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Featured

McElligott Explains Why Stocks Don’t Care About Powell Drama

January 13, 2026January 13, 2026
  • Greenland’s Future May Be ‘Sovereignty Twilight’

    January 13, 2026January 13, 2026
  • BLS Hands Trump Decent Inflation Report

    January 13, 2026
  • Dimon Upbeat On US Economy As JPMorgan Tops Estimates

    January 13, 2026

economy

Potential Powell Indictment Casts Pall Over Inflation Data

January 12, 2026January 12, 2026
  • American Workers Screwed Like Never Before, Key Metric Shouts

    January 9, 2026January 11, 2026
  • ‘Vibecession’ Lives On As Poor Sentiment Belies Red-Hot GDP Tracker

    January 9, 2026January 11, 2026
  • Trump Resorts To Gimmicks To Revive Moribund US Housing

    January 9, 2026January 11, 2026
  • US Hiring Tepid After Sharp 2025 Slowdown

    January 9, 2026January 10, 2026

politics

Trump Has World On Tenterhooks Again As Iran Strike Rumors Swirl

January 12, 2026January 13, 2026
  • First They Came For Jay…

    January 12, 2026January 13, 2026
  • Facing Criminal Indictment, Powell Finally Stands Up To Trump

    January 11, 2026January 13, 2026
  • Is Another US Military Strike On Iran Imminent?

    January 11, 2026January 12, 2026
  • The Virtues And Risks Of Trump’s Foreign Policy

    January 11, 2026January 12, 2026

Duly Noted+

US Employers Were Hiring As The Calendar Flipped

January 13, 2026January 13, 2026

Now Hiring. Or At Least Not Firing

January 8, 2026January 8, 2026

Markets

‘Mark Z’ Taps Trump-Endorsed ‘Goldman Diplomat’ To Head AI Buildout

January 12, 2026January 13, 2026

Potential Vs Kinetic Energy: Goldman Sees 2026 Stock Rally Despite Risks

January 8, 2026January 9, 2026

McElligott Offers Nuanced Explanation For Macro ‘Green Shoots’

January 8, 2026January 9, 2026

Gimmie The Loot: Trump Hits Maduro Regime For $2.8 Billion

January 7, 2026January 8, 2026

On January 3, one of The White House’s multiple official social media accounts posted a

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8 Comments on Gimmie The Loot: Trump Hits Maduro Regime For $2.8 Billion

Private Hiring Stabilizes In America

January 7, 2026January 7, 2026

Good news: Overall private sector hiring in the US rebounded late last year as small

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The Faustian Bargain For Venezuela’s Oil

January 6, 2026January 7, 2026

The most important consideration when evaluating a given country for investment is the rule of

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11 Comments on The Faustian Bargain For Venezuela’s Oil

As Iran Protests Escalate, Khamenei Plans Escape Route To Moscow

January 6, 2026January 7, 2026

“This is the big one. You hear that Bashar? I’m coming to join you!” Hold

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3 Comments on As Iran Protests Escalate, Khamenei Plans Escape Route To Moscow

Miran Previews Trump’s Fed Reboot, Calls For Huge 2026 Rate Cut

January 6, 2026January 7, 2026

Gotta get those rates lower. That was the (familiar) refrain from Trump surrogate Stephen Miran,

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2 Comments on Miran Previews Trump’s Fed Reboot, Calls For Huge 2026 Rate Cut

Trump’s ‘Law Of The Strongest’

January 6, 2026January 7, 2026

Just before noon on Monday, which is to say just before Nicolas Maduro was arraigned

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6 Comments on Trump’s ‘Law Of The Strongest’

‘I Am A Prisoner Of War’: Maduro Pleads Not Guilty

January 5, 2026January 6, 2026

“Ok, first thing’s first: Who the hell are you and what are you doing here

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6 Comments on ‘I Am A Prisoner Of War’: Maduro Pleads Not Guilty

The Many Paradoxes Of The Top 10 Stocks

January 5, 2026January 6, 2026

As discussed here last week in “US Equity Market Dominance Belies Historic Underperformance,” global shares

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1 Comment on The Many Paradoxes Of The Top 10 Stocks

As Maduro Heads To Court, Palace Coup Questions Linger

January 5, 2026January 6, 2026

Nicolas Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, had a date on Monday. At a federal

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12 Comments on As Maduro Heads To Court, Palace Coup Questions Linger

In American Manufacturing, It’s ‘Cold And Bleak’

January 5, 2026January 6, 2026

The first of this week’s top-tier US macro data suggested America’s factories remained mired in

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Weekly: Betting On Delcy Rodriguez

January 4, 2026January 5, 2026

Nicolas Maduro could be hanging out in Turkey right now living the good life under

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14 Comments on Weekly: Betting On Delcy Rodriguez

Macro Vs. Maduro: US Jobs Data Overshadowed By Geopolitics

January 4, 2026January 5, 2026

This week’s news flow will be heavy on geopolitics for obvious reasons, but there’s quite

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1 Comment on Macro Vs. Maduro: US Jobs Data Overshadowed By Geopolitics

The Noriega Analogue

January 3, 2026January 3, 2026

On September 28, 2024, I published an ad hoc Monthly Letter to account for “the

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15 Comments on The Noriega Analogue

Trump On Venezuela: ‘We Are Going To Run The Country’

January 3, 2026January 5, 2026

“This is big stuff,” an exhausted, bedraggled-looking Donald Trump began on Saturday, detailing a brazen

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20 Comments on Trump On Venezuela: ‘We Are Going To Run The Country’

In Maduro Capture, Trump Takes History Into His Own Hands

January 3, 2026January 5, 2026

Well, he did it: Donald Trump deposed Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela. In a spectacularly brazen

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11 Comments on In Maduro Capture, Trump Takes History Into His Own Hands

US Equity Market Dominance Belies Historic Underperformance

January 2, 2026January 4, 2026

Much as the geopolitical narrative unavoidably turns on the vagaries of Donald Trump’s mercurial policymaking,

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Trump Says America To ‘Rescue’ Protesters If Iran Shoots Them

January 2, 2026January 4, 2026

Iran better not “shots” anybody. That’s a direct quote from the leader of the free

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5 Comments on Trump Says America To ‘Rescue’ Protesters If Iran Shoots Them

As Musk Loses EV Crown, Remember: Tesla’s More Than Cars

January 2, 2026January 3, 2026

Don’t say they didn’t warn you. Four days on from a “highly unusual” decision to

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4 Comments on As Musk Loses EV Crown, Remember: Tesla’s More Than Cars

2026 Kicks Off With AI News Frenzy Out Of Asia

January 2, 2026January 3, 2026

New year, same theme: It’s all about AI. Asian tech shares were aggressively bid Friday

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4 Comments on 2026 Kicks Off With AI News Frenzy Out Of Asia

Iran Protests Turn Deadly On Sixth Anniversary Of Soleimani Assassination

January 1, 2026January 2, 2026

It was just a matter of time. Iranian state security forces killed at least two

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2 Comments on Iran Protests Turn Deadly On Sixth Anniversary Of Soleimani Assassination

Trump Slaps China Over Venezuelan Oil As Maduro Locks Up Americans

January 1, 2026January 2, 2026

Stay out of it. That, apparently, is Donald Trump’s message to Beijing as it relates

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1 Comment on Trump Slaps China Over Venezuelan Oil As Maduro Locks Up Americans

After Turbulent Year, Where To For The Dollar?

December 31, 2025January 2, 2026

Who wants to own a currency issued by an authoritarian government with a huge deficit,

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3 Comments on After Turbulent Year, Where To For The Dollar?

Xi Congratulates Himself On ‘Extraordinary’ 2025 For China

December 31, 2025January 2, 2026

Congratulations to China. When all the math’s done and the meat thermometer confirms the books

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6 Comments on Xi Congratulates Himself On ‘Extraordinary’ 2025 For China

What Labor Market Weakness? US Jobless Claims Dive Anew

December 31, 2025January 5, 2026

Is it even worth documenting US jobless claims anymore? I honestly don’t know, because as

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Did Tesla Just Deliver A Stealth Sales Warning?

December 30, 2025

Was that a stealth sales warning? In a move one observer described as “highly unusual,”

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Fed Minutes Underscore Divisions As Trump Refloats Powell Lawsuit

December 30, 2025December 31, 2025

Did Donald Trump mention how much he hates Jerome Powell and how badly he wants

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5 Comments on Fed Minutes Underscore Divisions As Trump Refloats Powell Lawsuit

Iran Rushes To Address Currency Crisis Amid Trump Threats

December 30, 2025January 1, 2026

The theocracy in Tehran has a bad situation on its hands. The currency’s in a

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Monthly Letter+

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Monthly Letters

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January 3, 2026January 3, 2026

Bookkeepers

November 30, 2025November 30, 2025

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October 30, 2025October 30, 2025

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