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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

The Christmas CPI Party That Wasn’t

December 16, 2022December 17, 2022

Regardless of how things turned out on Wall Street Friday, risk sentiment was plainly on

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1 Comment on The Christmas CPI Party That Wasn’t

Treacherous Vibes

December 15, 2022December 16, 2022

The specter of ongoing rate hikes set against decelerating economic activity and persistent inflation isn’t

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3 Comments on Treacherous Vibes

McElligott ‘Feels Pretty Emphatic’ About This Fed Take

December 15, 2022December 16, 2022

The word “shock” was bandied about on Thursday to describe the Fed’s new dot plot,

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14 Comments on McElligott ‘Feels Pretty Emphatic’ About This Fed Take

‘Owl’ Lagarde Shows Talons As ECB Language Turns Aggressive

December 15, 2022December 21, 2022

The ECB might’ve just become the most hawkish developed market central bank, an unfamiliar role

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1 Comment on ‘Owl’ Lagarde Shows Talons As ECB Language Turns Aggressive

Did The American Consumer Just Fold?

December 15, 2022December 19, 2022

US retail sales fell by the most since December of 2021 last month, data out

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8 Comments on Did The American Consumer Just Fold?

Hiking Into The Stagflationary Abyss

December 15, 2022December 15, 2022

A divided Bank of England raised rates for a ninth consecutive meeting on Thursday, closing

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1 Comment on Hiking Into The Stagflationary Abyss

Chinese Retail Sales Crumbled In November

December 14, 2022December 16, 2022

Retail sales plunged in China last month, key data out Thursday showed. While the 5.9%

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5 Comments on Chinese Retail Sales Crumbled In November

Unfinished Business

December 14, 2022December 15, 2022

The Fed wants “substantially more evidence” that inflation is on a sustainable path lower. That

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4 Comments on Unfinished Business

When Doves Try

December 14, 2022December 21, 2022

As expected, the Fed raised rates by 50bps on Wednesday, capping a tumultuous year defined

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2 Comments on When Doves Try

China Reopening: What Could Go Wrong?

December 14, 2022December 14, 2022

The Chinese government — or, more aptly, “the Xi Jinping regime” — postponed the most

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3 Comments on China Reopening: What Could Go Wrong?

Meanwhile, In The UK…

December 14, 2022December 19, 2022

Headlines out of the UK continue to paint a bleak picture of stagflation and generalized

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In The UK…

Howard Marks Sees ‘Sea Change’

December 13, 2022December 26, 2022

During the pandemic, I stopped covering Howard Marks’s memos. For a time, I even stopped

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11 Comments on Howard Marks Sees ‘Sea Change’

Bond Bulls Fashionable Again. BlackRock Isn’t Buying It

December 13, 2022December 13, 2022

Notwithstanding the recent rally that found 10-year US yields below 3.5% on Tuesday following another

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Leave a Comment on Bond Bulls Fashionable Again. BlackRock Isn’t Buying It

‘A Massive, Years-Long Fraud’: SEC Makes Case Against Bankman-Fried

December 13, 2022December 19, 2022

“From at least May 2019 through November 2022, Bankman-Fried engaged in a scheme to defraud

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7 Comments on ‘A Massive, Years-Long Fraud’: SEC Makes Case Against Bankman-Fried

Here Are The Criminal Charges Against Sam Bankman-Fried

December 13, 2022December 14, 2022

“From at least in or about 2019, up to and including in or about November

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7 Comments on Here Are The Criminal Charges Against Sam Bankman-Fried

‘Peak Inflation’ For The Win

December 13, 2022December 20, 2022

For the second month in a row, US consumer prices rose less than expected, emboldening

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3 Comments on ‘Peak Inflation’ For The Win

Record 90% Of Fund Managers Say Inflation Has Peaked

December 13, 2022December 13, 2022

Global growth expectations might’ve bottomed this month among fund managers. That’s according to the December

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1 Comment on Record 90% Of Fund Managers Say Inflation Has Peaked

Samuel Bankman-Fried Is Under Arrest

December 12, 2022December 13, 2022

“Earlier this evening, Bahamian authorities arrested Samuel Bankman-Fried at the request of the US Government,”

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11 Comments on Samuel Bankman-Fried Is Under Arrest

Kolanovic Goes Underweight Stocks, Warns Of ‘Potential Risk Event’

December 12, 2022December 13, 2022

Late last month, JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic said that by this time next year, central banks

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Divergent Stock Outlook Reflects America’s Wealth, Education Divide

December 12, 2022December 13, 2022

Well-off Americans expect a Fed pivot. That’s one way to explain the widest disparity in

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2 Comments on Divergent Stock Outlook Reflects America’s Wealth, Education Divide

Americans Felt Better About Inflation Last Month, Fed Says

December 12, 2022December 12, 2022

Good news: Near-term consumer inflation expectations moderated significantly in November, according to the latest installment

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3 Comments on Americans Felt Better About Inflation Last Month, Fed Says

Recreating The Sun

December 12, 2022December 22, 2022

The holy grail was located near San Francisco. California-based scientists studying fusion energy at the

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17 Comments on Recreating The Sun

China’s ‘Giant Wave’

December 12, 2022December 19, 2022

“Official COVID case counts have been rendered meaningless.” So declared Bloomberg on Monday, in an

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7 Comments on China’s ‘Giant Wave’

Central Banks Set For 225 Basis Point Hiking Flourish

December 11, 2022December 12, 2022

The December FOMC meeting is the marquee event this week, but Jerome Powell won’t be

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Leave a Comment on Central Banks Set For 225 Basis Point Hiking Flourish

Fed Finale: What To Expect From 2022’s Last Meeting

December 11, 2022December 14, 2022

This time last year, the Fed was busy disavowing “transitory” as a description of the

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4 Comments on Fed Finale: What To Expect From 2022’s Last Meeting

Is The Fed Trying Hard Enough?

December 10, 2022December 12, 2022

Rates aren’t high enough yet. If you like tautologies, that’s the best way to explain

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2 Comments on Is The Fed Trying Hard Enough?

JPMorgan Ponders ‘Armageddon’ Scenario

December 10, 2022December 19, 2022

“Pause is not enough.” That’s one of four possible macro scenarios included in JPMorgan’s 2023

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4 Comments on JPMorgan Ponders ‘Armageddon’ Scenario

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on Frozen Bubble
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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