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Category: Markets

Jobless Claims Drop In Welcome Reprieve, As Stimulus Talks Ongoing

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

712,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, far fewer than expected, marking a welcome

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Drop In Welcome Reprieve, As Stimulus Talks Ongoing

Record High Stocks. Record Number Of Newly Deceased

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

Global equities were muted Thursday, loitering near records as market participants await the next catalyst,

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Harley Bassman Presents: ‘The Wages of Fear’

December 2, 2020December 3, 2020

In the same way that one “borrows beer” at a party, having the Treasury wash

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18 Comments on Harley Bassman Presents: ‘The Wages of Fear’

Just Ignore This Big ADP Miss, And Don’t Even Bother With The Internals, Ok?

December 2, 2020December 2, 2020

In what’s either a bad omen or nothing to be particularly concerned about given ADP’s

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Sell The Best News In Modern History?

December 2, 2020December 2, 2020

There was some market chatter on Wednesday around the notion that vaccine approval and distribution

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3 Comments on Sell The Best News In Modern History?

It’s Urgent

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

“It’s essential that we move with urgency — inaction will produce a self-reinforcing downturn causing

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7 Comments on It’s Urgent

Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

On Monday, while documenting what I generically described as “a month to remember” (usually I

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5 Comments on Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook

‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

Six months after declaring COVID-19 “a global health crisis without precedent in living memory” and

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11 Comments on ‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’

Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

ISM manufacturing, the first of this week’s top-tier data out of the US, was a

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1 Comment on Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak

For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

At a time when too many market participants are seemingly terrified of hyperinflation (or at

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12 Comments on For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around

Recoveries And Trust Issues

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

Global equities were buoyant to start the final month of 2020, rebounding from an uninspired

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A Month To Remember

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

November 2020 will go down in the history books for a variety of reasons. First,

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2 Comments on A Month To Remember

You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

November scarcely needed another market milestone, having offered up a veritable cornucopia already, but I’ll

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1 Comment on You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones

The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

It’s probably not a stretch to suggest that outside of some unforeseen mutation in COVID-19

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1 Comment on The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets

Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’

November 30, 2020November 30, 2020

Global equities looked to take a step back Monday, in cautious trading on the last

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4 Comments on Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’

It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World

November 29, 2020November 30, 2020

It’s all relative. That universally applicable old adage (you can always find a use for

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6 Comments on It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World

In Funhouse Mirror Fixed Income Market, Zero Is No Obstacle

November 29, 2020

Last week, Riccardo Fraccaro, cabinet undersecretary to Italian Premier Giuseppe Conte, suggested the ECB should

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Back To Work

November 29, 2020November 29, 2020

The US is poised to get back to business coming off a holiday which this

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3 Comments on Back To Work

They Used To Pull The Bull Out, And They Used To Eat It

November 28, 2020November 28, 2020

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: I love reading copy sometimes. “Hitting

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5 Comments on They Used To Pull The Bull Out, And They Used To Eat It

Back To The Tinderbox

November 27, 2020November 28, 2020

Headed into December, one key part of the year-end, melt-up thesis is that realized volatility

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2 Comments on Back To The Tinderbox

Biden Was Elected. And Stocks Didn’t Crash.

November 26, 2020November 29, 2020

It makes sense — sort of. When you assess the incoming economic data and the

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5 Comments on Biden Was Elected. And Stocks Didn’t Crash.

Italian Official Has An Idea For The ECB: Just Cancel The Bonds You Bought

November 26, 2020November 29, 2020

In comments that are sure to rankle critics of the current policy conjuncture that finds

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5 Comments on Italian Official Has An Idea For The ECB: Just Cancel The Bonds You Bought

Christmas Bubbles

November 26, 2020November 29, 2020

Caution crept into global markets Thursday, as investors appear suddenly reticent after a month of

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6 Comments on Christmas Bubbles

Give Thanks

November 25, 2020November 29, 2020

A lackluster pre-Thanksgiving session stateside found the dollar falling to the lowest since April of

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10 Comments on Give Thanks

The Fed Talked Quite A Bit About QE Options Earlier This Month, November Minutes Show

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

The prospect of a Janet Yellen Treasury and the public spat between Steve Mnuchin and

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2 Comments on The Fed Talked Quite A Bit About QE Options Earlier This Month, November Minutes Show

If Your Income Drops, How Do You Keep Consuming?

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

Personal incomes fell much more than expected in October, the BEA said Wednesday. The 0.7%

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Surprise! Jobless Claims Jump As Pandemic Rages Unabated

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

778,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, a five-week high and far more than

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