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Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Trump: I’ll Fire Mueller If I Want To, I’ll Fire Missiles When I Want To, Now ‘Where Is Our Thank You’?

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018

“Where is our thank you”?

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3 Comments on Trump: I’ll Fire Mueller If I Want To, I’ll Fire Missiles When I Want To, Now ‘Where Is Our Thank You’?

Goldman: Passive Funds Appear To Be The ‘Primary Source Of Recent Volatility’

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

Proponents of passive investing are going to keep insisting that the epochal active-to-passive shift isn’t dangerous or otherwise prone to destabilizing markets. They’re going to take that narrative to the grave apparently.

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1 Comment on Goldman: Passive Funds Appear To Be The ‘Primary Source Of Recent Volatility’

John Paulson Singlehandedly Paying For Trump Tax Cuts

April 11, 2018

J-Paulz $1 billion tax bill for 2017 proves that tax planning is even worse than his investing.

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‘Keep The Change, You Filthy Animal’

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

“Get ready.”

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oilLeave a Comment on ‘Keep The Change, You Filthy Animal’

Fed Minutes: ‘Trade War Is A Downside Risk’

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

STRONG MAJORITY OF FED OFFICIALS SAW TRADE WAR AS DOWNSIDE RISK

FED SEES `SIGNIFICANT’ FISCAL-POLICY GROWTH BOOST NEXT FEW YRS

A NUMBER FED OFFICIALS SAW OUTLOOK WARRANTING STEEPER RATE PATH

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1 Comment on Fed Minutes: ‘Trade War Is A Downside Risk’

‘Nuclear Option?’ Mnuchin Bails Out Ruble – For Now

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

So apparently, the ruble has rebounded thanks to Steve Mnuchin.

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3 Comments on ‘Nuclear Option?’ Mnuchin Bails Out Ruble – For Now

What’s The Biggest Near-Term Risk To Global Equities? You Can Choose Between Trump And Trump

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

It’s a tough one.

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Paul Ryan Decides ‘To Hell With This’ And Meanwhile, John Boehner Got Dat Kush For Tha Low

April 11, 2018

“Also, Ryan never really wanted this job in the first place, so it’s as good a time as any to go back to Janesville and skip leg day WHENEVER HE WANTS.”

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3 Comments on Paul Ryan Decides ‘To Hell With This’ And Meanwhile, John Boehner Got Dat Kush For Tha Low

Why One Bank Thinks The Narrative And Current Positioning Are ‘Fraught With Risk’

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

“Typically when positions are as large as they are currently, the risk is that if the prevailing narrative of the time does not play out perfectly, violent reversals will ensue.”

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Trader: Here’s My Beef With Jamie Dimon’s Annual Letter

April 11, 2018November 13, 2018

“What happened each time the Fed stopped QE? Yields fell. The complete opposite of what Jamie would predict.”

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3 Comments on Trader: Here’s My Beef With Jamie Dimon’s Annual Letter

This Hasn’t Happened Since 2009: Ruble, Crude Edition

April 11, 2018

Tough week for Russia.

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oil4 Comments on This Hasn’t Happened Since 2009: Ruble, Crude Edition

A Fired Up Trump Tells Russia To ‘Get Ready’ For ‘Nice, New’ Missiles Aimed At ‘Gas Killing Animal’ Assad

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

Boy, someone has had their covfefe this morning.

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9 Comments on A Fired Up Trump Tells Russia To ‘Get Ready’ For ‘Nice, New’ Missiles Aimed At ‘Gas Killing Animal’ Assad

‘It’s A Race To The Bottom’: Ruble, Lira Crushed As Russia, Turkey Face Burgeoning Currency Crises

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

An escalation in Syria won’t help.

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CPI Basically In Line As Wireless ‘Distortion’ Starts To Roll Off

April 11, 2018April 11, 2018

Without further ado…

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Trump Considering Firing Rosenstein, Sessions; Tried To Fire Mueller Again In December

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“Mr. Trump’s quick conclusion that the erroneous news reports warranted firing Mr. Mueller is also an insight Mr. Trump’s state of mind about the special counsel.”

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1 Comment on Trump Considering Firing Rosenstein, Sessions; Tried To Fire Mueller Again In December

David Stockman: Forget The FBI, This Is The ‘Real Raiding Party’

April 10, 2018

“While the FBI was raiding the offices of Trump’s lawyer yesterday afternoon, the CBO published a blockbuster report evidencing the Donald’s own raiding party.”

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8 Comments on David Stockman: Forget The FBI, This Is The ‘Real Raiding Party’

Red Rally.

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

All hail the “king”.

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3 Comments on Red Rally.

Bitcoin As An ‘Infectious Disease’: One Bank Says The Crypto Plague Is Almost Over

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“”Like the infection analogy, the population divides into three groups: ‘susceptible’ individuals who are vulnerable but not yet infected; ‘infected’ individuals; and those who are ‘immune’.”

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1 Comment on Bitcoin As An ‘Infectious Disease’: One Bank Says The Crypto Plague Is Almost Over

‘The Passion Of The Donald’: Trump’s FBI Conspiracy Theory In His Own Words

April 10, 2018

“Don’t be surprised if Trump decides to vent some of his anger by choosing the most destructive option against Syria. And possibly a cruise missile strike on the Special Counsel’s office.”

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1 Comment on ‘The Passion Of The Donald’: Trump’s FBI Conspiracy Theory In His Own Words

Rod Rosenstein Personally Signed Off On FBI Raid Of Trump Lawyer Cohen

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“Mr. Trump’s advisers have spent the last 24 hours trying to convince the president not to make an impulsive decision that could put the president in more legal jeopardy.”

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2 Comments on Rod Rosenstein Personally Signed Off On FBI Raid Of Trump Lawyer Cohen

Albert Edwards Explains Why The S&P Will Eventually Fall Below The 2009 Lows

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“In the next recession, I would expect the P/E to bottom at about seven times, a lower low with earnings about 30% lower because of the recession. That would put the S&P lower than the 666 low of the previous crash, versus 2671 Thursday afternoon.”

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards Explains Why The S&P Will Eventually Fall Below The 2009 Lows

One Trader Asks: ‘When Will The Volatility Finally Spread?’

April 10, 2018

“Instead of mindlessly staring at the VIX to get a sense of the market’s volatility worries, I have created a new index.”

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In Bombshell Report, Fox’s Tucker Carlson ‘Exposes’ Pandas As ‘Sex-Crazed’ Murderous Perverts

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“You know the official story about pandas — they’re cute, they’re adorably helpless, which is why they’re almost extinct. But like a lot of what we hear, that’s a lie.”

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Leave a Comment on In Bombshell Report, Fox’s Tucker Carlson ‘Exposes’ Pandas As ‘Sex-Crazed’ Murderous Perverts

Guess What? The Saudis Have ‘An Ambition’ For $80 Oil

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

And hey, who better than the Saudis, right?

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Guess What? The Saudis Have ‘An Ambition’ For $80 Oil

‘Had He Acted Like Trump Markets Would Have Been Upset’: Xi Tries To Put Out Trump’s Dumpster Fire

April 10, 2018April 10, 2018

“It’s a good thing Xi is bringing this tone to it because markets would be very upset if he played it like Trump.”

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6 Comments on ‘Had He Acted Like Trump Markets Would Have Been Upset’: Xi Tries To Put Out Trump’s Dumpster Fire

Trump Calls FBI Raid On Lawyer ‘Disgraceful’, Cohen Being Investigated For Bank Fraud, Campaign Violations

April 9, 2018April 9, 2018

Quick! Someone get this man a lawyer before he incriminates himself any further! 

Oh… wait….

Read More

4 Comments on Trump Calls FBI Raid On Lawyer ‘Disgraceful’, Cohen Being Investigated For Bank Fraud, Campaign Violations

Michael Cohen Thought His Life Already Sucked Pretty Bad And Then The F.B.I. Raided His Office On Monday

April 9, 2018April 9, 2018

Wow, how hilarious is this, right?

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5 Comments on Michael Cohen Thought His Life Already Sucked Pretty Bad And Then The F.B.I. Raided His Office On Monday

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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