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Category: Markets

When Oracles Lie

August 3, 2021August 4, 2021

If I hear the term “false optic” from smart people a few more times, I’m

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2 Comments on When Oracles Lie

Opium Wars

August 3, 2021August 4, 2021

It was another disastrous day for one of the world’s most influential stocks. Tencent plunged

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2 Comments on Opium Wars

Take My Breadth Away

August 2, 2021August 3, 2021

I doubt there’s much in the way of reader appetite when it comes to laborious

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I’ll Have The Stocks. With A Side Of Caveats

August 2, 2021August 5, 2021

The smartest guys and gals in the room are still overweight equities, you’ll be happy

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Why One Bank Isn’t Buying ‘Forced’ Bond Narrative

August 2, 2021August 8, 2021

“We think that it is important to avoid the trap of forcibly fitting a narrative,”

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4 Comments on Why One Bank Isn’t Buying ‘Forced’ Bond Narrative

Manufacturing Surveys Show ‘Strongest Sellers’ Market’ Ever

August 2, 2021August 8, 2021

The first of this week’s top-tier US data missed estimates, perhaps helping to make the

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1 Comment on Manufacturing Surveys Show ‘Strongest Sellers’ Market’ Ever

Unifying Threads

August 2, 2021August 2, 2021

Monday’s narrative was just recycled, boilerplate copy: Solid earnings and decent data helped “offset” Chinese

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Jobs, Jobs, Jobs (And The Rent’s Due)

August 1, 2021August 5, 2021

“Jobs, jobs, jobs!” Or whatever. It’s NFP week in the US, but virus headlines will

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5 Comments on Jobs, Jobs, Jobs (And The Rent’s Due)

Risk Management In A Nonsense World

July 31, 2021August 2, 2021

One of the myriad confounding factors in what’s been variously billed as the “Great Inflation

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13 Comments on Risk Management In A Nonsense World

Lyin’ Eyes And Taper Tremors

July 31, 2021August 8, 2021

Goldman’s clients are asking how the onset of a Fed taper will affect equity markets.

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3 Comments on Lyin’ Eyes And Taper Tremors

Maybe We’re Worried About The Wrong Tail Risk

July 30, 2021August 6, 2021

Jim Bullard said Friday that the spread of the Delta variant is likely to be

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13 Comments on Maybe We’re Worried About The Wrong Tail Risk

Like There’s No Tomorrow

July 30, 2021July 31, 2021

“Global interest rates [are] at 5,000 year lows,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett observed, again, in the

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Off The Boil?

July 30, 2021July 31, 2021

It’s like that last peanut butter cookie from the batch you made 10 days ago

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In China, The Onslaught Continues

July 30, 2021August 5, 2021

“Even more complicated and grim.” That’s how the Politburo characterized the external environment at a

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If The Asteroid Ever Comes

July 29, 2021July 30, 2021

“US stocks rise after GDP reinforces Powell’s dovish stance,” one headline read, on Thursday afternoon.

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3 Comments on If The Asteroid Ever Comes

McElligott On The Fed, Bonds And Fall ‘Timing Turn’

July 29, 2021July 30, 2021

Market participants may soon brave another “bearish shot” at bonds, which could translate to rekindled

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‘Hot’ US Economy Underwhelms Despite Spending Spree

July 29, 2021August 5, 2021

The US economy expanded at a 6.5% annual clip in the second quarter, the government

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3 Comments on ‘Hot’ US Economy Underwhelms Despite Spending Spree

Choose Your Own Narrative, Jobless Claims Edition

July 29, 2021July 30, 2021

400,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, more than expected. It was the second

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4 Comments on Choose Your Own Narrative, Jobless Claims Edition

Powell: Virus ‘Loose Out There. No One Is Safe’

July 28, 2021August 2, 2021

The July 2021 edition of Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC press conference series produced no shortage of

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6 Comments on Powell: Virus ‘Loose Out There. No One Is Safe’

Fed Shuffles Words Around. Flags ‘Progress’ In QE Language

July 28, 2021July 30, 2021

This is a good time to remind everyone that we needn’t suffer through a press

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‘Hi, It’s China. We Understand You’re Terrified.’

July 28, 2021July 31, 2021

Following a characteristically silly domestic media blitz aimed at calming frayed investor nerves, Beijing dialed

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4 Comments on ‘Hi, It’s China. We Understand You’re Terrified.’

Remain Calm: China’s Falling Knives

July 28, 2021July 28, 2021

Some of the headlines in Chinese media were amusing Wednesday. In the wake of a

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1 Comment on Remain Calm: China’s Falling Knives

Spare Change, Big Numbers

July 27, 2021July 28, 2021

There’s $4.49 trillion in dry power sitting mostly idle in money market funds. That pile

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5 Comments on Spare Change, Big Numbers

‘Out Of Superlatives’: US Housing Exhausts Thesaurus

July 27, 2021August 5, 2021

I’ll express my gratitude to Craig Lazzara, global head of index investment strategy at S&P

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5 Comments on ‘Out Of Superlatives’: US Housing Exhausts Thesaurus

Emerging Problems And Party Prerogatives

July 27, 2021August 3, 2021

I generally avoid quoting (let alone making) statements like I’m about to make, but an

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Consumers’ Revenge

July 27, 2021July 28, 2021

US consumers are concerned about inflation. We know that. It’s well documented. The question going

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In China: Liquidation

July 27, 2021August 1, 2021

Worries that foreign capital will run screaming for the exits (if it hasn’t already) were

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5 Comments on In China: Liquidation

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

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Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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