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Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026

Markets

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Key Calls (Tuesday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

August 8, 2017August 8, 2017

You need an upgrade.

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Art Vandelay Is Calling: China Exports, Imports Miss Badly

August 7, 2017August 8, 2017

See China, like Art Vandelay, is an importer/exporter, “ok?”

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V.P. Satire: Mike Pence Is Going To Be Really Pissed If He Isn’t President Soon

August 7, 2017

“To tell you the truth, I really thought I’d be President by now.”

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A Visual Update From The Valuation/ Vol. Twilight Zone

August 7, 2017August 7, 2017

“You unlock this door with the key of imagination”…

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Trump Says Blumenthal Should ‘Take A Nice Long ‘Nam Vacation’, Thanks ‘Nicole’ The Robot

August 7, 2017

But one person who doesn’t realize this is Donald Trump – who probably still thinks he has a friend in “Nicole.”

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10 Comments on Trump Says Blumenthal Should ‘Take A Nice Long ‘Nam Vacation’, Thanks ‘Nicole’ The Robot

‘Party On Wayne.’ What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

August 7, 2017August 7, 2017

“To be clear, the reason ‘what can possibly go wrong?’ has become such a ubiquitous phrase these days has a lot to do with the fact that this has all become one trade.” 

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2 Comments on ‘Party On Wayne.’ What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

‘What Economy Are They Living In?!’ WSJ Blasts Trump’s Immigration Plan

August 7, 2017August 7, 2017

“The larger irony is that by restricting legal immigration Mr. Trump would increase the incentive for more foreigners to cross the border illegally or overstay their visas.”

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2 Comments on ‘What Economy Are They Living In?!’ WSJ Blasts Trump’s Immigration Plan

Ghost Of 1987 Calls As Dow Tracks 9th Consecutive Record Close

August 7, 2017August 7, 2017

So far, so good. But…

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1 Comment on Ghost Of 1987 Calls As Dow Tracks 9th Consecutive Record Close

Kocherlakota Thinks Congress Should Protect You From People Like Him

August 7, 2017

“To be sure, this could on occasion prevent the Fed from doing the right thing when Congress is wrong — as it did in 2010. But”…

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Folks Are Bullish As Hell On These Currencies

August 7, 2017

Maybe you noticed.

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Let’s All Agree To Decriminalize Hard Drugs, Ok?

August 7, 2017

“Yet, rolling back prohibitions on harder drugs is likely to bring greater benefits than those produced by the relaxation of marijuana prohibitions precisely because the harder drugs are more dangerous.”

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7 Comments on Let’s All Agree To Decriminalize Hard Drugs, Ok?

‘Surely’ You Care That Your Returns Will Be ‘Paltry’, Right?!

August 7, 2017

“Surely that should still be a concern?”

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1 Comment on ‘Surely’ You Care That Your Returns Will Be ‘Paltry’, Right?!

Caution Needed: ‘Draghi In Mirror Is Closer Than He Appears’

August 7, 2017

“…keep an eye on how Jackson Hole begins to get handicapped as it becomes more imminent. And don’t assume Friday’s CPI is guaranteed to be more of the same.”

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Trump Says Blumenthal Is History’s Worst ‘Phony’ Who ‘Cries And Begs Like A Child’

August 7, 2017

Oh, and Richard Blumenthal is a “phony, Vietnam con artist” who has “lied and/or defrauded voters” more than anyone “in U.S. history” and is in the habit of “crying like a baby” and “begging for forgiveness like a child.”

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2 Comments on Trump Says Blumenthal Is History’s Worst ‘Phony’ Who ‘Cries And Begs Like A Child’

‘Quantitative Failure’ Crashes The ‘Party’

August 7, 2017

“It’s important to remember that this is merely a microcosm of the larger dynamic at play across assets and across regions.”

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Monday Morning Satire: Notes For The Presidential Babysitter

August 7, 2017

“This is fine, but we are trying to wean him off it..”

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1 Comment on Monday Morning Satire: Notes For The Presidential Babysitter

Key Calls (Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

August 7, 2017August 7, 2017

You need an upgrade.

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‘People Can Get Quite Complacent’: They’re Asleep In Asia Too, By The Way

August 6, 2017

“The market is not always rational.”

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2 Comments on ‘People Can Get Quite Complacent’: They’re Asleep In Asia Too, By The Way

‘60% Of The Time, It Works Every Time’: Full Week Ahead Preview

August 6, 2017

Ok, well good news: we’ll get a break from potentially market-moving scheduled events this week.

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2 Comments on ‘602 Of The Time, It Works Every Time’: Full Week Ahead Preview

Horsepower: Lessons From ‘An Old Guy With A Tractor’

August 6, 2017

“I can accomplish amazing things with that untiring, never flagging, hundred-fold leverage. I can also kill myself.”

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11 Comments on Horsepower: Lessons From ‘An Old Guy With A Tractor’

‘Crash Risk’: Something Doesn’t Add Up Here

August 6, 2017August 6, 2017

Riddle me this, Batman…

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2 Comments on ‘Crash Risk’: Something Doesn’t Add Up Here

Why Can White People Smoke Weed But Black People Can’t?

August 6, 2017

Volumes have (already) been written about Jeff Sessions’ efforts to plunge America right back down

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4 Comments on Why Can White People Smoke Weed But Black People Can’t?

Chart Of The Day: ‘100% Confident’

August 6, 2017

So you know… “what could go wrong?”

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15 Comments on Chart Of The Day: ‘10015 Confident’

‘Bobby Three Sticks’ Versus The Pathological Liar: ‘Hustle Bobby’

August 6, 2017

“We are in for an epic clash between two septuagenarians who both came from wealthy New York families and attended Ivy League schools but couldn’t be more different — the flamboyant flimflam man and the buttoned-down, buttoned-up boy scout.”

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4 Comments on ‘Bobby Three Sticks’ Versus The Pathological Liar: ‘Hustle Bobby’

This Correlation Just Hit A Record High, But Goldman Says Don’t Worry About Financials

August 6, 2017

“Buybacks for the largest banks will soar by 45% this year.”

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1 Comment on This Correlation Just Hit A Record High, But Goldman Says Don’t Worry About Financials

The Case For Long Volatility: Eric Peters ‘Imagines A Historic Reversal’

August 6, 2017

“Lehman was not a Black Swan. I worked there for seven years and we spent most of them imagining the firm abruptly failing.”

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6 Comments on The Case For Long Volatility: Eric Peters ‘Imagines A Historic Reversal’

Here’s What The VIX Did During The Last 2 Debt Ceiling Debacles

August 5, 2017

“…financial markets seems to have given the benefit of the doubt until up to two weeks ahead of the deadline.”

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2 Comments on Here’s What The VIX Did During The Last 2 Debt Ceiling Debacles

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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