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Author: therealheisenberg

The Fly, The Lie, And The Terrified Billionaires

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

It says quite a bit about the average intelligence of the American voter when netizens

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20 Comments on The Fly, The Lie, And The Terrified Billionaires

Wrong. Jobless Claims Tell Us Plenty

October 8, 2020October 8, 2020

840,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down 9,000 from the previous week’s upwardly

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5 Comments on Wrong. Jobless Claims Tell Us Plenty

The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

“It’s hard to see any clear, sane path on what he’s doing”, Nancy Pelosi told

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1 Comment on The Most Dangerous Place In The Country

Fed Minutes Show Officials Assumed Additional Fiscal Stimulus This Year

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

Minutes from the September FOMC meeting find Fed officials debating the relative merits of moving

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2 Comments on Fed Minutes Show Officials Assumed Additional Fiscal Stimulus This Year

US May Target Tencent, Ant Group With Potential To Disrupt World’s Largest IPO

October 7, 2020October 7, 2020

In a move perhaps designed to cast a pall over what could be the world’s

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2 Comments on US May Target Tencent, Ant Group With Potential To Disrupt World’s Largest IPO

Would You Trade A 4% Haircut In The S&P’s Fair Value For Sanity?

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

With expectations for a Democratic sweep becoming more entrenched by the day, market participants with

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13 Comments on Would You Trade A 413 Haircut In The S&P’s Fair Value For Sanity?

Scorched-Earth

October 7, 2020October 8, 2020

“So stimulus is over until the election(?) And so are Trump’s odds of winning it,

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10 Comments on Scorched-Earth

Trump, Under Siege For Stimulus Torpedo, Pins Hopes On Late-Night Tweet Reversal

October 7, 2020October 7, 2020

Markets looked to gingerly retrace the risk-off move that rippled across assets late in Tuesday’s

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12 Comments on Trump, Under Siege For Stimulus Torpedo, Pins Hopes On Late-Night Tweet Reversal

Trump Kills Stimulus Talks In Dramatic About-Face. Says Negotiations To Resume ‘After I Win’

October 6, 2020October 7, 2020

On Saturday, during the first day of a short visit to Walter Reed following his

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24 Comments on Trump Kills Stimulus Talks In Dramatic About-Face. Says Negotiations To Resume ‘After I Win’

No Church In The Wild

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Journalists long ago ran out of euphemisms when it comes to describing Donald Trump’s singular

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8 Comments on No Church In The Wild

Powell Hurts Own Cause, Feeds Budget Hawks By Parroting Deficit Myths

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

At this point, you’d forgive Jerome Powell (and most of his colleagues) for being frustrated

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5 Comments on Powell Hurts Own Cause, Feeds Budget Hawks By Parroting Deficit Myths

‘With Less Than 30 Days’: Goldman Recaps Cross-Asset Election Outlook After Trump Virus Scare

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

“The S&P 500 equal-weighted index had one of the largest daily outperformances since the GFC”,

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Leave a Comment on ‘With Less Than 30 Days’: Goldman Recaps Cross-Asset Election Outlook After Trump Virus Scare

Nomura’s McElligott: Market Is ‘Full-Throttle Embracing Biden, Blue Wave’

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Price action on Monday was indicative of a market “going full-throttle” in its “embrace of

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4 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Market Is ‘Full-Throttle Embracing Biden, Blue Wave’

Invincible Heroes

October 6, 2020October 6, 2020

Global markets were muted Tuesday following Donald Trump’s return to the White House from Walter

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Leave a Comment on Invincible Heroes

(Don’t Fear) The Reaper

October 5, 2020October 6, 2020

On Monday afternoon, Donald Trump did precisely what many feared he might in the event

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25 Comments on (Don’t Fear) The Reaper

Did Markets Start Pricing Out Donald Trump On Monday?

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

“We’re still optimistic based on his unbelievable progress”, Mark Meadows said Monday, during remarks to

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8 Comments on Did Markets Start Pricing Out Donald Trump On Monday?

Some See White House Virus Scare Increasing Odds Of Undisputed Election

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

“At the margin, markets seem to have lowered the chance of prolonged uncertainty post-November 3”,

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6 Comments on Some See White House Virus Scare Increasing Odds Of Undisputed Election

No Time To Die In New York (Or Bethesda)

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

It certainly wasn’t clear that risk assets (i.e., equities) should have been any semblance of

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3 Comments on No Time To Die In New York (Or Bethesda)

No Shirt, No Shoes, Some Service

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

Activity in the US services sector continues to rebound, the latest read on ISM’s non-manufacturing

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Leave a Comment on No Shirt, No Shoes, Some Service

Stable

October 5, 2020October 5, 2020

Equities came into the new week looking for gains after a Weekend at Bernie’s-style effort

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2 Comments on Stable

As Trump Indulges ‘Sad’ Sunday Spectacle At Walter Reed, Sources Say First Positive Test Wasn’t Disclosed

October 4, 2020October 5, 2020

Apparently unsatisfied with White House physician Sean Conley’s public relations efforts over the weekend, Donald

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13 Comments on As Trump Indulges ‘Sad’ Sunday Spectacle At Walter Reed, Sources Say First Positive Test Wasn’t Disclosed

Secondary Concerns

October 4, 2020October 5, 2020

It still feels a bit strange to speak about what could move markets in the

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6 Comments on Secondary Concerns

Unforgivable Lapse: Amy Coney Barrett Event Seen As Height Of White House Virus Negligence

October 4, 2020October 5, 2020

On Saturday evening, amid speculation about the timeline around Donald Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis, The White

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8 Comments on Unforgivable Lapse: Amy Coney Barrett Event Seen As Height Of White House Virus Negligence

‘Collapsing’ Fundamentals And Fingers Crossed For The Future

October 4, 2020October 5, 2020

It probably won’t surprise you to learn that the S&P 500’s entire gain in 2020

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1 Comment on ‘Collapsing’ Fundamentals And Fingers Crossed For The Future

Oxygen & Obfuscation

October 3, 2020October 5, 2020

“72 hours into the diagnosis now”, White House physician Sean Conley said, during a Saturday

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11 Comments on Oxygen & Obfuscation

Afterthoughts

October 3, 2020October 5, 2020

Everything became an afterthought Friday. Even if Donald Trump’s COVID diagnosis proves to be a

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3 Comments on Afterthoughts

Precedent

October 3, 2020October 5, 2020

Tempting as it is, it’s usually dangerous to use the word “unprecedented”. While it’s true

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5 Comments on Precedent

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