Get ready for lower returns on capital from the largest, most important companies on the
Category: Markets
Goldman’s Equities Traders, Morgan’s Debt Bankers Make It Rain
Goldman’s equities traders did some trading last quarter. Notwithstanding a slight miss to consensus when
Bank Of America’s Fine, In Case You Were Wondering
Brian Moynihan, like Jamie Dimon, is bullish on the US economy. He said as much
McElligott Explains Why Stocks Don’t Care About Powell Drama
If you’re old enough to remember 2018, the year Jerome Powell took the reins at
Dimon Upbeat On US Economy As JPMorgan Tops Estimates
JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings in the US on Tuesday with a set of
‘Mark Z’ Taps Trump-Endorsed ‘Goldman Diplomat’ To Head AI Buildout
Dina Powell McCormick’s “uniquely suited to help Meta manage [its] next phase of growth.” She’s
Potential Vs Kinetic Energy: Goldman Sees 2026 Stock Rally Despite Risks
Did I mention that Goldman expects meaningful gains for US equities in 2026? Maybe. Probably.
McElligott Offers Nuanced Explanation For Macro ‘Green Shoots’
Mind the capex pull-forward effect. That was one message from Nomura’s Charlie McElligott who, in
Miran Previews Trump’s Fed Reboot, Calls For Huge 2026 Rate Cut
Gotta get those rates lower. That was the (familiar) refrain from Trump surrogate Stephen Miran,
The Many Paradoxes Of The Top 10 Stocks
As discussed here last week in “US Equity Market Dominance Belies Historic Underperformance,” global shares
US Equity Market Dominance Belies Historic Underperformance
Much as the geopolitical narrative unavoidably turns on the vagaries of Donald Trump’s mercurial policymaking,
As Musk Loses EV Crown, Remember: Tesla’s More Than Cars
Don’t say they didn’t warn you. Four days on from a “highly unusual” decision to
2026 Kicks Off With AI News Frenzy Out Of Asia
New year, same theme: It’s all about AI. Asian tech shares were aggressively bid Friday
After Turbulent Year, Where To For The Dollar?
Who wants to own a currency issued by an authoritarian government with a huge deficit,
Fed Minutes Underscore Divisions As Trump Refloats Powell Lawsuit
Did Donald Trump mention how much he hates Jerome Powell and how badly he wants
Wall Street’s ‘No Bears Allowed’ Mantra Is 2026 Contrarian Indicator
To be honest, I don’t love the setup for US equities in 2026. And yes,
S&P Aims For Third 20% Gain In Bid To Break Bad Santa Streak
This’ll be a slow week for markets. The data docket in the US isn’t empty,
Stocks Can Still Go Down Too, Right?
Did you buy the dip? If you’re inclined to ask, “What dip?” I won’t blame
Desensitized Investors No Longer Shocked By The Shocking
I realize we’re all desensitized by now to visuals illustrating extreme market concentration and its
Unsustainable Rallies
Records on top of records on top of records. Many (most?) advanced economy bourses remained
Nvidia’s $20 Billion Groq Deal Is ‘Stunning’ Power Play
If you can’t beat ’em — or suspect they might pose a challenge at some
A Record Ruble Run
If you expand the cross-asset leaderboard to include a wide range of commodities and currencies
A Red Flag For Stock Bulls
There’s a lot of cash on the sidelines. Nearly $8 trillion in money market funds,
Passive Investing Is (Still) QE For Stocks
Here’s something I probably shouldn’t say to a readership comprised in no small part of
The ‘Dry Powder’ Bull Narrative’s Back
I’m a bit weary of the “dry powder” thesis as an excuse for forecasting more
Gold Hits Another Record In Best Year Since 1979
Gold! What can you say about it? I’ll resort to the usual snark. It’s shiny,
Fine, I’ll Ask It: What Could Go Wrong?
If peak optimism’s a contrarian indicator, watch out. As regular readers will attest, I’ve long

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