Personal incomes fell 2.7% in August, according to data that is by now so stale
Author: therealheisenberg
ISM Miss Adds To ‘Cooling’ Narrative As Rebound Drags On
Rounding out a deluge of Thursday data was ISM, which missed for September, albeit not
Jobless Claims ‘Improve,’ Still Worst Ever Outside Of Pandemic
837,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, confirming (again) that the labor market has
Imagined Reality
The good news is, the US government isn’t going to formally shutdown. As expected, Donald
When Is A Silver Bullet Not A Silver Bullet?
When is a silver bullet not a silver bullet? That’s a question market participants need
Cast Members
Wherever they end up, negotiations around another virus relief package in the US haven’t gone
Strong ADP Report Bodes Well For September Payrolls As Stimulus Talks Continue
US firms added 749,000 jobs in September, ADP said Wednesday. That was more than the
Who Is Donald Trump? Even He May Not Know Anymore
Headlines for stories documenting the first presidential debate read like lamentations for a country that’s
Markets Grapple With Debate Debacle, EU Tariff Threat, China Antitrust Probe Into Google
“If the US presidential debate had, in election night fashion, flashed up a picture of
Chicago PMI Was So Good It Decided To Come Out Early
The Chicago PMI is supposed to come out at 9:45 AM ET, but on Wednesday,
Wallace, Biden Entered Trump’s Event Horizon. They Didn’t Make It Out
In the hours ahead of the first presidential debate on Tuesday evening in the US,
China PMIs Beat, Ostensibly Bolstering Recovery Case
China’s economic recovery remained largely on track in September, PMI data out Wednesday suggested. The
Ambiguous Ambiguity
When it comes to US equities and a prospective Joe Biden administration, the debate has
‘For Some Reason’ America’s Government ‘Just Can’t Get It Done’
The daily rate of positive coronavirus tests hit 3.25% in New York City, Bill de
Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Doomsday Prepping’ And The Underpriced ‘Risk’ Of No Chaos
Assuming no black swans come splashing down in the macro lake, equities may be somewhat
Europe Risks ‘Deflationary Spiral’ As German Data Raises Alarm
If Christine Lagarde and the ECB were already fretting about deflation risks in the months
Much More Money
“Much more”. That’s a rough estimate of what Nancy Pelosi needs to hear from Steve
When It Comes To Huge Corporate Leverage, There Is No Easy Way Out
“Records were shattered on debt, GDP, and leverage”, SocGen’s Stephen Gallagher writes, recapping what will
Thank God For The Technocrats
Equities seemed pretty sure-footed in the earliest trading this week, but separating signal from noise
Stocks Have Cleared Two Of Three ‘Key Challenges,’ JPMorgan Says
The good news is, we’ve cleared two of three key near-term challenges for equities, JPMorgan’s
Risk On In A Risky World
Global equities came into the new week looking for gains as risk appetite was buoyant
Trump’s Tax Returns Revealed. They Are A Disaster
Donald Trump paid no federal income taxes in 10 of the past 15 years, and
MMT Is From Venus
Analysts and, begrudgingly, mainstream economists, seem to be coming around to the notion that fiscal-monetary
The Most Vexing Quandary Of Them All
The September jobs report won’t be the only thing worth watching for market participants in
2 Americas And The Final Pre-Election Jobs Report
In the new week, markets will navigate top-tier data, geopolitical drama, and domestic discord in
Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster
Will rising inflation weigh on equity prices via higher nominal interest rates? Spoiler alert: Probably
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