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Category: Markets

Cast Members

September 30, 2020October 1, 2020

Wherever they end up, negotiations around another virus relief package in the US haven’t gone

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5 Comments on Cast Members

Strong ADP Report Bodes Well For September Payrolls As Stimulus Talks Continue

September 30, 2020September 30, 2020

US firms added 749,000 jobs in September, ADP said Wednesday. That was more than the

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2 Comments on Strong ADP Report Bodes Well For September Payrolls As Stimulus Talks Continue

Markets Grapple With Debate Debacle, EU Tariff Threat, China Antitrust Probe Into Google

September 30, 2020September 30, 2020

“If the US presidential debate had, in election night fashion, flashed up a picture of

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6 Comments on Markets Grapple With Debate Debacle, EU Tariff Threat, China Antitrust Probe Into Google

Chicago PMI Was So Good It Decided To Come Out Early

September 30, 2020September 30, 2020

The Chicago PMI is supposed to come out at 9:45 AM ET, but on Wednesday,

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2 Comments on Chicago PMI Was So Good It Decided To Come Out Early

China PMIs Beat, Ostensibly Bolstering Recovery Case

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

China’s economic recovery remained largely on track in September, PMI data out Wednesday suggested. The

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3 Comments on China PMIs Beat, Ostensibly Bolstering Recovery Case

Ambiguous Ambiguity

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

When it comes to US equities and a prospective Joe Biden administration, the debate has

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2 Comments on Ambiguous Ambiguity

‘For Some Reason’ America’s Government ‘Just Can’t Get It Done’

September 29, 2020

The daily rate of positive coronavirus tests hit 3.25% in New York City, Bill de

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2 Comments on ‘For Some Reason’ America’s Government ‘Just Can’t Get It Done’

Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Doomsday Prepping’ And The Underpriced ‘Risk’ Of No Chaos

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

Assuming no black swans come splashing down in the macro lake, equities may be somewhat

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Doomsday Prepping’ And The Underpriced ‘Risk’ Of No Chaos

Europe Risks ‘Deflationary Spiral’ As German Data Raises Alarm

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

If Christine Lagarde and the ECB were already fretting about deflation risks in the months

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Leave a Comment on Europe Risks ‘Deflationary Spiral’ As German Data Raises Alarm

1 Million

September 29, 2020September 29, 2020

Markets shifted into a kind of nervous neutral Tuesday as risk appetite waned following Monday’s

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1 Comment on 1 Million

One Pro’s ‘Machiavellian’ Trump-Mnuchin Theory To ‘Prove Bears Wrong’

September 28, 2020September 29, 2020

[Editor’s note: As many readers are likely aware, fan-favorite Kevin Muir — formerly head of

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7 Comments on One Pro’s ‘Machiavellian’ Trump-Mnuchin Theory To ‘Prove Bears Wrong’

Much More Money

September 28, 2020September 29, 2020

“Much more”. That’s a rough estimate of what Nancy Pelosi needs to hear from Steve

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5 Comments on Much More Money

When It Comes To Huge Corporate Leverage, There Is No Easy Way Out

September 28, 2020

“Records were shattered on debt, GDP, and leverage”, SocGen’s Stephen Gallagher writes, recapping what will

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5 Comments on When It Comes To Huge Corporate Leverage, There Is No Easy Way Out

Thank God For The Technocrats

September 28, 2020September 28, 2020

Equities seemed pretty sure-footed in the earliest trading this week, but separating signal from noise

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Stocks Have Cleared Two Of Three ‘Key Challenges,’ JPMorgan Says

September 28, 2020September 28, 2020

The good news is, we’ve cleared two of three key near-term challenges for equities, JPMorgan’s

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1 Comment on Stocks Have Cleared Two Of Three ‘Key Challenges,’ JPMorgan Says

Risk On In A Risky World

September 28, 2020September 28, 2020

Global equities came into the new week looking for gains as risk appetite was buoyant

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1 Comment on Risk On In A Risky World

Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster

September 26, 2020

Will rising inflation weigh on equity prices via higher nominal interest rates? Spoiler alert: Probably

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7 Comments on Dear Stock Bulls: Don’t Fear The Inflation Monster

Trump Administration Sanctions China’s Top Chipmaker In Possible ‘Tipping Point’

September 26, 2020

Earlier this month, shares of Semiconductor Manufacturing International, China’s top chipmaker, plunged on reports the

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5 Comments on Trump Administration Sanctions China’s Top Chipmaker In Possible ‘Tipping Point’

Counting Down To The Unknown

September 25, 2020September 26, 2020

All’s well that ends with the Nasdaq posting its first weekly gain in four, I

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oil1 Comment on Counting Down To The Unknown

Return Of The King

September 25, 2020September 25, 2020

The dollar is back. Or at least it was for a week. A steadily declining

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4 Comments on Return Of The King

Goldman: S&P Can Trade Election Outcome Even If AP Doesn’t Call A Winner

September 25, 2020September 25, 2020

Market participants’ concerns about the prospect of a contested US election are becoming more acute

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20 Comments on Goldman: S&P Can Trade Election Outcome Even If AP Doesn’t Call A Winner

One Week After Buying The Dip, Investors Run Screaming From US Stocks In 3rd Biggest Outflow Ever

September 25, 2020September 25, 2020

One week on from the biggest inflow into equities since March of 2018, investors fled

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3 Comments on One Week After Buying The Dip, Investors Run Screaming From US Stocks In 3rd Biggest Outflow Ever

To Hell And Back Again (And Why September Doesn’t Presage A ‘Big Bear Move’)

September 25, 2020

It’s been a wild year. How’s that for an understatement? Consider that nine months later,

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3 Comments on To Hell And Back Again (And Why September Doesn’t Presage A ‘Big Bear Move’)

Priorities

September 25, 2020September 25, 2020

There’s plenty of time between now and the election for The White House and the

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17 Comments on Priorities

‘The Tendency Of Order To Degrade Into Disorder’: Kocic On An ‘Anything But Ordinary’ Election

September 24, 2020September 25, 2020

US lawmakers on Thursday sought to reassure a nervous nation. For two centuries, America has

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As Junk Bond Sales Smash All-Time Record, Outflows Suddenly Accelerate

September 24, 2020September 24, 2020

In what looks like more evidence that September’s equity market tumult is spilling over into

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‘Volfefe’ And The Peaceable Passing Of Power

September 24, 2020September 24, 2020

If Donald Trump was trying to raise (more) eyebrows by refusing to commit, explicitly, to

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18 Comments on ‘Volfefe’ And The Peaceable Passing Of Power

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • BTFD on Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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