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Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

January 17, 2026January 17, 2026
  • Did Trump Just Announce The Next Fed Chair?

    January 16, 2026January 16, 2026
  • Builder Mood Worsens As Down Payment Burden Sidelines Home Buyers

    January 16, 2026
  • Trump Will Force Big-Tech To Subsidize Expensive Power Bills

    January 16, 2026January 16, 2026

Markets

How Scary Is The Ramp-Up In Tech Sector Debt?

January 15, 2026January 17, 2026
  • AI Capex Spree Points To Lower Returns On Capital

    January 15, 2026January 16, 2026
  • Goldman’s Equities Traders, Morgan’s Debt Bankers Make It Rain

    January 15, 2026January 16, 2026
  • Bank Of America’s Fine, In Case You Were Wondering

    January 14, 2026January 15, 2026
  • McElligott Explains Why Stocks Don’t Care About Powell Drama

    January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

politics

For The Islamic Republic, It’s All Over But The Crying

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026
  • Greenland’s Future May Be ‘Sovereignty Twilight’

    January 13, 2026January 14, 2026
  • Trump Has World On Tenterhooks Again As Iran Strike Rumors Swirl

    January 12, 2026January 13, 2026
  • First They Came For Jay…

    January 12, 2026January 13, 2026
  • Facing Criminal Indictment, Powell Finally Stands Up To Trump

    January 11, 2026January 13, 2026

Duly Noted+

Jobless Claims Don’t Want To Hear Your Recession Narrative

January 15, 2026January 15, 2026

US Housing Perks Up As Industry Debates Trump’s GSE Gambit

January 14, 2026

Economy

A Word On Donald Trump’s Credit Card Crusade

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

US Retail Sales Solid, Wholesale Prices Benign

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus Papers Over Deflation Crisis

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

January 17, 2026January 17, 2026

The never-ending rally in gold’s no different from any other phenomenon in being unamenable to

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5 Comments on Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

Did Trump Just Announce The Next Fed Chair?

January 16, 2026January 16, 2026

Donald Trump may spare us the humiliation of Fed Chair Kevin Hassett. As recently as

Read More

3 Comments on Did Trump Just Announce The Next Fed Chair?

Builder Mood Worsens As Down Payment Burden Sidelines Home Buyers

January 16, 2026

Forlorn US homebuilders weren’t feeling any better about their plight as 2026 dawned. The last

Read More

6 Comments on Builder Mood Worsens As Down Payment Burden Sidelines Home Buyers

Trump Will Force Big-Tech To Subsidize Expensive Power Bills

January 16, 2026January 16, 2026

By every outward appearance, Donald Trump’s very concerned about his inflation polling headed into the

Read More

9 Comments on Trump Will Force Big-Tech To Subsidize Expensive Power Bills

How Scary Is The Ramp-Up In Tech Sector Debt?

January 15, 2026January 17, 2026

Investors harbor a veritable obsession with hyper-scaler capex and for good reason. As discussed here

Read More

4 Comments on How Scary Is The Ramp-Up In Tech Sector Debt?

AI Capex Spree Points To Lower Returns On Capital

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

Get ready for lower returns on capital from the largest, most important companies on the

Read More

4 Comments on AI Capex Spree Points To Lower Returns On Capital

Jobless Claims Don’t Want To Hear Your Recession Narrative

January 15, 2026January 15, 2026

Jobless claims: They’re low in the US. And that’s an understatement. With the caveat that

Read More

3 Comments on Jobless Claims Don’t Want To Hear Your Recession Narrative

Goldman’s Equities Traders, Morgan’s Debt Bankers Make It Rain

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

Goldman’s equities traders did some trading last quarter. Notwithstanding a slight miss to consensus when

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2 Comments on Goldman’s Equities Traders, Morgan’s Debt Bankers Make It Rain

A Word On Donald Trump’s Credit Card Crusade

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

The handwringing over Donald Trump’s credit card interest rate cap looks overdone and comically so.

Read More

15 Comments on A Word On Donald Trump’s Credit Card Crusade

US Housing Perks Up As Industry Debates Trump’s GSE Gambit

January 14, 2026

A “tough” year for the resale US housing market ended on a high note, data

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Leave a Comment on US Housing Perks Up As Industry Debates Trump’s GSE Gambit

For The Islamic Republic, It’s All Over But The Crying

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

Iran would hate to have to pretend to shoot at US troops again, but they

Read More

11 Comments on For The Islamic Republic, It’s All Over But The Crying

US Retail Sales Solid, Wholesale Prices Benign

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

The Census Bureau finally got around to tallying US retail sales for November which is,

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Leave a Comment on US Retail Sales Solid, Wholesale Prices Benign

Bank Of America’s Fine, In Case You Were Wondering

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

Brian Moynihan, like Jamie Dimon, is bullish on the US economy. He said as much

Read More

Leave a Comment on Bank Of America’s Fine, In Case You Were Wondering

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus Papers Over Deflation Crisis

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

The final numbers are in. When it was all said and done for 2025, China’s

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1 Comment on China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus Papers Over Deflation Crisis

McElligott Explains Why Stocks Don’t Care About Powell Drama

January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

If you’re old enough to remember 2018, the year Jerome Powell took the reins at

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6 Comments on McElligott Explains Why Stocks Don’t Care About Powell Drama

Greenland’s Future May Be ‘Sovereignty Twilight’

January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

Early this week, a piece appeared in Foreign Affairs called “How Greenland Falls.” It’s by

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2 Comments on Greenland’s Future May Be ‘Sovereignty Twilight’

US Employers Were Hiring As The Calendar Flipped

January 13, 2026January 13, 2026

Another week, another decent read on a high-frequency proxy for private payroll growth in the

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Leave a Comment on US Employers Were Hiring As The Calendar Flipped

BLS Hands Trump Decent Inflation Report

January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

Well whaddya know, core inflation in the US was cooler than expected last month. Fancy

Read More

9 Comments on BLS Hands Trump Decent Inflation Report

Dimon Upbeat On US Economy As JPMorgan Tops Estimates

January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings in the US on Tuesday with a set of

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1 Comment on Dimon Upbeat On US Economy As JPMorgan Tops Estimates

Trump Has World On Tenterhooks Again As Iran Strike Rumors Swirl

January 12, 2026January 13, 2026

On the off chance anyone’s interested in JD Vance’s opinion, America’s vice president isn’t convinced

Read More

2 Comments on Trump Has World On Tenterhooks Again As Iran Strike Rumors Swirl

First They Came For Jay…

January 12, 2026January 13, 2026

As any long-time reader can attest, I spent years (literally) warning on the clear and

Read More

14 Comments on First They Came For Jay…

‘Mark Z’ Taps Trump-Endorsed ‘Goldman Diplomat’ To Head AI Buildout

January 12, 2026January 13, 2026

Dina Powell McCormick’s “uniquely suited to help Meta manage [its] next phase of growth.” She’s

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Leave a Comment on ‘Mark Z’ Taps Trump-Endorsed ‘Goldman Diplomat’ To Head AI Buildout

Potential Powell Indictment Casts Pall Over Inflation Data

January 12, 2026January 12, 2026

To the extent the Trump administration’s concerned about restoring the market’s faith in the reliability

Read More

6 Comments on Potential Powell Indictment Casts Pall Over Inflation Data

Facing Criminal Indictment, Powell Finally Stands Up To Trump

January 11, 2026January 13, 2026

Jerome Powell’s finally had enough of Donald Trump. In an extraordinary statement accompanied by an

Read More

12 Comments on Facing Criminal Indictment, Powell Finally Stands Up To Trump

Is Another US Military Strike On Iran Imminent?

January 11, 2026January 12, 2026

The death toll in Iran’s rising. And Donald Trump’s patience, which is thin on stoic

Read More

8 Comments on Is Another US Military Strike On Iran Imminent?

The Virtues And Risks Of Trump’s Foreign Policy

January 11, 2026January 12, 2026

In some perverse sense, Donald Trump may deserve credit for jettisoning post-World War II decorum

Read More

4 Comments on The Virtues And Risks Of Trump’s Foreign Policy

Weekly: The Diosdado Cabello Question

January 10, 2026January 12, 2026

Late Friday, Delcy Rodriguez, in her capacity as interim president of Venezuela, said her country’s in

Read More

12 Comments on Weekly: The Diosdado Cabello Question

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Monthly Letter+

  • The Noriega Analogue

Recent Comments

  • James Korman on Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)
  • T-Dog on Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)
  • Wave Dash on Builder Mood Worsens As Down Payment Burden Sidelines Home Buyers
  • Gimpy on Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

Monthly Letters

The Noriega Analogue

January 3, 2026January 3, 2026

Bookkeepers

November 30, 2025November 30, 2025

Eternity

October 30, 2025October 30, 2025

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