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Author: therealheisenberg

‘That’s A Record’: US Terms Out Massive Financing Need With Scope Of New Stimulus Uncertain

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The US announced a record $112 billion quarterly refunding on Wednesday, a total that eclipsed

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3 Comments on ‘That’s A Record’: US Terms Out Massive Financing Need With Scope Of New Stimulus Uncertain

Biggest Miss In ADP History Sounds Alarm On US Labor Market

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The July jobs report is a giant question mark. It won’t capture the most recent

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1 Comment on Biggest Miss In ADP History Sounds Alarm On US Labor Market

It’s A Different Day. Or So We’re Told

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

Same story, different day was the mantra for the dollar and gold — or at

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oil1 Comment on It’s A Different Day. Or So We’re Told

ISM Services Paints Puzzling Picture, While IHS Markit Warns On ‘Possible Start Of A Double-Dip’

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The US services sector was more vibrant than expected last month, according to data you

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Leave a Comment on ISM Services Paints Puzzling Picture, While IHS Markit Warns On ‘Possible Start Of A Double-Dip’

Meanwhile, In China

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The market remained focused on stimulus talks in Washington Wednesday, with some manner of deal

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Questions Linger On Future Of 60:40, Risk Parity, While Record-Low Treasury Vol. Catches Gundlach’s Eye

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

Over the weekend, I asked if it was over for 60:40 and risk parity funds.

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5 Comments on Questions Linger On Future Of 60:40, Risk Parity, While Record-Low Treasury Vol. Catches Gundlach’s Eye

‘Once People Start Missing Payments’: Bedlam, Bullion, And The Risk Of Doing Too Little

August 4, 2020August 5, 2020

[Updates with outcome of Tuesday’s negotiations] Just a “little bit” of headway on fraught stimulus

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8 Comments on ‘Once People Start Missing Payments’: Bedlam, Bullion, And The Risk Of Doing Too Little

What If?

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

What if the path to a vaccine is longer than expected? What if all the

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3 Comments on What If?

Security Blankets, 94.5th %ile Sentiment, And ‘The View’ From Nomura’s McElligott

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

Mega-cap tech blew the proverbial doors off last week when the companies which, together, make

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Leave a Comment on Security Blankets, 94.5th %ile Sentiment, And ‘The View’ From Nomura’s McElligott

Casino

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

There’s a generalized sense of angst hanging in the thick summer air, but nobody knows

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6 Comments on Casino

I’ll Do It Myself

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

“People are going to be evicted. But I’m going to stop it”, Donald Trump declared,

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4 Comments on I’ll Do It Myself

‘It Bodes Well For Ammo Consumption’: America Goes Gun Crazy

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

It’s that time of the month again — time for gun stocks to jump on

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4 Comments on ‘It Bodes Well For Ammo Consumption’: America Goes Gun Crazy

The United States Has No Government. The Fed And Steve Mnuchin Are Serving As Caretakers

August 3, 2020August 4, 2020

On Monday, reports indicated that The White House was pondering the prospect of Donald Trump

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11 Comments on The United States Has No Government. The Fed And Steve Mnuchin Are Serving As Caretakers

ISM Manufacturing Easily Clears Hurdle, But IHS Markit Gauge Revised Lower

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

The market will digest a trio of potentially important macro data points in the days

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What JPMorgan And Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Are Saying About Stocks As August Kicks Off

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

If you harbor some “misgivings” about US equities, which have run more than 45% from

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Leave a Comment on What JPMorgan And Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Are Saying About Stocks As August Kicks Off

Conquistadors

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

Markets were somewhat muddled to start the new week as investors ponder more evidence of

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2 Comments on Conquistadors

Oh, Lord (Byte Dancing Into August Volatility)

August 2, 2020August 3, 2020

Lord & Taylor filed for Chapter 11 on Sunday in Richmond, Virginia, a stark reminder

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4 Comments on Oh, Lord (Byte Dancing Into August Volatility)

Something’s Gotta Give (Big-Picture Trends For The New Era)

August 2, 2020August 2, 2020

As should be abundantly clear to anyone who took time over the weekend to read

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19 Comments on Something’s Gotta Give (Big-Picture Trends For The New Era)

Neel Kashkari Floats New ‘Hard Lockdown,’ Says Congress Needs To ‘Support The People’

August 2, 2020August 2, 2020

Neel Kashkari was (back) on CBS’s “Face the Nation” Sunday, and unlike Jerome Powell, he’s

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7 Comments on Neel Kashkari Floats New ‘Hard Lockdown,’ Says Congress Needs To ‘Support The People’

Quarantinis (And A Glimpse Into Our Not-So-Distant Future)

August 2, 2020August 2, 2020

“I actually agree with this”, Donald Trump said over the weekend, referencing a video from

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8 Comments on Quarantinis (And A Glimpse Into Our Not-So-Distant Future)

Immune Stocks Deaf To Bonds’ Whispered Warnings

August 1, 2020August 3, 2020

As evidence mounts to support the contention that economic activity in the US is leveling

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5 Comments on Immune Stocks Deaf To Bonds’ Whispered Warnings

Are 60:40 And Risk Parity Funds Doomed? (And The Two Weeks Gold Bulls Like To Forget)

August 1, 2020August 1, 2020

Are 60:40 and risk parity funds “doomed”? It’s a question worth considering in a world

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9 Comments on Are 60:40 And Risk Parity Funds Doomed? (And The Two Weeks Gold Bulls Like To Forget)

Averting The Worst-Case, Calling The Top, And Prepping For Vol. Events

August 1, 2020August 1, 2020

Earnings season isn’t turning out as dire as expected. That statement is both true and

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4 Comments on Averting The Worst-Case, Calling The Top, And Prepping For Vol. Events

Fitch-Slapped

July 31, 2020August 1, 2020

“It is a truism that the US government cannot run out of money to service

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10 Comments on Fitch-Slapped

Trump To Drop Hammer On TikTok As Microsoft Said To Show Interest

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

After months of speculation, Donald Trump will move to force TikTok parent ByteDance to sell

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6 Comments on Trump To Drop Hammer On TikTok As Microsoft Said To Show Interest

Rotation Stillborn

July 31, 2020

Ever-elusive, the pro-cyclical rotation trade appears to have been snuffed out yet again. There are

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oil5 Comments on Rotation Stillborn

Dollar Decline Goes Decadal

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

Every major currency on the planet rose against the US dollar in July, which is

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