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Featured

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Epsilon Theory: ‘The Stage Is Set For An Explosive Market Re-evaluation Of Inflation’

April 15, 2018

“The day-to-day and intraday market swings over the past six weeks have been absolutely ferocious.”

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2 Comments on Epsilon Theory: ‘The Stage Is Set For An Explosive Market Re-evaluation Of Inflation’

‘Slippery James’ And ‘Wild Bill’: How Insane Was Trump’s Sunday Twitter Rant?

April 15, 2018April 15, 2018

What would this sound like if we quoted him like a normal person? I don’t know, let’s try it!

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14 Comments on ‘Slippery James’ And ‘Wild Bill’: How Insane Was Trump’s Sunday Twitter Rant?

Pick A Fire, Any Fire!

April 15, 2018April 15, 2018

“Annette, Annette”…

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The Poverty Of Tech And The Tech Of Poverty

April 15, 2018

It was one of those rainy and damp days, I was finding my way out of the F-train subway on Bergen St. in Brooklyn. On the mezzanine level, in the corner of the stairwell, I noticed a young man, couldn’t have been much older than 30….

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1 Comment on The Poverty Of Tech And The Tech Of Poverty

Here Are The Biggest Risks Facing Tech

April 14, 2018April 14, 2018

This debate is obviously crucial for the market going forward. Everyone is acutely aware of how important it is for tech high-fliers to avoid an Icarus moment until we finally see the fabled “rotation” back into value or, more simply, until another sector proves it’s capable of taking the baton in this aging bull market.

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Inner And Outer Limits: Resolving An Inconsistency And What It Means For Risk

April 14, 2018April 14, 2018

An “optimal control problem.”

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Is Michael Cohen The Dumbest Lawyer In America? Maybe, Probably, Yes!

April 14, 2018April 14, 2018

“There are 1.3 million lawyers in America, but Michael Cohen may be the stupidest one of all.”

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5 Comments on Is Michael Cohen The Dumbest Lawyer In America? Maybe, Probably, Yes!

International Community Reacts To Syria Strikes – Around The World In 1,300 Words

April 14, 2018April 14, 2018

What’s everyone thinking on Saturday? Well, I’m glad you asked…

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U.S., U.K., France Launch Air Strikes Against Assad Regime In Syria; Operation Said Completed

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

‘RIGHT NOW THIS IS A ONE-TIME SHOT’

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13 Comments on U.S., U.K., France Launch Air Strikes Against Assad Regime In Syria; Operation Said Completed

Slime Balls, Animals And Lawyers, Oh My!

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

All you can do is laugh.

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1 Comment on Slime Balls, Animals And Lawyers, Oh My!

For Markets, Geopolitics Grabs Center Stage – Who’s Excited?!

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

After all, the market’s muted response to geopolitical turmoil in 2016 and 2017 was in large part down to the central bank put, which is now in question. And it goes without saying that the low vol. regime seems to have come to an end over the past couple of months. 

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oil5 Comments on For Markets, Geopolitics Grabs Center Stage – Who’s Excited?!

The Michael Cohen Tapes May Be Even Better Than The Pee Tape (Allegedly)

April 13, 2018

“And in fact, the belief that Cohen routinely recorded his conversations was one reason people on Trump’s 2016 campaign avoided Cohen like that one mean kid in elementary school who always wore a dirty white t-shirt and whose breath smelled like old loogies.”

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2 Comments on The Michael Cohen Tapes May Be Even Better Than The Pee Tape (Allegedly)

Here Are The 3 Reasons Why Mario Draghi Should Worry

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

…if you wait too long and the cycle turns on you while you’re still sitting in NIRP with a bloated balance sheet, well then where do you go from there?

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1 Comment on Here Are The 3 Reasons Why Mario Draghi Should Worry

JPMorgan And Citi Are Just Fine With This Whole Higher Volatility Thing

April 13, 2018

Sorry Seth Golden, it’s Jamie Dimon’s turn to make some money now.

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Trump Says ‘Slime Ball’ Comey ‘Should Be Prosecuted’ For His ‘Leakin’, Lyin” Ways

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

It’s better to be pissed off than pissed on.

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3 Comments on Trump Says ‘Slime Ball’ Comey ‘Should Be Prosecuted’ For His ‘Leakin’, Lyin” Ways

Saudi Aramco Is World’s Most Profitable Company As Bloomberg Gets Inside Look At Finances

April 13, 2018July 2, 2019

Well then…

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Saudi Aramco Is World’s Most Profitable Company As Bloomberg Gets Inside Look At Finances

Bitcoin Rallies Again, Is Up A Lot This Week Because People Are Still Stupid

April 13, 2018April 13, 2018

Don’t forget, it’s a “disease.”

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5 Comments on Bitcoin Rallies Again, Is Up A Lot This Week Because People Are Still Stupid

China Has A Trade Deficit! #SAD

April 13, 2018

I guess it’s time for Xi to make some red trucker hats – #Make China Great Again!

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Is It Time To Add Risk? One Bank Thinks Maybe

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

“We think it is overdone and has created opportunity for long and short term investors.”

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In Latest Death Blow To TPP, Trump Charges Larry Kudlow With Renegotiating TPP

April 12, 2018

Personal problems are muting his ability to focus in international fires and he is looking to mollify his notional GOP allies by sending slick-ass Kuddles to salvage a trade pact that he doesn’t care for.

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We’ll See What Happens.

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

Waiting game.

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oil, OPEC4 Comments on We’ll See What Happens.

The Gilded Age, Man.

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

“I had never seen implied vol move that fast at that point in my young career.”

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‘Maybe There Isn’t A Big Tail Risk’ In Tech (?)

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

Are the regulatory demons real?

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1 Comment on ‘Maybe There Isn’t A Big Tail Risk’ In Tech (?)

One Bank Brings You The ‘Word From Main Street’, And The Word Is…

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

Apparently, Wall Street needs to conduct surveys to get a read on what the “word” from Main Street is, because after all, if you’re working in lower Manhattan and pulling in a cool 300k, you’re probably not spending a lot of time hanging out with the poors in social settings.

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3 Comments on One Bank Brings You The ‘Word From Main Street’, And The Word Is…

Thoughts On The ECB Minutes And A Bearish Euro Call For EURUSD Bulls

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

Here’s some shit you probably won’t read. But I wasted time on it anyway, because why not?

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Bitcoin Jumps $1,000 In Insane Morning Surge

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

Ummmm…

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2 Comments on Bitcoin Jumps $1,000 In Insane Morning Surge

Larry Fink Thinks Investors Should Be ‘100% In Stocks’ – And If You Want To Buy Some Via BlackRock, That’s Even Better

April 12, 2018

You’re spending too much time thinking about “market timing”.

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Leave a Comment on Larry Fink Thinks Investors Should Be ‘100% In Stocks’ – And If You Want To Buy Some Via BlackRock, That’s Even Better

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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