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Category: Weekly

Weekly: Return Of The Roach Panic

February 27, 2026February 28, 2026

This time last week, I conjured October’s “roach” scare in the course of suggesting that

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9 Comments on Weekly: Return Of The Roach Panic

Weekly: Is Blue Owl The Private Credit Canary?

February 21, 2026February 23, 2026

Four months ago, when a couple of bankruptcies in the auto sector riled regional lenders

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8 Comments on Weekly: Is Blue Owl The Private Credit Canary?

Weekly: A Wildfire On Wall Street

February 13, 2026February 15, 2026

You wouldn’t know it from the main index levels (“The Dow is over 50,000 dollars!

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19 Comments on Weekly: A Wildfire On Wall Street

Weekly: The All-Crushing Claude

February 6, 2026February 9, 2026

This was the week Anthropic took the lead in the AI race. Or at least

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23 Comments on Weekly: The All-Crushing Claude

Weekly: The Decade Dogma Died

January 31, 2026February 2, 2026

Over the four decades we associate with the onset and perpetuation of shareholder capitalism, hyper-globalization,

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12 Comments on Weekly: The Decade Dogma Died

Weekly: The Existential Threat To US Treasurys

January 24, 2026January 26, 2026

I’m pretty sanguine about the outlook for risk assets but… BUT. At the end of

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11 Comments on Weekly: The Existential Threat To US Treasurys

Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

January 17, 2026January 20, 2026

The never-ending rally in gold’s no different from any other phenomenon in being unamenable to

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13 Comments on Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

Weekly: The Diosdado Cabello Question

January 10, 2026January 12, 2026

Late Friday, Delcy Rodriguez, in her capacity as interim president of Venezuela, said her country’s in

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12 Comments on Weekly: The Diosdado Cabello Question

Weekly: Betting On Delcy Rodriguez

January 4, 2026January 5, 2026

Nicolas Maduro could be hanging out in Turkey right now living the good life under

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14 Comments on Weekly: Betting On Delcy Rodriguez

Weekly: It’s Not Brain Surgery

December 27, 2025December 29, 2025

A couple of years ago I received a serious-sounding email from a guy who was

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21 Comments on Weekly: It’s Not Brain Surgery

Weekly: Greed Is Good

December 20, 2025December 22, 2025

Investors are closing out 2025 in greed mode. Technically, global stocks were down two consecutive

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8 Comments on Weekly: Greed Is Good

Weekly: Will Elon Musk, Trillionaire, Be A Wake-Up Call?

December 13, 2025December 15, 2025

I often wonder if there’s an absurdity threshold for American-style capitalism. A boundary which, if

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14 Comments on Weekly: Will Elon Musk, Trillionaire, Be A Wake-Up Call?

Weekly: Dead End

December 6, 2025December 8, 2025

During his first and, mercifully for Republicans, only, debate with Kamala Harris, Donald Trump famously

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17 Comments on Weekly: Dead End

Weekly: Scott Bessent Was Lucky

November 29, 2025December 1, 2025

In prepared remarks for this year’s Treausury Market Conference (it’s an annual event co-hosted by

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2 Comments on Weekly: Scott Bessent Was Lucky

Weekly: The Bitcoin Barometer

November 22, 2025November 24, 2025

Bitcoin tends to peak around blow-off tops for speculative excess. That’s not a coincidence. Whatever

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13 Comments on Weekly: The Bitcoin Barometer

Weekly: Don’t Forget The Fed

November 15, 2025November 17, 2025

The disorienting to-and-fro of momo and meme stocks — and associated fretting over the psychological

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16 Comments on Weekly: Don’t Forget The Fed

Weekly: Is Trump The Dog Who Caught The Car?

November 8, 2025November 10, 2025

A year on from Donald Trump’s reelection, the president who promised a “new golden age”

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14 Comments on Weekly: Is Trump The Dog Who Caught The Car?

Weekly: The AI Spending Question

November 1, 2025November 3, 2025

Now we’re supposed to believe investors are newly skeptical of AI spending. Just not at

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9 Comments on Weekly: The AI Spending Question

Weekly: Bells At The Top?

October 25, 2025October 27, 2025

The equity rally off the “Liberation Day” panic lows sure is exhibiting a lot of

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3 Comments on Weekly: Bells At The Top?

Weekly: Of Roaches And Mini-Crises

October 18, 2025October 20, 2025

Everybody can’t be me, and in a lot of respects that’s a blessing for humanity.

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8 Comments on Weekly: Of Roaches And Mini-Crises

Weekly: The Stock Rally Has A SPOF Problem

October 11, 2025October 13, 2025

The stock rally has a SPOF problem. Several of them, actually. Fewer than 10 US

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10 Comments on Weekly: The Stock Rally Has A SPOF Problem

Weekly: Perfect Storm, Imperfect Union Revisited

October 4, 2025October 6, 2025

In December of 2023, I published a piece called “Perfect Storm, Imperfect Union.” Technically, it

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11 Comments on Weekly: Perfect Storm, Imperfect Union Revisited

Weekly: Don’t Be A Hero

September 27, 2025September 29, 2025

Before anyone accuses me of catastrophizing the situation, consider how awkwardly politicized the most routine

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19 Comments on Weekly: Don’t Be A Hero

Weekly: Hope, An Epilogue

September 20, 2025September 22, 2025

[Editor’s note: If you haven’t read “Hope: A Novelette,” you should. This article is, as

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14 Comments on Weekly: Hope, An Epilogue

Weekly: The Anarchy Hedge

September 13, 2025September 14, 2025

I hate to be “that guy.” The guy quoting gold prices and complaining about budgets

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17 Comments on Weekly: The Anarchy Hedge

Monthly Letter+

  • 42

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

42

March 6, 2026March 6, 2026

Resignation

January 30, 2026January 30, 2026

The Noriega Analogue

January 3, 2026January 3, 2026

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