Is Risk Parity Deleveraging The Biggest Risk To Markets?
“However, relative to CTAs there is much less transparency on the total size of assets in risk parity and equity vol control strategies let alone the subset of which is completely rules-based.”
Marcus: “Authoritarianism Does Not Announce Itself. It Creeps Up On You”
“But other shifts, equally audacious and equally troubling, take a more subtle form. They unfold slowly until, perhaps too late, the change becomes blindingly apparent.”
Will This Be The Longest Expansion In US History? Spoiler Alert: Pray For Tax Cuts
“Beneath this optimism, however, we are struggling with narrowing profit margins and a flattening yield curve. These factors typically occur at the later stages of a business cycle.”
“Death By A Thousand Cuts”: 8 Ways Trump Could Wiggle Out Of Special Counsel Investigation
“Members of Congress should not sit back and hope that Mueller’s investigation will proceed free from interference, especially given statements by the president and his supporters indicating an interest in derailing Mueller.”
A Better Way To Short The Bond Market
“This morning I have decided to write about US swap spreads. I know, you are already reaching for the delete key, but wait”…
OPEC’s Next Move Should Be “Shock And Awe”: Goldman
OPEC can influence the outcome with a “shock and awe†cut and a bearish guidance…
Nedbank: “The Risk-On Phase Is Very Close To Being Over”
“The Fed might be the trigger for tighter financial conditions, but not the cause (as we believe the risk-on phase is very close to being over).”
“What The Hell Happened?!” Goldman Slashes Oil Target Amid Market “Madness”
“How did it go so wrong?”…
“This Isn’t Hyperbole: The GOP Is Turning Into The Party Of Putin
“This isn’t hyperbole; in fact, it’s hard to overstate just how serious this issue is. Yet President Trump continues to sow doubt about whether Moscow even interfered in the 2016 presidential elections and to suggest the question’s insignificance by ignoring it all together.”
Trump Says ‘Crazy’, ‘Low IQ’, ‘Psychos’ Who ‘Bleed Badly From The Face’ Not Welcome At Mar-a-Lago
Wake up, America, it’s time for your “covfefe“! And President Crazy-Orange-Juice-Man is servin’ that shit
Trader: “Black Swan Events Happen A Lot More Often Than They’re Supposed To”
“The Fed has enjoyed free-ridership of doing so while everyone else is still printing away. This has meant that financial market conditions have taken it wholly in stride. To assert that this will be the case when everyone else join is making a big assumption about the efficacy of the cure.”
Yo, They’re Selling The Shit Out Of Some Government Bonds
Yeah, so the cacophony of hawkish commentary from central bankers has triggered a global selloff
A Nightmare On Wall Street – Updating The Feedback Doom Loop
Remember “Investigating The Market’s ‘Nightmare Scenario’”? Of course you don’t. That post is from May
Humpty Dumpty And The Euro…
“All the king’s soldiers”…
Euro, Euro, Euro
It will take more than anonymous ECB sources to cool the desire to bet on
Key Calls (Thursday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
You need an upgrade.
The Only Government System That Actually Works Is The One With No Populism In Its Design
” At a time of rock-bottom confidence in public institutions, it is notable that the intelligence oversight system, a system with hardly a trace of populism in its design, actually works effectively at its core purpose: assuring the public that the intelligence community is doing its job within the law.”
Bank Of Japan Breaks Bond Market As Holdings Rise To Hilarious 387,000,000,000,000 Yen
“Most central banks are playing at 10, all the way up, all the way up, you’re on ten, where can you go from there?”Â
Poll: The Joke’s On You America
“Only 22 percent of more than 40,000 respondents from 37 countries had confidence in Trump doing the right thing regarding world affairs; 64 percent felt that way about Barack Obama at the end of his presidency. The only countries preferring Trump were Israel and Russia.”
About That Fed “Policy Mistake”…
“The thesis that the Fed has made a policy error would seem to imply two claims: that the Fed’s hawkish stance has led to excessive tightening in financial conditions, and that this in turn has caused the economy to slow more than intended. Neither of these has happened.”
“Have They Lost Their Minds?!” Republican Health Bill As Politically- Assisted Suicide
“Sen. Mitch McConnell has called off a vote this week on the Senate Republican health-care bill. That’s a good thing. Because if Republicans want to confirm every liberal caricature of conservatism in a single piece of legislation, they could do no better than vote on the GOP bill in its current form.”
Goldman Answers The Big Question: “Are Volatility Selling Strategies Crowded?”
Fresh off releasing a 28-page report on the low vol. regime called “The Upside Of Boring,” Goldman is out on Wednesday asking an important question: “Are Vol. Selling Strategies Crowded?”Â
“Shit! I Think We Bit Off More Than We Can Chew”: Explaining Al Qaeda’s Decline
“This failure stands in contrast to the experience of terrorist groups like Hamas and Hizballah, which enjoy considerable local support. Both are integrated into the broader Palestinian and Lebanese Shi’a populations of their countries. Hamas is the de facto ruler of Gaza, and Hizballah is part of the Lebanese government. “
Options Market Turns Most Bullish On Euro Since November
If the ECB and Vitor Constancio thought they were going to be able to put
A Brief And Hilarious History Of Trump’s Tweets About Amazon
“A great gift idea is my new book #TimeToGetTough, easy to order on Amazon”
A Covfefe’d Up Trump Blasts WaPo, Amazon In Gibberish Tweet
“Covfefe AF yo”…
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