.e., crash-up risk) was back in play on Wall Street, where US
Who Wants A Job?
Total job openings across the world’s largest economy fell the most in months, even as
‘It’s The Earnings, Stupid’
US equities were a hair’s breadth from setting new records early this week. If you’re
About The Yen…
Like everything else to do with Washington these days, the Trump administration’s effort to help
US Manufacturing Gets Best Health Check In Four Years
The 2026 expansion across America’s formerly beset manufacturing sector broadened meaningfully in July, the first
Strait Management
Long-end bond yields need another dramatic escalation in the Mideast about like they need more
Summer Jobs
It’s jobs week in America. Who’s excited?! Nobody. Nobody’s excited. Because it’s the first week
‘Moron Risk’
And I thought I was a harsh critic. In the wake of Kevin Warsh’s botched
Weekly: Warsh’s Instant Credibility Crisis
What’d we learn this week? Three things, I reckon. First, we learned markets don’t necessarily
Ken Griffin Saves Genius From Himself
It’s the same story every time. That makes it not only less interesting for me,
In South Korea, Total Madness
“Daddy needs a new pair of shoes!” I tried, but I couldn’t conjure a fresh
Amazon Beats On AWS ‘Boom,’ Apple Results Marred By China ‘Miss’
Large numbers. Amazon raked in more than $200 billion in net sales during the second
Warsh, Apologists Suddenly Unsure About This ‘Mr. Market’ Fellow
Told you so. I told you he wasn’t credible, and now the market’s telling you the
Old, Good News
Underlying price growth on the Fed’s preferred inflation metric decelerated sharply in June from the
Underlying Demand Very Strong, US GDP Report Suggests
The US economy expanded at a slower-than-expected pace in the second quarter, as net trade
Warsh Asked Markets To Speak. He Didn’t Like What He Heard
“Collegial and constructive.” That’s how Kevin Warsh described this week’s FOMC meeting while regaling reporters
Microsoft Beats With Azure, Meta Underwhelms With Sales Guide
Microsoft beat estimates for overall revenue and reported the fastest cloud growth in four years
Warsh Holds Rates In Riven FOMC Nail-Biter
The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday, as expected. “As expected” needs a giant asterisk.
Mideast Melee Rekindled
“Many important subjects were discussed” when Donald Trump met at The White House early this
Chip Boom Risks Becoming Financial Crisis For South Korea
Now it’s getting really ugly. Shares of SK Hynix, which had already halved from their
Warsh, Trump And The Case For 50
Ahead of this week’s FOMC meeting, allow me to reiterate my deeply-held view that a
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