Don’t worry. Donald Trump’s not going to kill off an “entire civilization” tonight. Nor tomorrow
Category: Markets
Bombs, Brent And Breakevens
“A whole civilization will die tonight.” Or maybe tomorrow night. Sometime before the midterms. Maybe
Halle-freakin’-lujah
It goes like this, the fourth, the fifth The minor fall, the major lift… Hallelujah.
SpaceX The Hyper-Scaler
SpaceX is gonna need to borrow some more money. Several tens of billions more, reportedly.
AI And Oil: America’s Historic Profit Bonanza Rolls On
You know things are going well when corporate America’s expected to report profit growth of
Burn, Baby, Burn
Europe’s ungovernable. Breaking news, I know. On Monday, an already fraught political environment took a
Weekly: The ‘Humiliation’ Trade
I’d like to buy long-end US Treasurys right now. And I did, both this week
Railroaded
In terms of concentration risk, the AI trade’s now on par with the largest bubbles
Bonds At The Breaking Point
Have we given up trying to call the top in G7 bond yields? Because if
¡Viva La Revolución!
Long live the revolution! If there were any doubts as to whether memory will remain
1999, 2007 And 2026?
Albert Edwards thinks the equity bull market’s reached “peak nonsense.” Critics would tell you Albert’s
The Real Debate
10-year real yields in the US are flirting with 3%, which is… I don’t know.
Anthropic IPO Prospectus: Taking An ‘Existential Risk’
“Hello, I represent a privately-held company that intends to offer shares to the investing public
‘The Macro Backdrop’
The bad news is, pervasive uncertainty around “the macro backdrop” — a polite euphemism for
Former Bear Sees A Potential Problem For Stocks
The outlook for US equities remains constructive, but a veritable collapse in a key measure
For Treasurys, A Month To Remember. And Forget.
One way or another, September will be remembered as a pivotal month for US government
Here’s Hoping Past Isn’t Precedent
With allowances for the pressing nature of concerns about the next phase of the Iran
What Bursts The Bubble: Democrats And Bonds
How does it all end?! Spoiler alert: You get diagnosed with a terminal disease. Or
Ok, Seriously: How Long Before Bonds Break Stocks?
Color me amazed (and grateful as a long-only investor) that US equities continue to hold
Force Majeure For The AI Era
I wouldn’t have been surprised to see “force majeure” in the news this week, assuming
Since 2004…
Forget “since 2007.” That’s so, um, so earlier this month. It’s all about “since 2004”
In Bond Land, A Meltdown
September 23, 2026, was a very, very rough day for Treasurys. So rough, in fact,
Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
On Tuesday, I asked ChatGPT to draw for me a new version of an old
There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…
Here’s a notable statistic: A quarter of this year’s blockbuster earnings growth for semiconductors is
Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally
“Wiiiiiilssoooon!!!” I can’t do it. Not anymore. I can’t start a Mike Wilson article without
Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk
Over the weekend, while editorializing for the nth time in 10 years about equities’ pain
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