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Author: therealheisenberg

Domino Effect

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

Roll out the obligatory caveat(s). “The full economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic cannot be

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5 Comments on Domino Effect

Thoughts, Prayers, And Precious Metals

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

Friday picked up where Thursday left off — with a spate of wildly bad macro

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5 Comments on Thoughts, Prayers, And Precious Metals

‘It Would Be Great If This Record Is Never Beaten’: Europe’s GDP Numbers Betray Epic Collapse

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

GDP readings out of Europe Friday betray eye-popping contractions that would have been unfathomable in

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1 Comment on ‘It Would Be Great If This Record Is Never Beaten’: Europe’s GDP Numbers Betray Epic Collapse

All Hail

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

Good news: Amazon, Facebook, and Alphabet aren’t going out of business anytime soon. All three

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6 Comments on All Hail

The Big Boot

July 30, 2020July 31, 2020

It was nobody’s idea of a “good” day. The worst economic downturn since the Great

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4 Comments on The Big Boot

Nomura’s McElligott Asks: ‘Could It Really Have Been That Simple?’

July 30, 2020

Gathering storm clouds notwithstanding, market participants are obliged to ponder the somewhat surreal prospect that,

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13 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Asks: ‘Could It Really Have Been That Simple?’

Trump Election Delay Could Force World To Rapidly Re-Evaluate Dollar’s Reserve Status

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

In a dubious (if wholly predictable) development, Donald Trump on Thursday suggested delaying the US

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30 Comments on Trump Election Delay Could Force World To Rapidly Re-Evaluate Dollar’s Reserve Status

It’s Official: US Logs Worst Downturn In The History Of Modern Economic Statistics

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

It’s official. America lived through the deepest downturn in the history of modern economic statistics

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4 Comments on It’s Official: US Logs Worst Downturn In The History Of Modern Economic Statistics

Jobless Claims Rise Second Straight Week In Truly Ominous Harbinger

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

Although the worst GDP report in US history will grab most of the macro headlines

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Rise Second Straight Week In Truly Ominous Harbinger

All Is Not Well In The World

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

All did not feel “right” in the world Thursday, despite Jerome Powell’s assurances that the

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1 Comment on All Is Not Well In The World

‘We Finally Have A Number’: German Economy Logs Largest Contraction In Recorded History

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

“Massive slump” — that’s how Germany’s Federal Statistical Office described the worst quarterly performance on

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Leave a Comment on ‘We Finally Have A Number’: German Economy Logs Largest Contraction In Recorded History

Why ‘The Tide Is Going Out On US Dollar Exceptionalism’

July 29, 2020July 30, 2020

In “Exceptionalism Lost”, I placed recent US dollar weakness in the context of America’s failure

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7 Comments on Why ‘The Tide Is Going Out On US Dollar Exceptionalism’

‘There Won’t Be Any Jobs For Them’: Powell Prods Congress, Warns On Post-Pandemic Economy

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

“As long as it takes”, Jerome Powell said Wednesday, describing the Fed’s commitment to deploying

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4 Comments on ‘There Won’t Be Any Jobs For Them’: Powell Prods Congress, Warns On Post-Pandemic Economy

Fed Reiterates Promise To Never Let You Down. Extends Dollar Swap Lines, Foreign Repo Facility

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

A day before the US is scheduled to unveil the details behind the worst quarterly

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What Happens To The Housing ‘Boom’ If There’s Another Round Of Layoffs?

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

Somebody get Larry Kudlow on the line — we need to reiterate the “boom” narrative

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3 Comments on What Happens To The Housing ‘Boom’ If There’s Another Round Of Layoffs?

Your Dental Hygienist Could Be Driving Gold’s ‘Parabolic’ Rally

July 29, 2020

Late last week, I not-so-gently suggested that gold was in “mania mode”. That wasn’t an

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5 Comments on Your Dental Hygienist Could Be Driving Gold’s ‘Parabolic’ Rally

Something Consequential

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

Fed decisions and post-meeting press conferences have a way of turning out anticlimactic. Or maybe

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Nice Floor You Got There

July 28, 2020July 29, 2020

Markets are generally resilient in the face of a few lackluster earnings reports and a

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Deutsche’s Kocic: It’s ‘As If The Market Doesn’t See Any Bounds’ For Monetary Policy Support

July 28, 2020July 28, 2020

Are there limits to central banks’ capacity to “administer” asset prices and otherwise engineer benign

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4 Comments on Deutsche’s Kocic: It’s ‘As If The Market Doesn’t See Any Bounds’ For Monetary Policy Support

Marko Kolanovic On How To Hedge A ‘Triple-Whammy’ To Multi-Asset Portfolios

July 28, 2020July 28, 2020

For a decade (at least) investors have been afforded the opportunity to “have their cake

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Surprise! Consumer Confidence Is Coming Unglued

July 28, 2020July 28, 2020

Color me not (at all) surprised. Consumer confidence deteriorated in July, The Conference Board said

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9 Comments on Surprise! Consumer Confidence Is Coming Unglued

The Dangers Of Deficit Dogmatism And The Courting Of Disaster

July 28, 2020July 28, 2020

What do we know now that we didn’t know coming into this week? Not much,

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15 Comments on The Dangers Of Deficit Dogmatism And The Courting Of Disaster

This Simple Point ‘Gives The Whole Game Away’ In Gold (And Bitcoin)

July 28, 2020July 28, 2020

For years, I have implored cryptocurrency advocates to take a step back and reflect on

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16 Comments on This Simple Point ‘Gives The Whole Game Away’ In Gold (And Bitcoin)

Gold Gets Jittery After Historic Run As Goldman Says World Searching For ‘New Reserve Currency’

July 28, 2020July 28, 2020

Gold traded in a $75 range Tuesday as a furious rally bumps up against profit

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1 Comment on Gold Gets Jittery After Historic Run As Goldman Says World Searching For ‘New Reserve Currency’

Objects In Motion

July 27, 2020

An object in motion tends to stay in motion, which is why the dollar continued

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5 Comments on Objects In Motion

How About $200 And A Get Well Soon Card?

July 27, 2020July 28, 2020

“Time is running out”, Nancy Pelosi said Monday, in a statement as more specifics of

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6 Comments on How About $200 And A Get Well Soon Card?

Grab The Hydroxychloroquine (The Robert O’Brien Problem)

July 27, 2020July 27, 2020

In a testament to the precarious state of America’s coronavirus outbreak, National Security Advisor Robert O’Brien

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