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Category: Markets

What JPMorgan And Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Are Saying About Stocks As August Kicks Off

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

If you harbor some “misgivings” about US equities, which have run more than 45% from

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Conquistadors

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

Markets were somewhat muddled to start the new week as investors ponder more evidence of

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2 Comments on Conquistadors

Oh, Lord (Byte Dancing Into August Volatility)

August 2, 2020August 3, 2020

Lord & Taylor filed for Chapter 11 on Sunday in Richmond, Virginia, a stark reminder

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4 Comments on Oh, Lord (Byte Dancing Into August Volatility)

Something’s Gotta Give (Big-Picture Trends For The New Era)

August 2, 2020August 2, 2020

As should be abundantly clear to anyone who took time over the weekend to read

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19 Comments on Something’s Gotta Give (Big-Picture Trends For The New Era)

Neel Kashkari Floats New ‘Hard Lockdown,’ Says Congress Needs To ‘Support The People’

August 2, 2020August 2, 2020

Neel Kashkari was (back) on CBS’s “Face the Nation” Sunday, and unlike Jerome Powell, he’s

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7 Comments on Neel Kashkari Floats New ‘Hard Lockdown,’ Says Congress Needs To ‘Support The People’

Quarantinis (And A Glimpse Into Our Not-So-Distant Future)

August 2, 2020August 2, 2020

“I actually agree with this”, Donald Trump said over the weekend, referencing a video from

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8 Comments on Quarantinis (And A Glimpse Into Our Not-So-Distant Future)

Immune Stocks Deaf To Bonds’ Whispered Warnings

August 1, 2020August 3, 2020

As evidence mounts to support the contention that economic activity in the US is leveling

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5 Comments on Immune Stocks Deaf To Bonds’ Whispered Warnings

Are 60:40 And Risk Parity Funds Doomed? (And The Two Weeks Gold Bulls Like To Forget)

August 1, 2020August 1, 2020

Are 60:40 and risk parity funds “doomed”? It’s a question worth considering in a world

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9 Comments on Are 60:40 And Risk Parity Funds Doomed? (And The Two Weeks Gold Bulls Like To Forget)

Averting The Worst-Case, Calling The Top, And Prepping For Vol. Events

August 1, 2020August 1, 2020

Earnings season isn’t turning out as dire as expected. That statement is both true and

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4 Comments on Averting The Worst-Case, Calling The Top, And Prepping For Vol. Events

Fitch-Slapped

July 31, 2020August 1, 2020

“It is a truism that the US government cannot run out of money to service

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10 Comments on Fitch-Slapped

Rotation Stillborn

July 31, 2020

Ever-elusive, the pro-cyclical rotation trade appears to have been snuffed out yet again. There are

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oil5 Comments on Rotation Stillborn

Dollar Decline Goes Decadal

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

Every major currency on the planet rose against the US dollar in July, which is

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Domino Effect

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

Roll out the obligatory caveat(s). “The full economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic cannot be

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5 Comments on Domino Effect

Thoughts, Prayers, And Precious Metals

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

Friday picked up where Thursday left off — with a spate of wildly bad macro

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5 Comments on Thoughts, Prayers, And Precious Metals

‘It Would Be Great If This Record Is Never Beaten’: Europe’s GDP Numbers Betray Epic Collapse

July 31, 2020July 31, 2020

GDP readings out of Europe Friday betray eye-popping contractions that would have been unfathomable in

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1 Comment on ‘It Would Be Great If This Record Is Never Beaten’: Europe’s GDP Numbers Betray Epic Collapse

All Hail

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

Good news: Amazon, Facebook, and Alphabet aren’t going out of business anytime soon. All three

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6 Comments on All Hail

The Big Boot

July 30, 2020July 31, 2020

It was nobody’s idea of a “good” day. The worst economic downturn since the Great

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4 Comments on The Big Boot

Nomura’s McElligott Asks: ‘Could It Really Have Been That Simple?’

July 30, 2020

Gathering storm clouds notwithstanding, market participants are obliged to ponder the somewhat surreal prospect that,

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13 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Asks: ‘Could It Really Have Been That Simple?’

Trump Election Delay Could Force World To Rapidly Re-Evaluate Dollar’s Reserve Status

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

In a dubious (if wholly predictable) development, Donald Trump on Thursday suggested delaying the US

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30 Comments on Trump Election Delay Could Force World To Rapidly Re-Evaluate Dollar’s Reserve Status

It’s Official: US Logs Worst Downturn In The History Of Modern Economic Statistics

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

It’s official. America lived through the deepest downturn in the history of modern economic statistics

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4 Comments on It’s Official: US Logs Worst Downturn In The History Of Modern Economic Statistics

Jobless Claims Rise Second Straight Week In Truly Ominous Harbinger

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

Although the worst GDP report in US history will grab most of the macro headlines

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Rise Second Straight Week In Truly Ominous Harbinger

All Is Not Well In The World

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

All did not feel “right” in the world Thursday, despite Jerome Powell’s assurances that the

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1 Comment on All Is Not Well In The World

‘We Finally Have A Number’: German Economy Logs Largest Contraction In Recorded History

July 30, 2020July 30, 2020

“Massive slump” — that’s how Germany’s Federal Statistical Office described the worst quarterly performance on

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Why ‘The Tide Is Going Out On US Dollar Exceptionalism’

July 29, 2020July 30, 2020

In “Exceptionalism Lost”, I placed recent US dollar weakness in the context of America’s failure

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7 Comments on Why ‘The Tide Is Going Out On US Dollar Exceptionalism’

‘There Won’t Be Any Jobs For Them’: Powell Prods Congress, Warns On Post-Pandemic Economy

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

“As long as it takes”, Jerome Powell said Wednesday, describing the Fed’s commitment to deploying

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4 Comments on ‘There Won’t Be Any Jobs For Them’: Powell Prods Congress, Warns On Post-Pandemic Economy

Fed Reiterates Promise To Never Let You Down. Extends Dollar Swap Lines, Foreign Repo Facility

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

A day before the US is scheduled to unveil the details behind the worst quarterly

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What Happens To The Housing ‘Boom’ If There’s Another Round Of Layoffs?

July 29, 2020July 29, 2020

Somebody get Larry Kudlow on the line — we need to reiterate the “boom” narrative

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3 Comments on What Happens To The Housing ‘Boom’ If There’s Another Round Of Layoffs?

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