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Author: therealheisenberg

As Tech Bleeds Red, A Possible Silver Lining Emerges…

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

On Thursday morning, tech shares in the US plunged in what was poised to be

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Nomura’s McElligott: Equities Vol Complex Is ‘Broken,’ ‘Something’s Gotta Give’

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

After a blistering run that conjured every superlative in the dictionary, US equities betrayed the

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7 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Equities Vol Complex Is ‘Broken,’ ‘Something’s Gotta Give’

881,000 (Newly ‘Adjusted’) Jobless Claims — That’s What ‘Good’ Is In 2020

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

The legislature is suffering from a particularly acute bout of paralysis, above and beyond the

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1 Comment on 881,000 (Newly ‘Adjusted’) Jobless Claims — That’s What ‘Good’ Is In 2020

Boiling And Launching

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

“If related enterprises are transferring technology abroad during trade, investment or technical cooperation that fall

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1 Comment on Boiling And Launching

Color Me Skeptical

September 2, 2020September 3, 2020

In what certainly felt like a combination of capitulation and forced buying, US equities accelerated

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9 Comments on Color Me Skeptical

A Disputed Election And An ‘Institutionalized Powell Put’

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

A few weeks back, I documented the extent to which Wall Street is preparing for

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2 Comments on A Disputed Election And An ‘Institutionalized Powell Put’

Bridgewater ‘Tweaks’ Risk Parity Model, Moves Into Gold As Bonds Get More Risky

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

“Is risk parity dead?” probably isn’t the right question. In the same vein, “the end

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16 Comments on Bridgewater ‘Tweaks’ Risk Parity Model, Moves Into Gold As Bonds Get More Risky

Zoom, Gamma, And A Big Picture Read On ‘An Extremely Unstable Situation’

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

Following Tuesday’s absurd run-up in shares of Zoom, it’s worth taking a moment to say

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7 Comments on Zoom, Gamma, And A Big Picture Read On ‘An Extremely Unstable Situation’

ADP Misses By A Mile, Clouding Outlook For August Jobs Report

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

Given ADP’s recent track record vis-à-vis NFP, I suppose it would be foolish to put

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6 Comments on ADP Misses By A Mile, Clouding Outlook For August Jobs Report

First World Problems

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

Predictably, the euro pulled back Wednesday after Philip Lane emphasized that the currency “does matter”

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1 Comment on First World Problems

Parallels

September 1, 2020September 2, 2020

The Nasdaq touched another new record Tuesday, as a variety of dynamics (both fundamental and

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4 Comments on Parallels

‘Zoom’ Goes The Money Printer

September 1, 2020September 1, 2020

The tech “crash up” went vertical Tuesday as shares of Zoom took off on a

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1 Comment on ‘Zoom’ Goes The Money Printer

‘LOLWUT’: Nomura’s McElligott Explains Tech’s Upside Summer Crash

September 1, 2020September 1, 2020

There’s “consternation” about the “spot up, vol up” dynamic evidenced in US benchmarks of late,

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7 Comments on ‘LOLWUT’: Nomura’s McElligott Explains Tech’s Upside Summer Crash

Economy Booming, Says Numbers

September 1, 2020September 1, 2020

“The recovery is on track”, they’ll say, if they haven’t already. The market easily cleared

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3 Comments on Economy Booming, Says Numbers

No Ceilings (Spacemen)

September 1, 2020September 1, 2020

The dollar slumped to a fresh two-year low and the vaunted “stay at home” trade

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2 Comments on No Ceilings (Spacemen)

Lagarde’s Trial By Fire Continues As Europe Sinks Into Deflation

September 1, 2020September 1, 2020

Europe had its first brush with deflation in four years in August, as the effects

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Stocks Up, Vol Up And ‘The Mighty Call Trading Legion’

August 31, 2020September 1, 2020

Monday was yet another session that found stocks rising alongside volatility, although the S&P ended

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3 Comments on Stocks Up, Vol Up And ‘The Mighty Call Trading Legion’

Marko Kolanovic: Investors Should Position For Rising Odds Of Trump Victory

August 31, 2020September 1, 2020

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic predicted Donald Trump’s election victory in 2016. In a note dated Monday,

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Clarida: Our Employment Models ‘Have Been Wrong’

August 31, 2020September 1, 2020

On Monday, Richard Clarida delivered a fairly lengthy series of prepared remarks for a webcast

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5 Comments on Clarida: Our Employment Models ‘Have Been Wrong’

China Looks Poised To Inflate A Tech Bubble Of Its Own

August 31, 2020August 31, 2020

The Chinese economic recovery continued apace in August — or at least that’s the official

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Warren Buffett Goes Sogo Shosha

August 31, 2020August 31, 2020

Japanese stocks outperformed to start the new week as news of Berkshire’s $6 billion stake

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Redundancies

August 30, 2020September 1, 2020

In “Gods“, I described an inegalitarian market that not only reflects, but also feeds, an

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12 Comments on Redundancies

The Iceman: Xi Intervenes In TikTok Deal At Last Minute

August 30, 2020August 31, 2020

What’s good for the goose is good for the gander, apparently. ByteDance may need Xi

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2 Comments on The Iceman: Xi Intervenes In TikTok Deal At Last Minute

Equations

August 30, 2020August 31, 2020

August payrolls, due Friday, could mark the last of the “easy” jobs reports, and thereby

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2 Comments on Equations

Gods

August 29, 2020August 31, 2020

An inegalitarian rally for an inegalitarian nation. That encapsulates a theme I’ve employed frequently in

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7 Comments on Gods

Coffee Grounds

August 29, 2020August 31, 2020

I’ve no need to venture off the proverbial “grounds” for coffee. Over the years, I’ve

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19 Comments on Coffee Grounds

Steeped In It

August 28, 2020August 29, 2020

Another day, another record high for US equities. The S&P rose a seventh straight day

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5 Comments on Steeped In It

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