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Category: stocks

What Matters

October 27, 2020October 28, 2020

Markets are plagued (figuratively and literally) with ominous headlines around a second COVID wave. France

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1 Comment on What Matters

Herd Immunity

October 26, 2020October 27, 2020

Monday was a dark day on Wall Street. That may be a bit hyperbolic, but

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5 Comments on Herd Immunity

Dollars, Stalemates, And Magic Lines

October 23, 2020October 24, 2020

The week started with a deadline and ended with finger pointing. “We could do that

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3 Comments on Dollars, Stalemates, And Magic Lines

Nomura’s McElligott On October As The Anti-Status Quo And The ‘New’ Election Tail Risk

October 23, 2020October 25, 2020

October’s action in rates and associated thematic expressions in equities represent a “reversal” of the

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8 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On October As The Anti-Status Quo And The ‘New’ Election Tail Risk

Apprehension And Irony

October 22, 2020October 23, 2020

US markets felt apprehensive Thursday. If that’s an accurate read, it’s understandable. The timeline on

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4 Comments on Apprehension And Irony

Gods Don’t Bleed (But Albert Edwards Isn’t So Sure)

October 22, 2020October 22, 2020

Don’t doubt the gods. That was the lesson learned over the summer of our discontent,

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4 Comments on Gods Don’t Bleed (But Albert Edwards Isn’t So Sure)

Nothing Is A Panacea

October 20, 2020October 20, 2020

Tuesday was the ostensible “deadline” for The White House to meet Nancy Pelosi’s demands if

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1 Comment on Nothing Is A Panacea

One Bad Red Hed (Where The Two Americas Meet)

October 19, 2020October 20, 2020

“On balance, I am comfortable with our current policy stance,” Atlanta Fed boss Raphael Bostic

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1 Comment on One Bad Red Hed (Where The Two Americas Meet)

T-Minus

October 16, 2020October 17, 2020

Equities attempted to coast out of what felt like a frustratingly long week on a

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3 Comments on T-Minus

2021 And The ‘6 P’s’

October 16, 2020October 16, 2020

It’ll be “tough” for equities to keep hitting new highs now that volatility, spreads, and

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7 Comments on 2021 And The ‘6 P’s’

Waiting Games

October 16, 2020October 16, 2020

Markets were optimistic Friday as investors awaited news on fiscal stimulus in the US and

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1 Comment on Waiting Games

The Bankers Are Fine

October 15, 2020

US equities managed to recover from fairly steep early losses to close mixed Thursday, as

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Nomura’s McElligott: ‘You Cannot Overstate The Gamma Impact Of Single-Name, Mega-Cap Tech Options’

October 15, 2020October 15, 2020

The flagging fiscal stimulus push in the US and escalating virus lockdowns in Europe are

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘You Cannot Overstate The Gamma Impact Of Single-Name, Mega-Cap Tech Options’

‘Reality’ Is Knocking

October 14, 2020October 15, 2020

Steve Mnuchin did something exceedingly rare for a top Trump administration official on Wednesday —

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15 Comments on ‘Reality’ Is Knocking

Amid ‘Shades’ Of Dot-Com Bubble, It’s Time To Switch Out Of Big US Tech, One Bank Says

October 14, 2020October 14, 2020

“Long US Tech” was identified as the most crowded trade in the world for the

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5 Comments on Amid ‘Shades’ Of Dot-Com Bubble, It’s Time To Switch Out Of Big US Tech, One Bank Says

Nomura’s McElligott: It’s ‘Déjà Vu All Over Again’ As August Comes Calling In October

October 13, 2020October 13, 2020

The ghost of August is calling, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott reiterates, in a Tuesday note largely

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5 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: It’s ‘Déjà Vu All Over Again’ As August Comes Calling In October

High Tech Depressions

October 12, 2020October 13, 2020

US equities screamed higher Monday, even as the path to a pre-election stimulus deal remained

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1 Comment on High Tech Depressions

Hypothetical, Tax-Related Selloff A Year From Now Would Be Good Buying Opportunity, JPMorgan Says

October 12, 2020

Looking for a reason to get bearish on US stocks in the fourth quarter of

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4 Comments on Hypothetical, Tax-Related Selloff A Year From Now Would Be Good Buying Opportunity, JPMorgan Says

Nomura’s McElligott Talks Post-Election ‘Right-Tail Risk,’ Return Of ‘The Ghost Of August’

October 12, 2020October 12, 2020

Fiscal stimulus is the “new QE,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wrote Monday, editorializing a bit around

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Talks Post-Election ‘Right-Tail Risk,’ Return Of ‘The Ghost Of August’

Earnings Season Is Here

October 11, 2020October 12, 2020

Assuming market participants can somehow focus on corporate fundamentals amid what is sure to be

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Wild Blue Yonder

October 10, 2020October 12, 2020

If you ask me, one of the most amusing aspects of the evolving market narrative

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5 Comments on Wild Blue Yonder

The Stories We Tell Ourselves

October 10, 2020October 12, 2020

Mohamed El-Erian, “with his decades of investing experience” (to quote Bloomberg), doesn’t think there’s any

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7 Comments on The Stories We Tell Ourselves

Are We Just Marking Time Until Rising Yields ‘Short-Circuit’ The Equity Rally?

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

Rightly or wrongly, the market appears to be pricing out Donald Trump. The 2016 experience

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2 Comments on Are We Just Marking Time Until Rising Yields ‘Short-Circuit’ The Equity Rally?

‘The Top’ Is Near And The World Is Changing

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

The top in asset prices will come between the election and inauguration, BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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5 Comments on ‘The Top’ Is Near And The World Is Changing

Be Better

October 8, 2020October 9, 2020

All 11 S&P sectors traded higher Thursday in what felt like a largely pointless session,

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10 Comments on Be Better

Maybe The Fed Should Just Let Stocks Crash

October 8, 2020October 9, 2020

“It’s not that we have no tools. But the fiscal policy tools are much more

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7 Comments on Maybe The Fed Should Just Let Stocks Crash

Albert Edwards Doubts Bond Selloff Has Legs. And That’s Good For The FAAMG Bubble

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

“The US equity market rally over the last few years, concentrated almost exclusively on FAAMG

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards Doubts Bond Selloff Has Legs. And That’s Good For The FAAMG Bubble

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
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  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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