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Month: November 2020

In More ‘Canary’ News, US Services Sector Appears To Decelerate

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

US services sector activity decelerated in October, ISM said Wednesday. The headline print, 56.6, is

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3 Comments on In More ‘Canary’ News, US Services Sector Appears To Decelerate

The ‘Blue Fade’ Trade

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

Wednesday was all about fading the “blue sweep” narrative, as overnight price action spilled over

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1 Comment on The ‘Blue Fade’ Trade

Insult To Injury: Lackluster Private Payrolls Cry Out For Stimulus Just As ‘Blue Wave’ Hopes Fade

November 4, 2020

If ADP is any indication — and it may not be, considering its poor track

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10 Comments on Insult To Injury: Lackluster Private Payrolls Cry Out For Stimulus Just As ‘Blue Wave’ Hopes Fade

‘Very Messy’: Analysts Weigh In On Fraught US Election

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

Markets could have done without Donald Trump falsely declaring victory while simultaneously deriding the US

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Leave a Comment on ‘Very Messy’: Analysts Weigh In On Fraught US Election

Trump Calls Election ‘Major Fraud,’ Declares Victory, Invokes Supreme Court

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

At 2:30 AM, Donald Trump convened a victory speech dressed up as a press conference

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12 Comments on Trump Calls Election ‘Major Fraud,’ Declares Victory, Invokes Supreme Court

Trump Claims Election Theft, Democrats Likely Won’t Flip Senate

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

By half-past midnight on the east coast, the results of the most consequential election in

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2 Comments on Trump Claims Election Theft, Democrats Likely Won’t Flip Senate

It’s Time To Be Honest About What America’s ‘Values’ Really Are

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

For most of the last three years, those of an optimistic persuasion in the US

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36 Comments on It’s Time To Be Honest About What America’s ‘Values’ Really Are

Macro Tourist: The US Election ‘Won’t Be The Start Of The Next Financial Crisis’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

“I have never seen a financial crisis occur when the vast majority of investors were worried about it.”

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4 Comments on Macro Tourist: The US Election ‘Won’t Be The Start Of The Next Financial Crisis’

Markets Showed Blue Sweep Bias Into Vote Count As Trump Predicted ‘Victory’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Markets generally retained what felt like a “blue sweep” bias across the Election Day cash

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1 Comment on Markets Showed Blue Sweep Bias Into Vote Count As Trump Predicted ‘Victory’

Ant Problems: World’s Largest IPO Slapped At Last Minute

November 3, 2020March 25, 2021

It’s difficult to imagine anyone had much room on their mental “balance sheet” (if you

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6 Comments on Ant Problems: World’s Largest IPO Slapped At Last Minute

Here Is Your ‘Last Chance’ Tactical Election Rundown

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Having delivered on what I felt was an editorial obligation to mark the US election

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6 Comments on Here Is Your ‘Last Chance’ Tactical Election Rundown

(Dangerously) Aloof

November 3, 2020November 4, 2020

“Did you send me a check?” It was the accountant. He never says “Hi” or

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9 Comments on (Dangerously) Aloof

‘Never, Ever, Ever’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Global equities were again buoyant as election day dawned in the US, where nearly 98

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1 Comment on ‘Never, Ever, Ever’

Meanwhile, In Junk Exodus News…

November 2, 2020

The following short bit will come as no surprise to regular readers, and as such,

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2 Comments on Meanwhile, In Junk Exodus News…

Glass Half Full Crowd Gets Another Fireball Shot From Scorching ISM

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

In another piece of evidence to support the recovery narrative stateside, ISM manufacturing printed a

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Jefferies’ Zervos: US Election May Be ‘Market Non-Event Of The Century’

November 2, 2020November 3, 2020

In a note out late last week, JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou suggested that the market’s obsession

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10 Comments on Jefferies’ Zervos: US Election May Be ‘Market Non-Event Of The Century’

JPMorgan: Equity Bull Market Set To Resume. Central Banks Matter More Than Fiscal Stimulus

November 2, 2020November 3, 2020

Over the past two months, the consensus narrative vis-à-vis policy and stimulus generally revolved around

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4 Comments on JPMorgan: Equity Bull Market Set To Resume. Central Banks Matter More Than Fiscal Stimulus

‘Fire Fauci!’ Failing The Rationality Test In The Kingdom Of Unreason

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

Over the weekend, Donald Trump’s favorite pandemic adviser, Scott Atlas, appeared on Russian state television

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6 Comments on ‘Fire Fauci!’ Failing The Rationality Test In The Kingdom Of Unreason

Crude Carnage, China ‘On Track’ And ‘When Does The Pub Open Again?’

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

Global equities were generally buoyant Monday, kicking off a pivotal week with gains despite a

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oil3 Comments on Crude Carnage, China ‘On Track’ And ‘When Does The Pub Open Again?’

Fed Meeting, October Jobs Report Are Election Week’s ‘Other’ Big Events

November 1, 2020November 2, 2020

It feels somehow trivial to mention (let alone analyze) next week’s “other” marquee events and

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And Now, Another Astounding FAAMG Factoid

November 1, 2020November 2, 2020

The US equity market is a lot like American society — inegalitarian and defined by

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1 Comment on And Now, Another Astounding FAAMG Factoid

An Eleventh Hour Election Warning For Traders And Investors

November 1, 2020November 3, 2020

Editor’s note: The following piece first ran here on Sunday. We’re keeping it featured prominently

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20 Comments on An Eleventh Hour Election Warning For Traders And Investors

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Monthly Letter+

  • Reinventing Wheels

    April 23, 2023May 2, 2023

Week’s News

Don’t Short A Bubble

May 25, 2023May 27, 2023

Nvidia Scores Historic One-Day Value Gain On ‘iPhone Moment’

May 25, 2023May 26, 2023

Man Who Downgraded America Weighs In On Debt Ceiling Drama

May 23, 2023May 24, 2023

Corporate America’s New Strategy: Just Say ‘A.I.’

May 22, 2023May 23, 2023

Debt Ceiling Crisis Spotlights Democracy’s Dilemma

May 21, 2023May 22, 2023

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  • The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment
    The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment
  • For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch
    For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch
  • Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data
    Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data

Recent Comments

  • fredm421 on Soooo, Stagflation It Is Then?
  • fredm421 on For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch
  • fredm421 on Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data
  • longinTTH on Prospectors, Gamblers And Golden Tickets
  • derek on The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment

Monthly Letters

Reinventing Wheels

April 23, 2023May 2, 2023

Lost At Sea

March 11, 2023April 29, 2023

Exiles On Main Street

February 4, 2023March 11, 2023

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