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Category: Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026

Nobody likes to hear “I told you so,” even when it comes from someone, in

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17 Comments on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026November 2, 2026

Investors are genuinely concerned that these companies are in the midst of destroying some of

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13 Comments on The Problem, In A Nutshell…

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

Alphabet was on track Friday for its worst week since March of 2020, during the

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10 Comments on What’s What And WTF?

Oil, Dammit!

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

Oil, goddammit! Oil. I remember chatting about it (oil) early in 2020 with a guy

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14 Comments on Oil, Dammit!

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

Cue the Ren & Stimpy horse: “No sir, I don’t like it.” Amazon said after

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8 Comments on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 31, 2026

Big numbers, everybody. Big numbers. Alphabet and Microsoft reported quarterly results after the bell on

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Mona Lisa’s Smirk

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

The Kevin Warsh Fed, which is so committed to restoring price stability as defined by

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9 Comments on Mona Lisa’s Smirk

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

On Tuesday morning, in what I can only describe as an egregious error of judgment,

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44 Comments on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Around, Around We Go

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Deals, deals everywhere. Most of them circular. What could go wrong? On Tuesday, in the

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15 Comments on Around, Around We Go

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

We believe that AI is one of the most consequential technologies in human history. If

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21 Comments on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

You better keep buying. Buying stocks, I mean. Because while the corporate bid’s still huge

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2 Comments on Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

Credit Canaries

October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

In addition to a smorgasbord of macro data, a Fed meeting and earnings reports from

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Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

October 23, 2026October 26, 2026

Last Friday, I wrote that “the business week ended October 16, 2026, will either be

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5 Comments on Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

Although I’ll take it vis à vis my early-October suggestion that US yields had likely

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9 Comments on After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

BONDS!!!

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

The bad news is, stocks are back-footed all of a sudden. The good news is,

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1 Comment on BONDS!!!

Flying Cars, New Share Class Highlight Tesla, Meta Results

October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

The company soon to be known as SpaceX was free-cash-flow positive last quarter, according to

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1 Comment on Flying Cars, New Share Class Highlight Tesla, Meta Results

‘X’finity

October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

Forget $3.5 trillion for SpaceTaxi. Or Xfinity. (How long before Elon Musk buys Comcast just

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5 Comments on ‘X’finity

Ken Sees A Bubble

October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

Ken Griffin, who didn’t love his Nick Offerman character in Dumb Money, sees a bubble.

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9 Comments on Ken Sees A Bubble

A Starship Enterprise

October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

Merger. Merger. M–M–M–Merger. America. Let’s go. Let’s do this. — Jackie Moon A long-rumored tie-up

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8 Comments on A Starship Enterprise

Watch This Space

October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

“To infinity and beyond!” Or whatever. Elon Musk’s rocket-making, satellite-broadband company-turned-data-center REIT reported Q3 sales

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18 Comments on Watch This Space

AI ON / AI OFF

October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

“Three weeks, three different continents.” That’s what Charlie McElligott’s been up to recently. Beats my

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1 Comment on AI ON / AI OFF

The Elice Canary

October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

“All ants are dying.” So read the caption on a picture of Lewis Carroll’s Alice

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7 Comments on The Elice Canary

Is The Earnings Bubble About To Pop?

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Is the great American “profit boom” coming to an end? Spoiler alert: Probably not, and

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2 Comments on Is The Earnings Bubble About To Pop?

Chipwrecked

October 16, 2026October 19, 2026

In the context of what many believe is the largest speculative mania since the dot-com

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2 Comments on Chipwrecked

Weekly: Mr. Coy

October 16, 2026October 18, 2026

In saying nothing — or anyway very little, and nothing of real substance — about

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2 Comments on Weekly: Mr. Coy

The CoreWeave Doom Spiral

October 15, 2026October 17, 2026

At the lows on Thursday, CoreWeave was down more than 25% since the beginning of

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10 Comments on The CoreWeave Doom Spiral

AI Trade Bleeds Out As TSMC, Anthropic Updates Are Damp Squib

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

On the surface anyway, things are going fine. Just ask Taiwan Semi CFO Wendell Huang,

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • TebbyFresh on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!
  • Caribbean Breeze on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China
  • Lee 2253 on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • WeeblesWobble (ButTheyDon'tFallDown) on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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