US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds enjoyed an eighth straight inflow over the latest weekly
Author: therealheisenberg
The ‘Waller Doctrine’ And The History Of First Cuts
The past six weeks were defined by growing conviction in Fed rate cuts. Although that
Inflation Expectations Drop Most Since 2009, Sentiment Soars
If markets needed a dovish offset for a warm US jobs report, a meaningful deceleration
Warm US Jobs Report Leaves Macro Narrative Mostly Intact
The US economy added 199,000 jobs in November, Friday’s hotly-anticipated government release showed. That was
Hartnett Spots Animal Spirits As Sentiment Gauge Jumps Most Since 2012
The animal spirits are stirring. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett who, in the latest
Money Market Fund AUM Swells Further. RRP In Focus
Money market fund assets ballooned by another $61.7 billion over the latest reporting period, data
Kolanovic Sees ‘Worry Or Perhaps Even Panic’ In 2024
“We think that the decline in inflation and economic activity that we forecast for 2024
McElligott On 2024’s ‘Big Macro Mystery’
There’s a “big mystery” about 2024. It’s related to the “one question” I posed previously
Bank Of Japan Speculation Reaches Fever Pitch
There’s something amusing about employing the term “early” to describe a prospective Bank of Japan
Claims And Cuts
For the better part of two months, recurring jobless claims in the US served as
Market Fears Melt-Up More Than Selloff
Despite the ongoing rally at the long-end of the Treasury curve (which was risk asset
‘Tectonic’ CTA Shift Drove Rates Reversal, Bond Rally
Two months ago, the US long-end couldn’t sustain a bid to save its life and
Populist Wave Claims Last ‘Young Gun’ As McCarthy Quits Congress
“My work is only getting started,” Kevin McCarthy said Wednesday, in a Wall Street Journal
Italy Says Addio To Xi’s Belt And Road
G7 or Belt and Road. That was the choice for Italy. When push came to
A Hill To Die On
There’s no connection between the conflict in Ukraine and America’s southern border. Either it’s in
US Private Hiring Cools, Wage Growth Slows
Private sector employers in the US added 103,000 jobs in November, ADP said Wednesday. That
With Apologies
Part of writing about macro and markets in the post-Lehman world is coping with the
Immaculate Disinflation Lives In Favorable JOLTS
There were more than half a million fewer US job openings on the final business
Resilient Goldilocks Meme Bedevils Pessimists
If job openings overshot in this week’s closely-watched JOLTS report, an upbeat read on services
‘Tactical Specialist’ Says Rally Drivers ‘Absolutely Out Of Gas’
I spent a lot of time last week discussing the flow drivers behind November’s historic
US And China Find Common Ground. In A Moody’s Outlook Cut
Beijing is “disappointed.” With a lot of things and also with a lot of people,
Perfect Storm, Imperfect Union
“I think that over the past few years, Americans have been feeling increasingly insecure about
SOFR Spike: What To Know
A SOFR spike! Who’s excited?! I don’t know how much attention this’ll garner among casual
‘No Meaningful Conviction’
Market observers employed hopelessly outdated colloquialisms to describe subdued sentiment at the beginning of the
Stocks’ Fate Seen Hinging On Cycle Runway
US rates bear flattened ahead of this week’s key macro data, perhaps not surprising on
Rate Cuts And Profit Growth? History Says No
“From where we are sitting, the market remains clueless about where 10-year bond yields or
I’m Sorry, Wilson!
“I’m sorry, Wilson!” (Who’s seen Cast Away?) If you’re looking to trade the early-year bullish
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