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Featured

The AI Boom Just Lost Its Banker

November 12, 2026November 12, 2026
  • I’ll Have The Roasted Dove, Please

    November 12, 2026November 12, 2026
  • Nvidia Crisis Crescendoes As Huang Ousted, Alibaba Plunges

    November 12, 2026November 12, 2026
  • Huang Kiss Goodnight

    November 11, 2026November 11, 2026

Markets

‘We Are So Back!’ Shouted The Semis

November 11, 2026November 12, 2026
  • Anthropic IPO: What To Know

    November 11, 2026November 12, 2026
  • Let’s Get ‘Mechanical’ About This

    November 10, 2026November 11, 2026
  • ‘Vol Cubed’ Explodes, Eclipsing ‘Even Volmageddon’

    November 10, 2026November 11, 2026
  • Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

    November 9, 2026November 10, 2026

economy

‘We’ve Got A Real Issue On Our Hands,’ Emboldened Fed Exclaims

November 11, 2026November 12, 2026
  • Trial Balloon

    November 10, 2026November 11, 2026
  • He’s An Importer-Exporter, Okay?

    November 10, 2026November 11, 2026
  • The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

    November 9, 2026November 10, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 10, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

The AI Boom Just Lost Its Banker

November 12, 2026November 12, 2026

On November 11, while editorializing around Jensen Huang’s dramatic personal and professional denouement, I suggested

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14 Comments on The AI Boom Just Lost Its Banker

I’ll Have The Roasted Dove, Please

November 12, 2026November 12, 2026

Meanwhile, in US rates. Lost in wall-to-wall coverage of the Jensen Huang drama Thursday was

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3 Comments on I’ll Have The Roasted Dove, Please

Nvidia Crisis Crescendoes As Huang Ousted, Alibaba Plunges

November 12, 2026November 12, 2026

Earlier this week, the Financial Times identified Alibaba as an “anchor customer” for Megaspeed, the

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17 Comments on Nvidia Crisis Crescendoes As Huang Ousted, Alibaba Plunges

Huang Kiss Goodnight

November 11, 2026November 11, 2026

“Oh, Jensen, I lahv your ledder jacket!” That’s what Alice might’ve said. “You should see

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24 Comments on Huang Kiss Goodnight

‘We Are So Back!’ Shouted The Semis

November 11, 2026November 12, 2026

“To hell with Jensen Huang and his spyin’ mistress. Who needs ’em, anyway?” So shouted

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12 Comments on ‘We Are So Back!’ Shouted The Semis

‘We’ve Got A Real Issue On Our Hands,’ Emboldened Fed Exclaims

November 11, 2026November 12, 2026

Austan Goolsbee’s worried. About inflation. Which gives him something, at least, in common with the

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2 Comments on ‘We’ve Got A Real Issue On Our Hands,’ Emboldened Fed Exclaims

Anthropic IPO: What To Know

November 11, 2026November 12, 2026

Circus. That’s one word (probably the best one) to describe Anthropic’s IPO roadshow, which launched

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6 Comments on Anthropic IPO: What To Know

Let’s Get ‘Mechanical’ About This

November 10, 2026November 11, 2026

Stocks have been movin’ around more lately. Maybe you noticed. Late last month, US equities

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3 Comments on Let’s Get ‘Mechanical’ About This

‘Vol Cubed’ Explodes, Eclipsing ‘Even Volmageddon’

November 10, 2026November 11, 2026

Buckle up. That, in a nutshell, was the message on Tuesday from Nomura’s Charlie McElligott,

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4 Comments on ‘Vol Cubed’ Explodes, Eclipsing ‘Even Volmageddon’

Trial Balloon

November 10, 2026November 11, 2026

In this week’s macro preview, I derided economists, which is par for the course in

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10 Comments on Trial Balloon

He’s An Importer-Exporter, Okay?

November 10, 2026November 11, 2026

Vandelay Industries put up some big trade numbers on Tuesday. On a monthly basis, China’s

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2 Comments on He’s An Importer-Exporter, Okay?

The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

November 9, 2026November 10, 2026

By Aleksandar Kocic They were driven mad by their riches (P. P. Njegoš) Strange days.

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22 Comments on The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

November 9, 2026November 10, 2026

Buy the dip. That’s what they were doing on Wall Street Monday. I don’t know

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9 Comments on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

November 9, 2026November 10, 2026

Has anyone checked on breakevens since the election? That’s a joke. I mean, US rates

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Leave a Comment on What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

November 9, 2026November 10, 2026

What did Jensen know about Alice, and when? Hopefully, the answer to the first question’s

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32 Comments on Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

So he might’ve slept with a Chinese spy. Who among us, right? I don’t know

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24 Comments on Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

A plainly reeling Donald Trump’s circling the wagons and tossing Hail Marys following one of

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28 Comments on Rasputin Presiding

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

It’s inflation week in the US and you know what that means: Disgruntled Americans will

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Leave a Comment on Inflation Week!

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 9, 2026

When the dust settled following Democrats’ historic midterm election sweep (and I’m by no means

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8 Comments on Weekly: Melodrama

‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026

The blue tsunami was a game-changer. A zeitgeist-altering, narrative-shifting force of electoral nature, after which

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16 Comments on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026

Nearly six in 10 respondents to the most respected consumer sentiment survey in America “spontaneously”

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5 Comments on Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026

Nailed it. Sort of. What was it I said in this week’s macro preview about

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3 Comments on Drunken Monkey Darts

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Ok, so November 5, 2026, was obviously a disaster on Wall Street. I mean, not

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6 Comments on On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

It worked until it didn’t. For most of 2026, and particularly post-Iran war onset, the

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4 Comments on Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

With the end of the Trump era comes the end of the AI/data center grift,

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35 Comments on Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Somebody check TruthSocial. Donald Trump’s propaganda machine might’ve made a new poster to celebrate the

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1 Comment on US Jobless Claims Chase History

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

In this week’s macro preview, I described Thursday’s Challenger report as a “now or never”

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Leave a Comment on ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • SelmaPete on Nvidia Crisis Crescendoes As Huang Ousted, Alibaba Plunges
  • T-Dog on I’ll Have The Roasted Dove, Please
  • derek on Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)
  • derek on I’ll Have The Roasted Dove, Please

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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