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Featured

Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026

Markets

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Weekend Satire: Mueller Calls Trump

August 5, 2017

“He said I was the most innocent person he’d ever come across, and maybe in history.”

Read More

2 Comments on Weekend Satire: Mueller Calls Trump

Gundlach Has Total Meltdown, Says Rivals Have Bribed Reporters, Calls Himself ‘Seinfeld’

August 5, 2017August 5, 2017

It’s not paranoia if they’re really out to get you, right Jeff?

Read More

4 Comments on Gundlach Has Total Meltdown, Says Rivals Have Bribed Reporters, Calls Himself ‘Seinfeld’

This Chart Suggests Folks Are Calling Bullsh*t On The Dollar Rally

August 5, 2017

Some folks ain’t buyin’ it.

Read More

2 Comments on This Chart Suggests Folks Are Calling Bullsh*t On The Dollar Rally

Epic VIX Short Hits New Record, But Is There Trouble Ahead?

August 5, 2017August 5, 2017

“Ok, well it’s time for another edition of ‘interpret that record short VIX positioning.'”

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3 Comments on Epic VIX Short Hits New Record, But Is There Trouble Ahead?

Bloomberg: Mr. Trump, Your Immigration Proposal Is A Dead End

August 5, 2017

And meanwhile, at Mar-a-Lago…

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1 Comment on Bloomberg: Mr. Trump, Your Immigration Proposal Is A Dead End

ANTIFA Vs. ‘Free Speech’ers: Who Are The Real ‘Nazis’ Here?

August 5, 2017

Methinks maybe the cartoon has the roles reversed…

Read More

7 Comments on ANTIFA Vs. ‘Free Speech’ers: Who Are The Real ‘Nazis’ Here?

Newsflash! Black People Aren’t Keeping Whites Out Of College, Rich People Are

August 5, 2017

“What is essential to understand is that it’s not a vast crowd of black or brown people keeping white Americans out of the colleges of their choice, especially not the working-class white Americans among whom Trump finds his base of support.”

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4 Comments on Newsflash! Black People Aren’t Keeping Whites Out Of College, Rich People Are

This Was The Worst Week Of 2017 For ‘Bad Breadth’

August 5, 2017

“When investors pile into the same securities that gain faster than everyone else in an environment of low market breadth, they are going to get spooked.”

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1 Comment on This Was The Worst Week Of 2017 For ‘Bad Breadth’

Trumpism 3.0â„¢, James Woods, And Someone’s Granddad: A Twitter Odyssey

August 5, 2017August 5, 2017

“The losers are welcome.”

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5 Comments on Trumpism 3.0â„¢, James Woods, And Someone’s Granddad: A Twitter Odyssey

Uh-Oh: Mueller Asks White House To Hand Over Documents In Notable Escalation

August 4, 2017

For the first time, Mueller and his team have formally asked the White House to produce documents.

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20 Comments on Uh-Oh: Mueller Asks White House To Hand Over Documents In Notable Escalation

Bitcoin-Buying ‘Shoeshine Boys’ & Retail Stock Investors Should Take Note Of This Move…

August 4, 2017August 4, 2017

“If shoeshine boys aren’t giving stock tips these days, it’s because they’re too busy trading the Bitcoin fork.”

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Leave a Comment on Bitcoin-Buying ‘Shoeshine Boys’ & Retail Stock Investors Should Take Note Of This Move…

Presenting: Jobs And ‘Hope’ Versus The World

August 4, 2017

“Of course all other data – including housing and real estate, the industrial sector, the personal/household sector and retail & wholesale – generally speaking continue to disappoint.”

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1 Comment on Presenting: Jobs And ‘Hope’ Versus The World

Spot The Problem With These Forecasts

August 4, 2017August 4, 2017

There’s just one, tiny problem…

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1 Comment on Spot The Problem With These Forecasts

Jobs, Records, & Russians: The Week In Charts

August 4, 2017August 4, 2017

That’s a wrap.

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Leave a Comment on Jobs, Records, & Russians: The Week In Charts

Wall Street Journal: There Is No Saving This President From Himself

August 4, 2017

“No WH Chaos!”

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1 Comment on Wall Street Journal: There Is No Saving This President From Himself

Please: No One Show Donald Trump These ‘Small’ Charts

August 4, 2017

Oops…

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5 Comments on Please: No One Show Donald Trump These ‘Small’ Charts

Make Dollars Great Again: Greenback Surges To Best Gain Since January

August 4, 2017

“Big league.”

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Leave a Comment on Make Dollars Great Again: Greenback Surges To Best Gain Since January

Just How Concerned Is America About Trump And Russia? It Depends

August 4, 2017

“In an earlier post, I explained how polling data on the Russia investigation underscores the degree to which partisanship taints Americans’ assessment of security politics.”

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2 Comments on Just How Concerned Is America About Trump And Russia? It Depends

Goldman: ‘2 Years Is Too Early’

August 4, 2017

“It is hard not to worry that things are a little ‘too good’. But market timing is tricky.”

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Leave a Comment on Goldman: ‘2 Years Is Too Early’

The Only 2 Jobs Charts You Need (‘God’ Is Laughing)

August 4, 2017August 4, 2017

“The greatest jobs President that God ever created.”

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1 Comment on The Only 2 Jobs Charts You Need (‘God’ Is Laughing)

Trump Explains Jobs Beat: ‘Me’

August 4, 2017August 4, 2017

“…and I have only just begun.”

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3 Comments on Trump Explains Jobs Beat: ‘Me’

Dollar Jumps, Yields Rise, Gold Trounced On Jobs Beat

August 4, 2017

Some folks are trading…

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Leave a Comment on Dollar Jumps, Yields Rise, Gold Trounced On Jobs Beat

Jobs Report Beats

August 4, 2017August 4, 2017

U.S. July Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 209k; Unemp. Rate at 4.3%

Avg. hourly earnings 0.3% m/m, est. 0.3%, prior 0.2%; Y/y 2.5%, prior 2.5% est. 2.4%

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3 Comments on Jobs Report Beats

Trader: Here Is The Only Way This Can End Well

August 4, 2017

“So how then might the story line read? That all this nonsense that globally rising rates and widespread balance sheet reduction just can’t be a calm experience. Investors simply own too much toxic “financial products” to make that likely.”

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Leave a Comment on Trader: Here Is The Only Way This Can End Well

‘I’ll Take It’: Dan Loeb Got It Wrong, But It Didn’t Matter And Here’s Why…

August 3, 2017August 3, 2017

“I guess it’s a case of better lucky than right.”

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Leave a Comment on ‘I’ll Take It’: Dan Loeb Got It Wrong, But It Didn’t Matter And Here’s Why…

Grizzly Attack! Albert Edwards Says ‘January 2008 Is Here Again’

August 3, 2017August 3, 2017

“This was last seen in 2007, just before the bursting debt bubble blew the global economy and financial system to smithereens.”

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3 Comments on Grizzly Attack! Albert Edwards Says ‘January 2008 Is Here Again’

An Open Letter To Mike Pence: ‘If I Were A Betting Man, You’re Going To Be President’

August 3, 2017

“A betting man might place odds that, sometime in the next three and a half years, and maybe a lot sooner than that, you will become president of the United States.”

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2 Comments on An Open Letter To Mike Pence: ‘If I Were A Betting Man, You’re Going To Be President’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • NSXNONSENSE on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • dayjob on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • therealheisenberg on Weekly: Melodrama
  • therealheisenberg on Weekly: Melodrama

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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