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Category: stocks

The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

“It’s hard to see any clear, sane path on what he’s doing”, Nancy Pelosi told

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1 Comment on The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

Would You Trade A 4% Haircut In The S&P’s Fair Value For Sanity?

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

With expectations for a Democratic sweep becoming more entrenched by the day, market participants with

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13 Comments on Would You Trade A 413 Haircut In The S&P’s Fair Value For Sanity?

Trump Kills Stimulus Talks In Dramatic About-Face. Says Negotiations To Resume ‘After I Win’

October 6, 2020October 7, 2020

On Saturday, during the first day of a short visit to Walter Reed following his

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24 Comments on Trump Kills Stimulus Talks In Dramatic About-Face. Says Negotiations To Resume ‘After I Win’

No Church In The Wild

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Journalists long ago ran out of euphemisms when it comes to describing Donald Trump’s singular

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8 Comments on No Church In The Wild

‘With Less Than 30 Days’: Goldman Recaps Cross-Asset Election Outlook After Trump Virus Scare

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

“The S&P 500 equal-weighted index had one of the largest daily outperformances since the GFC”,

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Leave a Comment on ‘With Less Than 30 Days’: Goldman Recaps Cross-Asset Election Outlook After Trump Virus Scare

Nomura’s McElligott: Market Is ‘Full-Throttle Embracing Biden, Blue Wave’

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Price action on Monday was indicative of a market “going full-throttle” in its “embrace of

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4 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Market Is ‘Full-Throttle Embracing Biden, Blue Wave’

(Don’t Fear) The Reaper

October 5, 2020October 6, 2020

On Monday afternoon, Donald Trump did precisely what many feared he might in the event

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25 Comments on (Don’t Fear) The Reaper

Did Markets Start Pricing Out Donald Trump On Monday?

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

“We’re still optimistic based on his unbelievable progress”, Mark Meadows said Monday, during remarks to

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8 Comments on Did Markets Start Pricing Out Donald Trump On Monday?

Some See White House Virus Scare Increasing Odds Of Undisputed Election

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

“At the margin, markets seem to have lowered the chance of prolonged uncertainty post-November 3”,

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6 Comments on Some See White House Virus Scare Increasing Odds Of Undisputed Election

Stable

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

Equities came into the new week looking for gains after a Weekend at Bernie’s-style effort

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2 Comments on Stable

‘Collapsing’ Fundamentals And Fingers Crossed For The Future

October 4, 2020October 5, 2020

It probably won’t surprise you to learn that the S&P 500’s entire gain in 2020

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1 Comment on ‘Collapsing’ Fundamentals And Fingers Crossed For The Future

Marko Kolanovic Weighs In On Trump COVID Diagnosis, Stays Positive On Stocks

October 2, 2020October 2, 2020

If you’re reassessing your outlook for equities (or any other asset class) Friday in the

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8 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Weighs In On Trump COVID Diagnosis, Stays Positive On Stocks

Imagined Reality

October 1, 2020October 1, 2020

The good news is, the US government isn’t going to formally shutdown. As expected, Donald

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10 Comments on Imagined Reality

Cast Members

September 30, 2020October 1, 2020

Wherever they end up, negotiations around another virus relief package in the US haven’t gone

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5 Comments on Cast Members

Ambiguous Ambiguity

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

When it comes to US equities and a prospective Joe Biden administration, the debate has

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2 Comments on Ambiguous Ambiguity

Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Doomsday Prepping’ And The Underpriced ‘Risk’ Of No Chaos

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

Assuming no black swans come splashing down in the macro lake, equities may be somewhat

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Doomsday Prepping’ And The Underpriced ‘Risk’ Of No Chaos

Much More Money

September 28, 2020September 29, 2020

“Much more”. That’s a rough estimate of what Nancy Pelosi needs to hear from Steve

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5 Comments on Much More Money

Thank God For The Technocrats

September 28, 2020September 28, 2020

Equities seemed pretty sure-footed in the earliest trading this week, but separating signal from noise

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Stocks Have Cleared Two Of Three ‘Key Challenges,’ JPMorgan Says

September 28, 2020September 28, 2020

The good news is, we’ve cleared two of three key near-term challenges for equities, JPMorgan’s

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1 Comment on Stocks Have Cleared Two Of Three ‘Key Challenges,’ JPMorgan Says

Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster

September 26, 2020

Will rising inflation weigh on equity prices via higher nominal interest rates? Spoiler alert: Probably

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7 Comments on Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster

Counting Down To The Unknown

September 25, 2020September 26, 2020

All’s well that ends with the Nasdaq posting its first weekly gain in four, I

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oil1 Comment on Counting Down To The Unknown

Goldman: S&P Can Trade Election Outcome Even If AP Doesn’t Call A Winner

September 25, 2020September 25, 2020

Market participants’ concerns about the prospect of a contested US election are becoming more acute

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20 Comments on Goldman: S&P Can Trade Election Outcome Even If AP Doesn’t Call A Winner

One Week After Buying The Dip, Investors Run Screaming From US Stocks In 3rd Biggest Outflow Ever

September 25, 2020September 25, 2020

One week on from the biggest inflow into equities since March of 2018, investors fled

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3 Comments on One Week After Buying The Dip, Investors Run Screaming From US Stocks In 3rd Biggest Outflow Ever

To Hell And Back Again (And Why September Doesn’t Presage A ‘Big Bear Move’)

September 25, 2020

It’s been a wild year. How’s that for an understatement? Consider that nine months later,

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3 Comments on To Hell And Back Again (And Why September Doesn’t Presage A ‘Big Bear Move’)

Nomura’s McElligott Talks Short Gamma, ‘Robinhood YOLO’ing’ As Tech Heads For Worst Month Since 2008

September 24, 2020September 24, 2020

Equities are unshackled this week post-last Friday’s quad witching expiry, and the “unclenching” effect from

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Talks Short Gamma, ‘Robinhood YOLO’ing’ As Tech Heads For Worst Month Since 2008

Everything We Can Think Of

September 23, 2020September 24, 2020

“I think this will end up in the Supreme Court and I think it’s very

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1 Comment on Everything We Can Think Of

Crazy Times, Brave Vol Traders, And The ‘God Forbidden Realization Of Chaos’

September 23, 2020September 23, 2020

Crazy times On Tuesday, after a half hour search finally turned up my missing envelopes

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9 Comments on Crazy Times, Brave Vol Traders, And The ‘God Forbidden Realization Of Chaos’

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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