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Featured

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Perfect Storm

September 21, 2020September 22, 2020

It wouldn’t be a stretch to say that things “fell apart” on Monday for US

Read More

3 Comments on Perfect Storm

War Games

September 21, 2020September 21, 2020

To be fair, decisions on when to impose sanctions or otherwise aggravate irascible international state

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4 Comments on War Games

As Stocks Tumble, JPMorgan Flags ‘Worrying Development’ In Rising Short Base

September 21, 2020September 22, 2020

US equities careened sharply lower on Monday, as a veritable laundry list of worries conspired

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1 Comment on As Stocks Tumble, JPMorgan Flags ‘Worrying Development’ In Rising Short Base

No Money Like Dirty Money

September 21, 2020September 21, 2020

A dizzying confluence of factors cast a pall over markets to start the new week,

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12 Comments on No Money Like Dirty Money

A Critical, Worrying Juncture

September 21, 2020September 21, 2020

A fairly acute bout of risk-off sentiment gripped markets to start the new week, with

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3 Comments on A Critical, Worrying Juncture

Something Dramatic This Way Comes

September 20, 2020September 21, 2020

You can now toss out whatever expectations you may have had for the news cycle

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3 Comments on Something Dramatic This Way Comes

For The World’s Largest Economy: Two Possible Futures

September 20, 2020September 21, 2020

On Friday, Goldman suggested that Joe Biden’s tax plan has the potential to accelerate any

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15 Comments on For The World’s Largest Economy: Two Possible Futures

What’s Really At Stake In November

September 20, 2020September 21, 2020

“Everything Americans value is at stake”, Chuck Schumer reportedly warned, during a Democratic Caucus call

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16 Comments on What’s Really At Stake In November

Revisionist History Funded By IPOs And Forced M&A: A Glimpse Into Post-Democratic Capitalism

September 20, 2020September 21, 2020

In “What’s Really At Stake In November“, I described the forthcoming US election as an

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5 Comments on Revisionist History Funded By IPOs And Forced M&A: A Glimpse Into Post-Democratic Capitalism

Trump ‘Blesses’ The ‘Concept’ Of Oracle’s TikTok Deal

September 19, 2020September 21, 2020

A day after Wilbur Ross’s Commerce department issued prohibitions that would shut down WeChat in

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8 Comments on Trump ‘Blesses’ The ‘Concept’ Of Oracle’s TikTok Deal

Valuing A Vaccine

September 19, 2020September 21, 2020

So far, September is an “upside down” month. Previously bulletproof mega-cap tech shares plunged into

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2 Comments on Valuing A Vaccine

‘My Most Fervent Wish’

September 19, 2020September 21, 2020

“My most fervent wish is that I will not be replaced until a new president

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17 Comments on ‘My Most Fervent Wish’

Sentinel Lost

September 18, 2020September 21, 2020

Exactly two months ago, when America lost John Lewis, I wrote that any attempt to

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22 Comments on Sentinel Lost

Tragically Apt

September 18, 2020September 21, 2020

US equities struggled Friday as the Trump administration introduced fresh uncertainty into an already fraught

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16 Comments on Tragically Apt

‘Dash From Cash’ Brings ‘Massive’ Stock Inflows, But No Escape Velocity For Recovery Yet

September 18, 2020September 18, 2020

The “dash from cash is accelerating”, BofA’s Michael Hartnett writes, flagging the biggest six-week cumulative

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Leave a Comment on ‘Dash From Cash’ Brings ‘Massive’ Stock Inflows, But No Escape Velocity For Recovery Yet

Nomura’s McElligott Talks Possible ‘October Surprise,’ Near-Term Outlook Following Tech Rout

September 18, 2020September 18, 2020

It may look like value is suddenly en vogue in September with laggards like the

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10 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Talks Possible ‘October Surprise,’ Near-Term Outlook Following Tech Rout

Analyst Warns Of ‘Fort Sumter Moment’ After Trump’s Friday TikTok, WeChat Ambush

September 18, 2020September 18, 2020

Some analysts are already warning that the Commerce department’s Friday morning broadside against WeChat and

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6 Comments on Analyst Warns Of ‘Fort Sumter Moment’ After Trump’s Friday TikTok, WeChat Ambush

Trump Bans WeChat From US, Freezes TikTok Updates In App Stores Starting Monday

September 18, 2020September 18, 2020

Wilbur Ross’s Commerce department on Friday imposed sweeping new rules on TikTok and WeChat in

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1 Comment on Trump Bans WeChat From US, Freezes TikTok Updates In App Stores Starting Monday

Fun And Games

September 18, 2020September 18, 2020

“Investors await catalysts”, read one chyron on a quad witching Friday, capturing the “limbo” character

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Leave a Comment on Fun And Games

Bonanzas, Borrowing Binges, And Cash Off The Sidelines

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

Investment grade credit funds took in another $5.17 billion in the week through Wednesday, the

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2 Comments on Bonanzas, Borrowing Binges, And Cash Off The Sidelines

Of Course There Are Already Plans For A ‘TikTok Global’ IPO

September 17, 2020September 18, 2020

When Steve Mnuchin teased “TikTok Global” earlier this week, it was hard not to laugh.

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5 Comments on Of Course There Are Already Plans For A ‘TikTok Global’ IPO

Bubble Watching With A Blind Man

September 17, 2020

On Wednesday afternoon, during a virtual Q&A with reporters, Jerome Powell made a somewhat dubious

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1 Comment on Bubble Watching With A Blind Man

September Tech Correction Turns World Upside Down

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

The US equity market took a rare turn for the egalitarian in September. A summer

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1 Comment on September Tech Correction Turns World Upside Down

Jobless Claims: ‘Better’ Is An Extremely Relative Term These Days

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

860,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, broadly in-line with market expectations. The latest

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims: ‘Better’ Is An Extremely Relative Term These Days

Negativity: BOE Does Prep Work For Sub-Zero Rates

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

The existing stance of policy remains appropriate, the BOE said Thursday, in the course of

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Leave a Comment on Negativity: BOE Does Prep Work For Sub-Zero Rates

SqueezIt

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

Global equities were under pressure Thursday, as Jerome Powell’s perceived reticence on tweaks to the

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6 Comments on SqueezIt

Jerome Powell Can’t Find Duration Bubble He Saw Eight Years Ago

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

As regular readers are aware, I’m generally loath to devote too much energy to lampooning

Read More

7 Comments on Jerome Powell Can’t Find Duration Bubble He Saw Eight Years Ago

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • hackpoet on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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