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Featured

Kharg In The Crosshairs

March 14, 2026March 14, 2026
  • Weekly: War Comes To The US Front-End

    March 13, 2026March 13, 2026
  • Mideast Wars, High Gas Prices Still Unpopular (Who Knew?)

    March 13, 2026March 13, 2026
  • Iran Oil Blowback Has World Over A Barrel

    March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

politics

‘The Caravan Of Martyrs’

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026
  • The Tankers Are On Fire

    March 12, 2026March 13, 2026
  • Mines And Mischief

    March 11, 2026March 12, 2026
  • Peace Through Fire And Fury

    March 10, 2026March 11, 2026
  • Iran War ‘Very Complete.’ ‘Pretty Much’

    March 9, 2026March 10, 2026

Markets

Stocks In War

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026
  • Market Derelict On Oil Inflation Risk, Albert Edwards Says

    March 12, 2026March 13, 2026
  • Two Crazy Charts And A Wildly Bullish Backtest

    March 11, 2026March 12, 2026
  • Will Oracle’s Cloud Growth Stanch The Bleeding?

    March 10, 2026March 11, 2026
  • Canaries And Eye Candy From Inside The AI Bubble

    March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

Duly Noted+

Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Measure Hit Multi-Year High Before War

March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Economy

US Economy Gets Sharp Downgrade In Stagflationary GDP Update

March 13, 2026March 14, 2026

Cool Inflation Report Is Old News In Hot War

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

In US Housing, A Faint Pulse. But That’s It.

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

Kharg In The Crosshairs

March 14, 2026March 14, 2026

Donald Trump’s a “decent” guy. That’s according to the man himself who, while detailing the

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12 Comments on Kharg In The Crosshairs

Weekly: War Comes To The US Front-End

March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

The war came home for America this week. Not in the form of any actual

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5 Comments on Weekly: War Comes To The US Front-End

Mideast Wars, High Gas Prices Still Unpopular (Who Knew?)

March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

Consumer sentiment among American households might’ve improved again this month were it not for the

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5 Comments on Mideast Wars, High Gas Prices Still Unpopular (Who Knew?)

Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Measure Hit Multi-Year High Before War

March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

Core inflation in the US ran the fastest in nearly two years to start 2026,

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3 Comments on Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Measure Hit Multi-Year High Before War

US Economy Gets Sharp Downgrade In Stagflationary GDP Update

March 13, 2026March 14, 2026

The US economy expanded at just half the initially-reported pace in Q4, the BEA said

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1 Comment on US Economy Gets Sharp Downgrade In Stagflationary GDP Update

Iran Oil Blowback Has World Over A Barrel

March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

Don’t read The New York Times. That was Donald Trump’s advice to Americans as the

Read More

11 Comments on Iran Oil Blowback Has World Over A Barrel

Stocks In War

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

In light of Mojtaba Khamenei’s avowed determination to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed in

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10 Comments on Stocks In War

Market Derelict On Oil Inflation Risk, Albert Edwards Says

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

If you ask the sell-side’s most famous bear, the bond market’s insufficiently attentive to inflation

Read More

6 Comments on Market Derelict On Oil Inflation Risk, Albert Edwards Says

‘The Caravan Of Martyrs’

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

Apples and trees. The former don’t generally land too far afield of the latter. Mojtaba

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5 Comments on ‘The Caravan Of Martyrs’

The Tankers Are On Fire

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

The front pages were ablaze Thursday with video of burning tankers off the coast of

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18 Comments on The Tankers Are On Fire

Two Crazy Charts And A Wildly Bullish Backtest

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Wanna see something crazy?! When it’s me asking, you can safely answer in the emphatic

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3 Comments on Two Crazy Charts And A Wildly Bullish Backtest

Mines And Mischief

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

The regime in Tehran’s good at three things. Network-building (through proxy cultivation, influence-buying and opportunistic

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15 Comments on Mines And Mischief

Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Earlier this week, in “Where’s The Iran War Stock Crash?,” I highlighted the disparity between,

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Leave a Comment on Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens

Cool Inflation Report Is Old News In Hot War

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Wednesday’s US inflation update from the outfit formerly known as the world’s preeminent statistical organization

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Leave a Comment on Cool Inflation Report Is Old News In Hot War

Will Oracle’s Cloud Growth Stanch The Bleeding?

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

In the normal course of things, I wouldn’t dedicate special coverage to Oracle’s earnings release.

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1 Comment on Will Oracle’s Cloud Growth Stanch The Bleeding?

Canaries And Eye Candy From Inside The AI Bubble

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

How crucial are AI investment and AI-enabled cloud services to overall corporate profit growth in

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2 Comments on Canaries And Eye Candy From Inside The AI Bubble

In US Housing, A Faint Pulse. But That’s It.

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

Well whaddya know, the resale US housing market evidenced a pulse in Tuesday’s update on

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Leave a Comment on In US Housing, A Faint Pulse. But That’s It.

Peace Through Fire And Fury

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

“Have you said ‘thank you’ once?” to quote America’s humble, Appalachia-raised, blue-collar vice president, who

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3 Comments on Peace Through Fire And Fury

Iran War ‘Very Complete.’ ‘Pretty Much’

March 9, 2026March 10, 2026

Blink and you missed it. Hope you bought the dip. “I think the war is

Read More

20 Comments on Iran War ‘Very Complete.’ ‘Pretty Much’

Remember AI?

March 9, 2026March 10, 2026

Remember AI and all the attendant debates and dramas? There was the capex question and

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4 Comments on Remember AI?

Where’s The Iran War Stock Crash?

March 9, 2026March 10, 2026

“Stocks should be down more.” That’s something you might’ve heard in this week’s earliest US

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3 Comments on Where’s The Iran War Stock Crash?

‘Only Fools’

March 9, 2026March 10, 2026

When things get chaotic — when down is up, white is black and day is

Read More

6 Comments on ‘Only Fools’

With Mojtaba Khamenei, The Revolution Becomes What It Overthrew

March 8, 2026March 9, 2026

The Revolution overthrew a hereditary monarchy. 47 years later, it became one. Early Monday, Iran’s

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11 Comments on With Mojtaba Khamenei, The Revolution Becomes What It Overthrew

The Sun Grew Black As Sackcloth, The Moon Became Like Blood

March 8, 2026March 9, 2026

Israel and, at least by association, the US, are now targeting Iran’s civilian infrastructure. Dark

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19 Comments on The Sun Grew Black As Sackcloth, The Moon Became Like Blood

Traders Get Inflation Double-Header In Fog Of War

March 8, 2026March 10, 2026

It’s inflation week in the US. If you ask me, risks around updates on the

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2 Comments on Traders Get Inflation Double-Header In Fog Of War

Weekly: Déjà Vu

March 7, 2026March 9, 2026

2022 called. It wants its geostrategic macro zeitgeist back. If you felt the discomfiting twinge

Read More

2 Comments on Weekly: Déjà Vu

This Could Get Ugly…

March 6, 2026March 8, 2026

Earlier this week, while editorializing around Donald Trump’s ad hoc announcement that the US government’s

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31 Comments on This Could Get Ugly…

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Monthly Letter+

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Monthly Letters

42

March 6, 2026March 6, 2026

Resignation

January 30, 2026January 30, 2026

The Noriega Analogue

January 3, 2026January 3, 2026

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