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Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Loud Noises, Red Headlines, And Dangerous Drivers

November 5, 2020November 5, 2020

If anything was clear after Wednesday (a questionable prospect, to be sure) it was that

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9 Comments on Loud Noises, Red Headlines, And Dangerous Drivers

Jobless Claims Stuck At Pre-Pandemic Record With No Deus Ex Machina Coming

November 5, 2020November 5, 2020

751,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, slightly more than expected and unchanged from

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‘Extraordinary’ Circumstances In UK Can Only Mean One Thing: More QE!

November 5, 2020November 5, 2020

More liquidity. More accommodation. The BOE on Thursday upsized its QE program. That was expected.

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Leave a Comment on ‘Extraordinary’ Circumstances In UK Can Only Mean One Thing: More QE!

The Good Kind Of ‘Weird,’ The Bad Kind Of Message

November 5, 2020November 5, 2020

Global equities surged Thursday, as markets were seemingly thrilled at the prospect of an imminent

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17 Comments on The Good Kind Of ‘Weird,’ The Bad Kind Of Message

The Day The Earth Stood Still

November 4, 2020November 5, 2020

Donald Trump appeared poised to put up a legal fight in the event some combination

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9 Comments on The Day The Earth Stood Still

Nomura’s McElligott: For Markets, The Presidential Election Is Now Effectively A ‘Red Herring’

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

If you had duration, flatteners, and long growth/short value on as election hedges against what,

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8 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: For Markets, The Presidential Election Is Now Effectively A ‘Red Herring’

In More ‘Canary’ News, US Services Sector Appears To Decelerate

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

US services sector activity decelerated in October, ISM said Wednesday. The headline print, 56.6, is

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3 Comments on In More ‘Canary’ News, US Services Sector Appears To Decelerate

The ‘Blue Fade’ Trade

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

Wednesday was all about fading the “blue sweep” narrative, as overnight price action spilled over

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1 Comment on The ‘Blue Fade’ Trade

Insult To Injury: Lackluster Private Payrolls Cry Out For Stimulus Just As ‘Blue Wave’ Hopes Fade

November 4, 2020

If ADP is any indication — and it may not be, considering its poor track

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10 Comments on Insult To Injury: Lackluster Private Payrolls Cry Out For Stimulus Just As ‘Blue Wave’ Hopes Fade

‘Very Messy’: Analysts Weigh In On Fraught US Election

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

Markets could have done without Donald Trump falsely declaring victory while simultaneously deriding the US

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Trump Calls Election ‘Major Fraud,’ Declares Victory, Invokes Supreme Court

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

At 2:30 AM, Donald Trump convened a victory speech dressed up as a press conference

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12 Comments on Trump Calls Election ‘Major Fraud,’ Declares Victory, Invokes Supreme Court

Trump Claims Election Theft, Democrats Likely Won’t Flip Senate

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

By half-past midnight on the east coast, the results of the most consequential election in

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2 Comments on Trump Claims Election Theft, Democrats Likely Won’t Flip Senate

It’s Time To Be Honest About What America’s ‘Values’ Really Are

November 4, 2020November 4, 2020

For most of the last three years, those of an optimistic persuasion in the US

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36 Comments on It’s Time To Be Honest About What America’s ‘Values’ Really Are

Macro Tourist: The US Election ‘Won’t Be The Start Of The Next Financial Crisis’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

“I have never seen a financial crisis occur when the vast majority of investors were worried about it.”

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4 Comments on Macro Tourist: The US Election ‘Won’t Be The Start Of The Next Financial Crisis’

Markets Showed Blue Sweep Bias Into Vote Count As Trump Predicted ‘Victory’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Markets generally retained what felt like a “blue sweep” bias across the Election Day cash

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1 Comment on Markets Showed Blue Sweep Bias Into Vote Count As Trump Predicted ‘Victory’

Ant Problems: World’s Largest IPO Slapped At Last Minute

November 3, 2020March 25, 2021

It’s difficult to imagine anyone had much room on their mental “balance sheet” (if you

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6 Comments on Ant Problems: World’s Largest IPO Slapped At Last Minute

Here Is Your ‘Last Chance’ Tactical Election Rundown

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Having delivered on what I felt was an editorial obligation to mark the US election

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6 Comments on Here Is Your ‘Last Chance’ Tactical Election Rundown

(Dangerously) Aloof

November 3, 2020November 4, 2020

“Did you send me a check?” It was the accountant. He never says “Hi” or

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9 Comments on (Dangerously) Aloof

‘Never, Ever, Ever’

November 3, 2020November 3, 2020

Global equities were again buoyant as election day dawned in the US, where nearly 98

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1 Comment on ‘Never, Ever, Ever’

Meanwhile, In Junk Exodus News…

November 2, 2020

The following short bit will come as no surprise to regular readers, and as such,

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2 Comments on Meanwhile, In Junk Exodus News…

Glass Half Full Crowd Gets Another Fireball Shot From Scorching ISM

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

In another piece of evidence to support the recovery narrative stateside, ISM manufacturing printed a

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Jefferies’ Zervos: US Election May Be ‘Market Non-Event Of The Century’

November 2, 2020November 3, 2020

In a note out late last week, JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou suggested that the market’s obsession

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10 Comments on Jefferies’ Zervos: US Election May Be ‘Market Non-Event Of The Century’

JPMorgan: Equity Bull Market Set To Resume. Central Banks Matter More Than Fiscal Stimulus

November 2, 2020November 3, 2020

Over the past two months, the consensus narrative vis-à-vis policy and stimulus generally revolved around

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4 Comments on JPMorgan: Equity Bull Market Set To Resume. Central Banks Matter More Than Fiscal Stimulus

‘Fire Fauci!’ Failing The Rationality Test In The Kingdom Of Unreason

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

Over the weekend, Donald Trump’s favorite pandemic adviser, Scott Atlas, appeared on Russian state television

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6 Comments on ‘Fire Fauci!’ Failing The Rationality Test In The Kingdom Of Unreason

Crude Carnage, China ‘On Track’ And ‘When Does The Pub Open Again?’

November 2, 2020November 2, 2020

Global equities were generally buoyant Monday, kicking off a pivotal week with gains despite a

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oil3 Comments on Crude Carnage, China ‘On Track’ And ‘When Does The Pub Open Again?’

Fed Meeting, October Jobs Report Are Election Week’s ‘Other’ Big Events

November 1, 2020November 2, 2020

It feels somehow trivial to mention (let alone analyze) next week’s “other” marquee events and

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And Now, Another Astounding FAAMG Factoid

November 1, 2020November 2, 2020

The US equity market is a lot like American society — inegalitarian and defined by

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1 Comment on And Now, Another Astounding FAAMG Factoid

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • hackpoet on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • T-Dog on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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