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Category: bonds

Kevin Muir, Nomura’s McElligott On Why The Reflation Trade Might Not Be Dead Just Yet

November 6, 2020November 7, 2020

The immediate post-election trade was defined by a “blue fade“: Renewed enthusiasm for tech, no

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11 Comments on Kevin Muir, Nomura’s McElligott On Why The Reflation Trade Might Not Be Dead Just Yet

No Surrender

November 5, 2020

US equities stormed higher for a fourth day Thursday, bringing gains on the week to

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6 Comments on No Surrender

‘This Only Means One Thing’: Albert Edwards On The US Election

November 5, 2020November 5, 2020

Predictably, Donald Trump sued everyone in sight this week, even before Joe Biden reached the

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6 Comments on ‘This Only Means One Thing’: Albert Edwards On The US Election

The Day The Earth Stood Still

November 4, 2020November 5, 2020

Donald Trump appeared poised to put up a legal fight in the event some combination

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9 Comments on The Day The Earth Stood Still

The ‘Blue Fade’ Trade

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

Wednesday was all about fading the “blue sweep” narrative, as overnight price action spilled over

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1 Comment on The ‘Blue Fade’ Trade

Markets Showed Blue Sweep Bias Into Vote Count As Trump Predicted ‘Victory’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Markets generally retained what felt like a “blue sweep” bias across the Election Day cash

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1 Comment on Markets Showed Blue Sweep Bias Into Vote Count As Trump Predicted ‘Victory’

‘Unfathomable Consequences’

October 30, 2020November 2, 2020

The last full week of trading before America’s date with what some still fear will

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12 Comments on ‘Unfathomable Consequences’

Sell The Stocks. But Don’t Take The Bonds. Or The Cannoli

October 28, 2020

Blame the virus, blame lockdowns in Europe, blame positioning, or blame your favorite election narrative.

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9 Comments on Sell The Stocks. But Don’t Take The Bonds. Or The Cannoli

What Matters

October 27, 2020October 28, 2020

Markets are plagued (figuratively and literally) with ominous headlines around a second COVID wave. France

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1 Comment on What Matters

Watching, Waiting, Hoping

October 25, 2020October 26, 2020

Traders are staring down a data-heavy week ahead of Election Day in the US, as

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Leave a Comment on Watching, Waiting, Hoping

Tail Risks Of The Reconstruction: Nomura’s McElligott, BMO, Goldman Talk Rates, Stimulus, Election Nexus

October 21, 2020October 21, 2020

If everyone else zigs, you may want to zag — at least for a hedge.

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Leave a Comment on Tail Risks Of The Reconstruction: Nomura’s McElligott, BMO, Goldman Talk Rates, Stimulus, Election Nexus

Faux Deadlines

October 21, 2020October 21, 2020

The stimulus “deadline” in the US on Tuesday turned out not to be a “deadline,”

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6 Comments on Faux Deadlines

‘We Should Have Done Something. But I’m Not Optimistic’

October 20, 2020October 20, 2020

Nancy Pelosi stoked stimulus optimism Tuesday during remarks to Bloomberg Television just hours ahead of

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4 Comments on ‘We Should Have Done Something. But I’m Not Optimistic’

T-Minus

October 16, 2020October 17, 2020

Equities attempted to coast out of what felt like a frustratingly long week on a

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3 Comments on T-Minus

The Stories We Tell Ourselves

October 10, 2020October 12, 2020

Mohamed El-Erian, “with his decades of investing experience” (to quote Bloomberg), doesn’t think there’s any

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7 Comments on The Stories We Tell Ourselves

‘So Many Things Could Go Wrong’

October 9, 2020October 12, 2020

If it’s more evidence of the market’s growing conviction around a changing of the guard

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5 Comments on ‘So Many Things Could Go Wrong’

Are We Just Marking Time Until Rising Yields ‘Short-Circuit’ The Equity Rally?

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

Rightly or wrongly, the market appears to be pricing out Donald Trump. The 2016 experience

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2 Comments on Are We Just Marking Time Until Rising Yields ‘Short-Circuit’ The Equity Rally?

Divining The Odds

October 9, 2020October 9, 2020

The dollar slipped and stimulus talks remained in focus Friday as US investors hoped to

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3 Comments on Divining The Odds

Be Better

October 8, 2020October 9, 2020

All 11 S&P sectors traded higher Thursday in what felt like a largely pointless session,

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10 Comments on Be Better

Albert Edwards Doubts Bond Selloff Has Legs. And That’s Good For The FAAMG Bubble

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

“The US equity market rally over the last few years, concentrated almost exclusively on FAAMG

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards Doubts Bond Selloff Has Legs. And That’s Good For The FAAMG Bubble

The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

“It’s hard to see any clear, sane path on what he’s doing”, Nancy Pelosi told

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1 Comment on The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

Nomura’s McElligott: Market Is ‘Full-Throttle Embracing Biden, Blue Wave’

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Price action on Monday was indicative of a market “going full-throttle” in its “embrace of

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4 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Market Is ‘Full-Throttle Embracing Biden, Blue Wave’

(Don’t Fear) The Reaper

October 5, 2020October 6, 2020

On Monday afternoon, Donald Trump did precisely what many feared he might in the event

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25 Comments on (Don’t Fear) The Reaper

Did Markets Start Pricing Out Donald Trump On Monday?

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

“We’re still optimistic based on his unbelievable progress”, Mark Meadows said Monday, during remarks to

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8 Comments on Did Markets Start Pricing Out Donald Trump On Monday?

Ambiguous Ambiguity

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

When it comes to US equities and a prospective Joe Biden administration, the debate has

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2 Comments on Ambiguous Ambiguity

The Most Vexing Quandary Of Them All

September 27, 2020

The September jobs report won’t be the only thing worth watching for market participants in

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2 Comments on The Most Vexing Quandary Of Them All

Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster

September 26, 2020

Will rising inflation weigh on equity prices via higher nominal interest rates? Spoiler alert: Probably

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7 Comments on Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster

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