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Category: bonds

‘The Tendency Of Order To Degrade Into Disorder’: Kocic On An ‘Anything But Ordinary’ Election

September 24, 2020September 25, 2020

US lawmakers on Thursday sought to reassure a nervous nation. For two centuries, America has

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Perfect Storm

September 21, 2020September 22, 2020

It wouldn’t be a stretch to say that things “fell apart” on Monday for US

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3 Comments on Perfect Storm

Tragically Apt

September 18, 2020September 21, 2020

US equities struggled Friday as the Trump administration introduced fresh uncertainty into an already fraught

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16 Comments on Tragically Apt

Jerome Powell Can’t Find Duration Bubble He Saw Eight Years Ago

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

As regular readers are aware, I’m generally loath to devote too much energy to lampooning

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7 Comments on Jerome Powell Can’t Find Duration Bubble He Saw Eight Years Ago

‘The Vaccine’s The Thing’ For Bond Yields, Elusive Stock Rotation

September 15, 2020

“The vaccine’s the thing”, writes BofA’s Michael Hartnett, describing what respondents to the bank’s monthly

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1 Comment on ‘The Vaccine’s The Thing’ For Bond Yields, Elusive Stock Rotation

‘We Disagree With Every Element Of This Narrative’: Why One Bank Doubts A Consensus Bond Trade

September 5, 2020September 7, 2020

Lost in the fog of “whale tales” and superseded in the news cycle by the

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1 Comment on ‘We Disagree With Every Element Of This Narrative’: Why One Bank Doubts A Consensus Bond Trade

A Badly Needed ‘Crash’

September 3, 2020September 4, 2020

Lost in a truly egregious rout for US equities on Thursday was news that Steve

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5 Comments on A Badly Needed ‘Crash’

Bridgewater ‘Tweaks’ Risk Parity Model, Moves Into Gold As Bonds Get More Risky

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

“Is risk parity dead?” probably isn’t the right question. In the same vein, “the end

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16 Comments on Bridgewater ‘Tweaks’ Risk Parity Model, Moves Into Gold As Bonds Get More Risky

Steeped In It

August 28, 2020August 29, 2020

Another day, another record high for US equities. The S&P rose a seventh straight day

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5 Comments on Steeped In It

Max Dovish

August 27, 2020August 28, 2020

“Stocks rise, yield curve steepens” was the five-word summary for Thursday’s action in US equities

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4 Comments on Max Dovish

‘Extremely Highly Confident’

August 21, 2020August 22, 2020

“We intend for this package of tariff reductions to mark just the beginning of a

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2 Comments on ‘Extremely Highly Confident’

Fed Didn’t ‘Exacerbate Moral Hazard’ With Treasury Market ‘Intervention’, Fed Finds

August 20, 2020August 20, 2020

By The New York Fed (via Liberty Street Economics) In response to disorderly market conditions

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3 Comments on Fed Didn’t ‘Exacerbate Moral Hazard’ With Treasury Market ‘Intervention’, Fed Finds

‘What’s Not There’

August 19, 2020August 20, 2020

The problem with the July Fed minutes is “what’s not there”, one rates trader said

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1 Comment on ‘What’s Not There’

While Rome Burned

August 18, 2020August 19, 2020

Under heavy political fire, postmaster general (and Trump donor) Louis DeJoy promised on Tuesday to

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3 Comments on While Rome Burned

‘Two Weeks Of Calm’ And What’s Next For Stocks, Bonds, And Gold

August 18, 2020

The last two weeks of August will likely witness stabilization in the US rates space

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Leave a Comment on ‘Two Weeks Of Calm’ And What’s Next For Stocks, Bonds, And Gold

Foreigners Were Buying US Debt Again In June As Apocalypse Abated

August 17, 2020August 17, 2020

Foreign holdings of US Treasurys rose a second month in June, TIC data out Monday

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1 Comment on Foreigners Were Buying US Debt Again In June As Apocalypse Abated

Gamma Drop-Off And Rates Back-Up (A Pair Of Risks. Maybe.)

August 17, 2020August 17, 2020

If you’re searching for a reason to fret about US equities perched at record highs

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Leave a Comment on Gamma Drop-Off And Rates Back-Up (A Pair Of Risks. Maybe.)

‘This Is Uncharted Territory’: Wall Street Weighs Prospect Of Contested Election Outcome

August 15, 2020August 16, 2020

“The items are the post office and the $3.5 billion for mail-in voting”, Donald Trump

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5 Comments on ‘This Is Uncharted Territory’: Wall Street Weighs Prospect Of Contested Election Outcome

Ride Of The Valkyries (Endangered Species)

August 14, 2020August 14, 2020

“Now I can’t stop humming Ride Of The Valkyries, while imagining bond vigilante helicopter gun-ships laying

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9 Comments on Ride Of The Valkyries (Endangered Species)

Five On It

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

Make it five. Treasury yields rose a fifth session Thursday after the closely-watched 30-year sale

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2 Comments on Five On It

Where’s The Rent Deflation?, Albert Edwards Asks The Bureau Of Labor Statistics

August 13, 2020August 13, 2020

One of the many explanations rolled out when explaining the monumental ~54% surge in US

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3 Comments on Where’s The Rent Deflation?, Albert Edwards Asks The Bureau Of Labor Statistics

Resurrection

August 12, 2020August 13, 2020

The pro-cyclical nature of the action in US equities witnessed over the past several sessions

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2 Comments on Resurrection

Coal Mine Canary? CTAs Flip Short Bunds During ‘Heck Of A Week For Pain Trades,’ McElligott Says

August 12, 2020August 12, 2020

Tuesday was potentially important. I tried to drive that home after the dust had settled

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1 Comment on Coal Mine Canary? CTAs Flip Short Bunds During ‘Heck Of A Week For Pain Trades,’ McElligott Says

Desperation

August 11, 2020August 12, 2020

A dearth of flashy headlines obscured an otherwise interesting session in the US on Tuesday,

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5 Comments on Desperation

The Bond Market Sent Out A Warning Late Last Week. Was Anyone Listening?

August 9, 2020August 9, 2020

The market delivered a warning to gold bulls, big-cap tech investors, and dollar bears on

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3 Comments on The Bond Market Sent Out A Warning Late Last Week. Was Anyone Listening?

Tech Wars, Great Debasements, And A $2.4 Trillion ‘Non-Starter’

August 7, 2020August 7, 2020

A July jobs report billed ahead of time as a potential game-changer for a market

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oil4 Comments on Tech Wars, Great Debasements, And A $2.4 Trillion ‘Non-Starter’

‘That’s A Record’: US Terms Out Massive Financing Need With Scope Of New Stimulus Uncertain

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The US announced a record $112 billion quarterly refunding on Wednesday, a total that eclipsed

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3 Comments on ‘That’s A Record’: US Terms Out Massive Financing Need With Scope Of New Stimulus Uncertain

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