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Category: Markets

Crude Carnage, China ‘On Track’ And ‘When Does The Pub Open Again?’

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

Global equities were generally buoyant Monday, kicking off a pivotal week with gains despite a

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oil3 Comments on Crude Carnage, China ‘On Track’ And ‘When Does The Pub Open Again?’

Fed Meeting, October Jobs Report Are Election Week’s ‘Other’ Big Events

November 1, 2020November 2, 2020

It feels somehow trivial to mention (let alone analyze) next week’s “other” marquee events and

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And Now, Another Astounding FAAMG Factoid

November 1, 2020November 2, 2020

The US equity market is a lot like American society — inegalitarian and defined by

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1 Comment on And Now, Another Astounding FAAMG Factoid

An Eleventh Hour Election Warning For Traders And Investors

November 1, 2020November 3, 2020

Editor’s note: The following piece first ran here on Sunday. We’re keeping it featured prominently

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20 Comments on An Eleventh Hour Election Warning For Traders And Investors

‘Classic Toppy Signs’ In An Insane World

October 31, 2020November 2, 2020

The next US president, whether Donald Trump (again) or Joe Biden, will inherit one of

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16 Comments on ‘Classic Toppy Signs’ In An Insane World

‘Unfathomable Consequences’

October 30, 2020November 2, 2020

The last full week of trading before America’s date with what some still fear will

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12 Comments on ‘Unfathomable Consequences’

‘Efficiency Work’

October 30, 2020

It’s fair to say 2020 has been a disastrous year for Exxon. The company, once

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11 Comments on ‘Efficiency Work’

Drunken Dart Games (Don’t Get Excited: This Is About Personal Income And Outlays)

October 30, 2020October 30, 2020

The last of this week’s data deluge washed over markets that didn’t generally care on

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From Record-Setting Growth To Double-Dip Recession: Europe’s Fate Seen Sealed

October 30, 2020

The euro-area economy expanded at a record pace in Q3, as the same “turn the

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1 Comment on From Record-Setting Growth To Double-Dip Recession: Europe’s Fate Seen Sealed

For America’s Tech Titans, Weight Of The World Gets Heavy

October 30, 2020October 30, 2020

Tech shares weighed on equities Friday, as solid earnings from Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and Alphabet

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1 Comment on For America’s Tech Titans, Weight Of The World Gets Heavy

These Great Numbers

October 29, 2020October 29, 2020

“Biggest and Best in the History of our Country, and not even close,” Donald Trump

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4 Comments on These Great Numbers

Goodbye Goldilocks

October 29, 2020November 1, 2020

The prospect of Republicans holding the Senate and proceeding to block Democratic spending proposals was

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7 Comments on Goodbye Goldilocks

Jobless Claims, Signal Versus Noise, And ‘Better’ Versus ‘Good’

October 29, 2020October 29, 2020

The US economy rebounded in predictably robust fashion during the third quarter, but the recovery

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2 Comments on Jobless Claims, Signal Versus Noise, And ‘Better’ Versus ‘Good’

Lagarde, ECB Confront Double-Dip Recession As Europe Plunges Back Into Lockdown

October 29, 2020October 29, 2020

While explaining France’s new coronavirus lockdowns, Emmanuel Macron was unequivocal in dispelling the notion that there

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US Economy Serves Up Predictably Huge GDP Print. But Does Anyone Care?

October 29, 2020October 29, 2020

The US economy expanded at a record pace in the third quarter, the first read

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No Magical Solution

October 29, 2020October 29, 2020

Daily coronavirus cases in Germany topped 20,000 for the first time since the onset of

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2 Comments on No Magical Solution

Sell The Stocks. But Don’t Take The Bonds. Or The Cannoli

October 28, 2020

Blame the virus, blame lockdowns in Europe, blame positioning, or blame your favorite election narrative.

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9 Comments on Sell The Stocks. But Don’t Take The Bonds. Or The Cannoli

Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Wednesday’s ‘Bonkers Freakout’

October 28, 2020October 28, 2020

Selling begets selling into an illiquid market facilitating a vicious downward spiral. It’s a familiar

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Wednesday’s ‘Bonkers Freakout’

Fed Is ‘Really’ Out Of Firepower. ‘Only Government Spending’ Can Save Country, Bill Dudley Warns

October 28, 2020

“If the Fed managed to push that down by another 0.5 percentage point, what difference

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1 Comment on Fed Is ‘Really’ Out Of Firepower. ‘Only Government Spending’ Can Save Country, Bill Dudley Warns

This May Be The Biggest Long-Term Risk For Stocks And The Economy

October 28, 2020October 29, 2020

On Tuesday, I talked a bit out the possible disinflationary read-through in the event the

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16 Comments on This May Be The Biggest Long-Term Risk For Stocks And The Economy

Coughs And Coffins

October 28, 2020October 28, 2020

The mood turned dour indeed on Wednesday, as hand-wringing tied to new virus lockdowns in

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‘What If He Does It Again?’ Hedging An ‘Unthinkable’ Trump Victory

October 27, 2020

Earlier this month, in “‘So Many Things Could Go Wrong’,” I talked briefly about the

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1 Comment on ‘What If He Does It Again?’ Hedging An ‘Unthinkable’ Trump Victory

Confidence, Core Competencies, And CAT Naps

October 27, 2020

Are the “fundamentals” sound? The answer on Tuesday was: “It’s complicated.” Durable goods orders beat,

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From ‘Chaos’ To ‘Blue Wave Mania’: Nomura’s McElligott On Election ‘Narrative Overshoots’

October 27, 2020October 27, 2020

Observing the evolution of the election narrative through the market’s beer goggles has been quite

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8 Comments on From ‘Chaos’ To ‘Blue Wave Mania’: Nomura’s McElligott On Election ‘Narrative Overshoots’

China Has Seen Enough Yuan Strength, Apparently

October 27, 2020October 27, 2020

Beijing has apparently seen enough yuan appreciation for the time being. Just hours after Guan

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1 Comment on China Has Seen Enough Yuan Strength, Apparently

Eating Out In Germany & Drinking Water On The Moon

October 27, 2020October 27, 2020

Lockdown worries continued to plague market psychology Tuesday, or at least as it relates to

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4 Comments on Eating Out In Germany & Drinking Water On The Moon

Bitcoin Is Nothing

October 26, 2020October 31, 2020

I always hesitate before putting digital pen to digital page if the subject is Bitcoin.

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59 Comments on Bitcoin Is Nothing

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