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Category: Markets

Manufacturing A Durable Recovery

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

Although Wednesday brought unwelcome news on the labor market, durable goods orders were resilient. The

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Since 1988

November 25, 2020November 25, 2020

Global markets meandered Wednesday, as traders and investors took a step back to ponder the

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18 Comments on Since 1988

New Bitcoin Mania Has People Making No Sense Again

November 24, 2020November 25, 2020

We’ve reached the point in the latest Bitcoin upswing that I’m obliged to mention the

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14 Comments on New Bitcoin Mania Has People Making No Sense Again

Fairy Godmother

November 24, 2020November 25, 2020

“Yellen will be in close contact with the Powell Fed to ensure that nearly all

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‘A Sacred Number’: A Despondent Trump Holds Bizarre Press Conference To Honor Dow 30,000

November 24, 2020November 24, 2020

The Dow topped 30,000 on Tuesday, and while it’s always impossible to definitively ascribe causation,

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10 Comments on ‘A Sacred Number’: A Despondent Trump Holds Bizarre Press Conference To Honor Dow 30,000

Nomura’s McElligott On Yellen As Treasury Secretary, Year-End Outlook

November 24, 2020November 24, 2020

For the better part of two months, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott has been keen to press

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5 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On Yellen As Treasury Secretary, Year-End Outlook

Bad Mood

November 24, 2020November 24, 2020

Consumer confidence dipped in November, The Conference Board said Tuesday, citing “the resurgence of COVID-19”

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Rebalancing May See $300 Billion Out Of Stocks By Year-End: JPMorgan

November 23, 2020November 23, 2020

It’s time to have the rebalancing discussion again. Or at least if you’re a JPMorgan

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5 Comments on Rebalancing May See $300 Billion Out Of Stocks By Year-End: JPMorgan

‘Quite Literally At A Price’: Inflation Comes Roaring To Life In US PMIs

November 23, 2020November 23, 2020

While you can expect high frequency indicators to start reflecting the various lockdown protocols instituted

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5 Comments on ‘Quite Literally At A Price’: Inflation Comes Roaring To Life In US PMIs

Morgan’s Mike Wilson: ‘I’m A Steadfast Bull’

November 23, 2020November 23, 2020

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, known to some as the man who predicted the Q4 2018

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Europe Heads For Double-Dip Downturn As Western World Succumbs

November 23, 2020

Surprise! The European economy looks poised to log another contraction, fresh off Q3’s rebound from

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Who’s Looking Forward To ‘Normal’?

November 23, 2020November 23, 2020

More encouraging vaccine headlines looked to bolster risk sentiment in the new week as the

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2 Comments on Who’s Looking Forward To ‘Normal’?

Weary & Wary

November 22, 2020November 23, 2020

Market participants headed into the holiday-shortened week weary of increasingly absurd political theatrics and wary

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5 Comments on Weary & Wary

Reports Of 60/40’s Demise Were Greatly Exaggerated (Laphroaig Bottle)

November 22, 2020November 22, 2020

Predicting the demise of 60/40 has been a fool’s errand. To be sure, it’s not

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Why Portfolio Managers And Executives Think Goldman’s 2021 S&P Forecast Is Too High

November 22, 2020November 23, 2020

When Goldman asked domestic and international portfolio managers, hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, and corporate

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3 Comments on Why Portfolio Managers And Executives Think Goldman’s 2021 S&P Forecast Is Too High

Stocks Are Really Enjoying Themselves In November

November 21, 2020

Pullbacks in equities will be “absorbed.” That’s what someone from JPMorgan Asset Management told Bloomberg

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The $17 Trillion Reason Not To Panic About Corporate Bonds

November 20, 2020November 20, 2020

You might be inclined to think market participants are suddenly nervous about the outlook for

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Uber-Goldilocks

November 20, 2020November 20, 2020

I guess we need to add a new term to the lexicon: “Uber Goldilocks.” You

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‘Setting Biden Up For Disaster’: Steve Mnuchin Faces Allegations Of Sabotage

November 20, 2020

Steve Mnuchin came under what it’s fair to describe as intense scrutiny on Friday, after

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19 Comments on ‘Setting Biden Up For Disaster’: Steve Mnuchin Faces Allegations Of Sabotage

Amid ‘Odd’ Treasury-Fed Spat, Correction Window Opens Ahead Of Assumed Year-End Melt-Up

November 20, 2020November 20, 2020

Prepare for a possible “unclenching.” That’s one message from Nomura’s Charlie McElligott, who, in a

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4 Comments on Amid ‘Odd’ Treasury-Fed Spat, Correction Window Opens Ahead Of Assumed Year-End Melt-Up

Authorizations During Emergencies

November 20, 2020November 20, 2020

Pfizer and BioNTech will submit an emergency use authorization request for their jointly-developed COVID-19 vaccine

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King Dollar Relinquishes Global Payments Crown. But Save Your ‘Demise’ Narratives

November 19, 2020November 19, 2020

Those who love a good “dethroning King Dollar” story will be excited to know that

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8 Comments on King Dollar Relinquishes Global Payments Crown. But Save Your ‘Demise’ Narratives

Don’t Worry: The Housing Bubble Is Alive And Well

November 19, 2020November 19, 2020

At least the housing bubble is intact. Existing home sales defied expectations for a decline,

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Jobless Claims Unexpectedly Rise, Adding To Economic Consternation

November 19, 2020November 19, 2020

742,000 Americans filed for unemployment claims last week, more than the market expected. It’s an

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Erdogan Lets New Central Bank Governor Hike Rates. U-Turn ‘Obviously’ Won’t Last

November 19, 2020November 19, 2020

Warm congratulations to Naci Agbal, who replaced Murat Uysal at the helm of Turkey’s central

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Slow Bleed

November 19, 2020November 19, 2020

The dollar moved higher from a 29-month low Thursday, as risk-off vibes tied to America’s

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Obligations Of The Undead

November 18, 2020November 18, 2020

Meanwhile, from the world of “zombies” and possibly unsustainable debt burdens… The financial media (and

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Monthly Letters

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