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Category: Markets

Tech Wars, Great Debasements, And A $2.4 Trillion ‘Non-Starter’

August 7, 2020August 7, 2020

A July jobs report billed ahead of time as a potential game-changer for a market

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oil4 Comments on Tech Wars, Great Debasements, And A $2.4 Trillion ‘Non-Starter’

These Markets Are Nihilists, Donny.

August 7, 2020

No, Donny, these men are nihilists. There’s nothing to be afraid of. —Walter Sobchak “Nothing matters but liquidity”, BofA’s Michael

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5 Comments on These Markets Are Nihilists, Donny.

July Jobs Report Raises Questions, But Answers Aren’t Forthcoming

August 7, 2020August 7, 2020

The July jobs report (which beat expectations, ostensibly suggesting reinstated virus containment measures across some

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US Labor Market Defies Skeptics As Jobs Report Again Beats Expectations

August 7, 2020August 7, 2020

“You can’t use a model for this”, Morgan Stanley’s Chief US Economist, Ellen Zentner, sighed

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5 Comments on US Labor Market Defies Skeptics As Jobs Report Again Beats Expectations

‘Shocked’

August 7, 2020August 7, 2020

“We are shocked by the recent Executive Order, which was issued without any due process”,

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2 Comments on ‘Shocked’

Trump Makes TikTok Ban Official, Takes Aim At WeChat, Tencent In Latest Broadside

August 6, 2020August 7, 2020

Donald Trump made it official on Thursday evening. He signed an executive order aimed at

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3 Comments on Trump Makes TikTok Ban Official, Takes Aim At WeChat, Tencent In Latest Broadside

‘Working Fine Right Now’

August 6, 2020August 6, 2020

(Updates with comments from Pelosi, Schumer, Meadows, Mnuchin after latest negotiations) In an attempt to

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8 Comments on ‘Working Fine Right Now’

Americans’ Credit Card Balances Just Plunged By A Record $76 Billion

August 6, 2020August 6, 2020

Credit card balances for US households plunged by the most on record in the second

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6 Comments on Americans’ Credit Card Balances Just Plunged By A Record $76 Billion

Turkey Plunges Into (Another) Currency Crisis. Is Anyone Surprised?

August 6, 2020August 6, 2020

Turkey is in trouble — again. At fairly regular intervals, the country finds itself teetering

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1 Comment on Turkey Plunges Into (Another) Currency Crisis. Is Anyone Surprised?

Is This Time Different? Goldman Says ‘Early Vaccine’ May Change Market Zeitgeist

August 6, 2020August 6, 2020

Things are going to look a lot different three months from now. That’s the message

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6 Comments on Is This Time Different? Goldman Says ‘Early Vaccine’ May Change Market Zeitgeist

Jobless Claims Fall To Lowest Of Pandemic In Welcome News

August 6, 2020August 6, 2020

On the heels of an ostensibly foreboding ADP employment report, and just a day ahead

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3 Comments on Jobless Claims Fall To Lowest Of Pandemic In Welcome News

Guesswork: BOE As A Microcosm Of The Global Policymaker Dilemma

August 6, 2020August 6, 2020

The BOE kept rates unchanged at a record low 0.1% Thursday and promised it won’t

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Nomura’s McElligott Delivers The ‘Contrarian View’ On Surging M2 Money Supply

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

Generally speaking, the market doesn’t have much faith in the reflation narrative and hasn’t for

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19 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Delivers The ‘Contrarian View’ On Surging M2 Money Supply

‘That’s A Record’: US Terms Out Massive Financing Need With Scope Of New Stimulus Uncertain

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The US announced a record $112 billion quarterly refunding on Wednesday, a total that eclipsed

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3 Comments on ‘That’s A Record’: US Terms Out Massive Financing Need With Scope Of New Stimulus Uncertain

Biggest Miss In ADP History Sounds Alarm On US Labor Market

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The July jobs report is a giant question mark. It won’t capture the most recent

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1 Comment on Biggest Miss In ADP History Sounds Alarm On US Labor Market

It’s A Different Day. Or So We’re Told

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

Same story, different day was the mantra for the dollar and gold — or at

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oil1 Comment on It’s A Different Day. Or So We’re Told

ISM Services Paints Puzzling Picture, While IHS Markit Warns On ‘Possible Start Of A Double-Dip’

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The US services sector was more vibrant than expected last month, according to data you

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Meanwhile, In China

August 5, 2020August 5, 2020

The market remained focused on stimulus talks in Washington Wednesday, with some manner of deal

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Questions Linger On Future Of 60:40, Risk Parity, While Record-Low Treasury Vol. Catches Gundlach’s Eye

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

Over the weekend, I asked if it was over for 60:40 and risk parity funds.

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5 Comments on Questions Linger On Future Of 60:40, Risk Parity, While Record-Low Treasury Vol. Catches Gundlach’s Eye

‘Once People Start Missing Payments’: Bedlam, Bullion, And The Risk Of Doing Too Little

August 4, 2020August 5, 2020

[Updates with outcome of Tuesday’s negotiations] Just a “little bit” of headway on fraught stimulus

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8 Comments on ‘Once People Start Missing Payments’: Bedlam, Bullion, And The Risk Of Doing Too Little

What If?

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

What if the path to a vaccine is longer than expected? What if all the

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3 Comments on What If?

Security Blankets, 94.5th %ile Sentiment, And ‘The View’ From Nomura’s McElligott

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

Mega-cap tech blew the proverbial doors off last week when the companies which, together, make

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Casino

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

There’s a generalized sense of angst hanging in the thick summer air, but nobody knows

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6 Comments on Casino

One Pro Explains Why The ‘Indexing Will Kill Us All’ Crowd Is Wrong

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

[Editor’s note: As many readers are likely aware, fan-favorite Kevin Muir — formerly head of

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5 Comments on One Pro Explains Why The ‘Indexing Will Kill Us All’ Crowd Is Wrong

I’ll Do It Myself

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

“People are going to be evicted. But I’m going to stop it”, Donald Trump declared,

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4 Comments on I’ll Do It Myself

The United States Has No Government. The Fed And Steve Mnuchin Are Serving As Caretakers

August 3, 2020August 4, 2020

On Monday, reports indicated that The White House was pondering the prospect of Donald Trump

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11 Comments on The United States Has No Government. The Fed And Steve Mnuchin Are Serving As Caretakers

ISM Manufacturing Easily Clears Hurdle, But IHS Markit Gauge Revised Lower

August 3, 2020August 3, 2020

The market will digest a trio of potentially important macro data points in the days

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