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Author: therealheisenberg

The Virus Strikes Back (Too Complacent)

August 14, 2020August 14, 2020

Foreboding headlines around COVID-related travel restrictions put a dent in risk appetite Friday, as the

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3 Comments on The Virus Strikes Back (Too Complacent)

Retail Recovery Faltered In July, But Mixed Data Blunts Impact

August 14, 2020August 14, 2020

For all the talk about a “V-shaped” recovery in the US economy, the only top-tier

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1 Comment on Retail Recovery Faltered In July, But Mixed Data Blunts Impact

China’s July Data Deluge Disappoints As Retail Sales Fall Again

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

The Chinese economy continues to exhibit signs of stabilization, but activity data for July released

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1 Comment on China’s July Data Deluge Disappoints As Retail Sales Fall Again

Credit Flow Bonanza Continues, While Apple Taps Market For $5.5 Billion It Doesn’t Need

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

Another week, another big haul for credit funds. At a time when the market’s appetite

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1 Comment on Credit Flow Bonanza Continues, While Apple Taps Market For $5.5 Billion It Doesn’t Need

Five On It

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

Make it five. Treasury yields rose a fifth session Thursday after the closely-watched 30-year sale

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2 Comments on Five On It

Stalemates And Stagflation

August 13, 2020August 14, 2020

“I don’t know”, Nancy Pelosi said Thursday, asked when she might sit down again with

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13 Comments on Stalemates And Stagflation

Where’s The Rent Deflation?, Albert Edwards Asks The Bureau Of Labor Statistics

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

One of the many explanations rolled out when explaining the monumental ~54% surge in US

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3 Comments on Where’s The Rent Deflation?, Albert Edwards Asks The Bureau Of Labor Statistics

Mike Pence Made A Wild Claim About The US Jobs Market. It’s Propaganda.

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

“It’s unbelievable the twilight zone that we’re sort of living in, where people just say

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10 Comments on Mike Pence Made A Wild Claim About The US Jobs Market. It’s Propaganda.

US Jobless Claims Drop Below 1 Million In Pandemic Milestone

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

Last week, the US labor market got a double-dose of good news. The headline print

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Leadership Struggle (And Revisiting The Austin Powers World)

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

Risk appetite appeared to wane a bit Thursday with stimulus talks still deadlocked in Washington.

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Resurrection

August 12, 2020August 13, 2020

The pro-cyclical nature of the action in US equities witnessed over the past several sessions

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2 Comments on Resurrection

Junk. Lots Of It.

August 12, 2020August 12, 2020

Twice. That’s how many times during the first two days of this week I addressed

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5 Comments on Junk. Lots Of It.

According To One Key Measure, The Pandemic Never Happened (But Don’t Tell Stein Mart)

August 12, 2020August 12, 2020

There’s been no shortage of attention paid this week to the S&P 500’s apparently imminent

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If You’re Not Safe In New Zealand (A Pair Of Reminders)

August 12, 2020

Amid a back-up in yields stateside and ongoing upside “surprises” in key data points both

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1 Comment on If You’re Not Safe In New Zealand (A Pair Of Reminders)

Coal Mine Canary? CTAs Flip Short Bunds During ‘Heck Of A Week For Pain Trades,’ McElligott Says

August 12, 2020August 12, 2020

Tuesday was potentially important. I tried to drive that home after the dust had settled

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1 Comment on Coal Mine Canary? CTAs Flip Short Bunds During ‘Heck Of A Week For Pain Trades,’ McElligott Says

Core CPI Surges Most Since 1991. So, There’s That

August 12, 2020August 12, 2020

It probably wouldn’t be correct to say July’s US inflation data is “pivotal”. Rather, a

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3 Comments on Core CPI Surges Most Since 1991. So, There’s That

‘Nothing Is Rock Solid’. Even Yellow Metal.

August 12, 2020August 12, 2020

Following an egregious daily rout, gold took investors for a wild ride Wednesday, and you

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3 Comments on ‘Nothing Is Rock Solid’. Even Yellow Metal.

‘Prosecuting The Case’

August 11, 2020August 11, 2020

“I would say, the best opening so far would be Kamala Harris”, Donald Trump declared,

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14 Comments on ‘Prosecuting The Case’

Desperation

August 11, 2020August 12, 2020

A dearth of flashy headlines obscured an otherwise interesting session in the US on Tuesday,

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5 Comments on Desperation

Are Corporate Bonds A Bubble (Again)?

August 11, 2020

“Are credit spreads currently too tight relative to the severity of the current downgrade and

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1 Comment on Are Corporate Bonds A Bubble (Again)?

Bludgeoned: Gold Plunges Most In Seven Years As Bottom Finally Falls Out For Bullion

August 11, 2020August 11, 2020

It was destined to happen. Those looking for a dip-buying opportunity in gold got it

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15 Comments on Bludgeoned: Gold Plunges Most In Seven Years As Bottom Finally Falls Out For Bullion

Is It Happening? US Stocks May Be ‘First-Movers’ In Coming Reversal, Pain Trade

August 11, 2020August 11, 2020

Markets exhibited a desire to extend the pro-cyclical bent witnessed over the past couple of

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3 Comments on Is It Happening? US Stocks May Be ‘First-Movers’ In Coming Reversal, Pain Trade

Great Expectations

August 11, 2020August 11, 2020

Markets (or, at least the financial media) seem enamored with the idea that Donald Trump

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5 Comments on Great Expectations

Shots Fired, History Made, Records Eyed

August 10, 2020August 11, 2020

A version of the S&P hit a record, as markets’ quest to recover everything lost

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6 Comments on Shots Fired, History Made, Records Eyed

From Volkswagen To Apple To Dentists And Roofers: What The Fed’s Been Up To

August 10, 2020August 10, 2020

Those interested to know what the Fed bought recently as part of its efforts to

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5 Comments on From Volkswagen To Apple To Dentists And Roofers: What The Fed’s Been Up To

Real Kryptonite Cameo Triggered Largest Gold ETF Outflow Since March Panic

August 10, 2020

Late last week, US real yields rose the most since June, snapping an eight-day decline.

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Nomura’s McElligott: The M2 Pro-Cyclical Signal May Be ‘Triggering’ In Stocks

August 10, 2020

Last week, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott suggested that those looking for a real “reflation signal” should

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: The M2 Pro-Cyclical Signal May Be ‘Triggering’ In Stocks

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