Tesla Teases ‘Accelerated’ New Model Launch As Revenue Dives

“We experienced numerous challenges in Q1,” Tesla said on Tuesday afternoon in the US.

It was an understatement. As discussed at some length here ahead of the company’s results, Elon Musk managed to sow quite a bit of confusion (Bloomberg called it “chaos”) over the last several months as Tesla fought to stabilize sales and cut costs.

As expected, revenue growth went into reverse last quarter. Sales of $21.3 billion missed estimates and fell 9%. That was the worst decline in nearly a dozen years.

Tesla blamed lower selling prices, an “unfavorable” mix shift, as well as the Model 3 update at the company’s Fremont factory and arson in Berlin. The FX headwind was $200 million.

Profit and margins looked like misses too, and days of inventory damn near doubled.

“Global EV sales continue to be under pressure as many carmakers prioritize hybrids,” Tesla said, adding that unlike some of its competitors, the company’s “investing in future growth,” where that means plowing money into “production capacity,” the Supercharger network, product development and, of course, AI infrastructure. Capex was $2.8 billion in Q1, $400 million more than expected.

In keeping with Musk’s robotaxi pivot, Tesla talked up FSD. “The future is not only electric, but also autonomous,” the deck said, adding that achieving autonomy at scale requires massive amounts of data, which is why Tesla’s cutting prices of its subscription plan.

AI training compute rose 130% in Q1 — whatever that means. I don’t think there was a consensus call on that metric. AI capex was $1 billion last quarter.

It appears to have dawned on Musk that investors really (really) needed to hear something concrete about the prospects for a lower-cost, mass-market model, particularly given concerns that a new product might take a backseat (pun fully intended) to the robotaxi.

“We have updated our future vehicle line-up to accelerate the launch of new models ahead of our previously communicated start of production in the second half of 2025,” the company said, adding that the new vehicles, which will “include more affordable models,” will “be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

I have no idea whether that (or the rest of the product color for that matter) counted as “news” to Tesla fans, but the gist of it is that the company’s going to try to utilize all of its existing manufacturing capacity prior to investing in new lines.

That sounds good (I guess) but it raises questions about the next generation platform, not least of which is this: Is it behind schedule? As for the new models, there’s still no word on what they are. That seems eminently (urgently) relevant. Critics would argue we’re deep into “fool me once” territory on that by now.

Anyway, my guess (and that’s all it is) would be that Tesla’s nod to accelerating production of new models will be enough to pacify some investors temporarily. And not because the company said anything groundbreaking necessarily, but rather because the shares are down 50% from last year’s highs and more than 40% in 2024 alone. If the confluence of bad news was worth another 10% or 20% on the downside, why was that not already in the price? I didn’t see anything (in terms of news) in Tuesday’s release that wasn’t already in the market. As for the outlook, maybe Tesla said just enough to stanch the bleeding.

Oh, and Tesla was proud to say it churned out more than 1,000 Cybertrucks “in a single week” this month. Hopefully all the accelerator pedals were functioning properly.


 

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