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Featured

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Cash Quandary And The Risk Of ‘A Typical Downward Spiral’

October 11, 2020October 12, 2020

Blue-chip US corporates may end up borrowing as much as $2 trillion in 2020, an

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1 Comment on Cash Quandary And The Risk Of ‘A Typical Downward Spiral’

$2 Trillion In A Pandemic? Corporate America’s 2020 Debt Binge Has No Precedent

October 11, 2020October 12, 2020

No, really. “Investors really can’t get enough high-grade corporate bonds,” Bloomberg’s James Crombie wrote late

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6 Comments on $2 Trillion In A Pandemic? Corporate America’s 2020 Debt Binge Has No Precedent

Earnings Season Is Here

October 11, 2020October 12, 2020

Assuming market participants can somehow focus on corporate fundamentals amid what is sure to be

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Leave a Comment on Earnings Season Is Here

Trump ‘Feels Great’ In Balcony ‘Blexit’ Event. Gets Coveted Taliban Endorsement

October 10, 2020October 12, 2020

On Saturday, Donald Trump hosted what amounted to a mini-campaign rally from a balcony at

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7 Comments on Trump ‘Feels Great’ In Balcony ‘Blexit’ Event. Gets Coveted Taliban Endorsement

Wild Blue Yonder

October 10, 2020October 12, 2020

If you ask me, one of the most amusing aspects of the evolving market narrative

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5 Comments on Wild Blue Yonder

The Stories We Tell Ourselves

October 10, 2020October 12, 2020

Mohamed El-Erian, “with his decades of investing experience” (to quote Bloomberg), doesn’t think there’s any

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7 Comments on The Stories We Tell Ourselves

‘So Many Things Could Go Wrong’

October 9, 2020October 12, 2020

If it’s more evidence of the market’s growing conviction around a changing of the guard

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5 Comments on ‘So Many Things Could Go Wrong’

Trump Now Says He Wants A Bigger Stimulus Deal Than Pelosi. But It’s Not Up To Them

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

Predictably, Donald Trump turned out to be totally unpredictable during his first week on the

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3 Comments on Trump Now Says He Wants A Bigger Stimulus Deal Than Pelosi. But It’s Not Up To Them

72 Hours Later, ‘Art Of The Deal’ Produces $1.8 Trillion Concession

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

Less than 72 hours after declaring, in a series of irritated tweets, that stimulus talks

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14 Comments on 72 Hours Later, ‘Art Of The Deal’ Produces $1.8 Trillion Concession

Are We Just Marking Time Until Rising Yields ‘Short-Circuit’ The Equity Rally?

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

Rightly or wrongly, the market appears to be pricing out Donald Trump. The 2016 experience

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2 Comments on Are We Just Marking Time Until Rising Yields ‘Short-Circuit’ The Equity Rally?

‘The Top’ Is Near And The World Is Changing

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

The top in asset prices will come between the election and inauguration, BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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5 Comments on ‘The Top’ Is Near And The World Is Changing

Divining The Odds

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

The dollar slipped and stimulus talks remained in focus Friday as US investors hoped to

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3 Comments on Divining The Odds

Be Better

October 8, 2020October 9, 2020

All 11 S&P sectors traded higher Thursday in what felt like a largely pointless session,

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10 Comments on Be Better

Maybe The Fed Should Just Let Stocks Crash

October 8, 2020October 9, 2020

“It’s not that we have no tools. But the fiscal policy tools are much more

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7 Comments on Maybe The Fed Should Just Let Stocks Crash

Albert Edwards Doubts Bond Selloff Has Legs. And That’s Good For The FAAMG Bubble

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

“The US equity market rally over the last few years, concentrated almost exclusively on FAAMG

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards Doubts Bond Selloff Has Legs. And That’s Good For The FAAMG Bubble

One Bad Turn Deserves Another

October 8, 2020October 9, 2020

“Optimism over a stimulus deal” — that’s what the financial media ran with on Thursday

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8 Comments on One Bad Turn Deserves Another

The Fly, The Lie, And The Terrified Billionaires

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

It says quite a bit about the average intelligence of the American voter when netizens

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20 Comments on The Fly, The Lie, And The Terrified Billionaires

Wrong. Jobless Claims Tell Us Plenty

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

840,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down 9,000 from the previous week’s upwardly

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5 Comments on Wrong. Jobless Claims Tell Us Plenty

The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

“It’s hard to see any clear, sane path on what he’s doing”, Nancy Pelosi told

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1 Comment on The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

Fed Minutes Show Officials Assumed Additional Fiscal Stimulus This Year

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

Minutes from the September FOMC meeting find Fed officials debating the relative merits of moving

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2 Comments on Fed Minutes Show Officials Assumed Additional Fiscal Stimulus This Year

US May Target Tencent, Ant Group With Potential To Disrupt World’s Largest IPO

October 7, 2020October 7, 2020

In a move perhaps designed to cast a pall over what could be the world’s

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2 Comments on US May Target Tencent, Ant Group With Potential To Disrupt World’s Largest IPO

Would You Trade A 4% Haircut In The S&P’s Fair Value For Sanity?

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

With expectations for a Democratic sweep becoming more entrenched by the day, market participants with

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13 Comments on Would You Trade A 413 Haircut In The S&P’s Fair Value For Sanity?

Scorched-Earth

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

“So stimulus is over until the election(?) And so are Trump’s odds of winning it,

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10 Comments on Scorched-Earth

Trump, Under Siege For Stimulus Torpedo, Pins Hopes On Late-Night Tweet Reversal

October 7, 2020October 7, 2020

Markets looked to gingerly retrace the risk-off move that rippled across assets late in Tuesday’s

Read More

12 Comments on Trump, Under Siege For Stimulus Torpedo, Pins Hopes On Late-Night Tweet Reversal

Trump Kills Stimulus Talks In Dramatic About-Face. Says Negotiations To Resume ‘After I Win’

October 6, 2020October 7, 2020

On Saturday, during the first day of a short visit to Walter Reed following his

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24 Comments on Trump Kills Stimulus Talks In Dramatic About-Face. Says Negotiations To Resume ‘After I Win’

No Church In The Wild

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Journalists long ago ran out of euphemisms when it comes to describing Donald Trump’s singular

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8 Comments on No Church In The Wild

Powell Hurts Own Cause, Feeds Budget Hawks By Parroting Deficit Myths

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

At this point, you’d forgive Jerome Powell (and most of his colleagues) for being frustrated

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5 Comments on Powell Hurts Own Cause, Feeds Budget Hawks By Parroting Deficit Myths

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • hackpoet on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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