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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Goldman’s Clients Fear ‘More Bearish’ 2023

December 10, 2022December 11, 2022

Goldman’s clients — some of them, at least — are more pessimistic about equities in

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1 Comment on Goldman’s Clients Fear ‘More Bearish’ 2023

Will The Fed Give Up On 2% Inflation?

December 9, 2022December 17, 2022

Fed officials have uniformly rejected the notion that it may ultimately be impossible to restore

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25 Comments on Will The Fed Give Up On 225 Inflation?

Upbeat. But Not Really

December 9, 2022December 11, 2022

The last of this week’s sparse US economic data was mercifully upbeat. Or as upbeat

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Leave a Comment on Upbeat. But Not Really

Cancel Your PPI Parties

December 9, 2022December 10, 2022

Cancel any weekend PPI parties you had planned. Producer prices in the US rose more

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Leave a Comment on Cancel Your PPI Parties

‘Sell The Last Hike’

December 9, 2022December 15, 2022

It’s fair to say markets are obsessed with the idea that the last Fed hike

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2 Comments on ‘Sell The Last Hike’

Deflation In An Inflationary World

December 9, 2022December 10, 2022

“The spirits” were better Friday, as global equities attempted to trim this week’s losses ahead

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1 Comment on Deflation In An Inflationary World

‘The Spirits Are Down’

December 8, 2022December 10, 2022

A handful of headlines sounded promising on Thursday, but by and large, they belied recycled

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7 Comments on ‘The Spirits Are Down’

Trump, Bankman-Fried And OverDue Process

December 8, 2022December 9, 2022

The Sam Bankman-Fried saga poses a dilemma for me. It’s a similar dilemma to that

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12 Comments on Trump, Bankman-Fried And OverDue Process

A Healthy Dose Of Xi Jinping Hysteria

December 8, 2022December 17, 2022

Concerns around the rapid abandonment of strict pandemic control measures in China filled a news

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9 Comments on A Healthy Dose Of Xi Jinping Hysteria

‘Capitulation Events’ And ‘Nightmare Scenarios’

December 7, 2022December 8, 2022

The rates-driven, valuation compression stage of the bear market may be mostly behind us assuming

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5 Comments on ‘Capitulation Events’ And ‘Nightmare Scenarios’

Press Pause

December 7, 2022December 8, 2022

Rate hikes from developed market central banks continued on Wednesday. Admittedly, we might’ve passed the

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Goodbye ‘COVID Zero’

December 7, 2022December 13, 2022

China eased COVID restrictions on Wednesday. Again. Amid a rapid rollback of testing requirements across

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1 Comment on Goodbye ‘COVID Zero’

Warnock, Walker And A Nation Adrift

December 7, 2022December 13, 2022

“There’s no excuses in life,” Herschel Walker said late Tuesday, his penchant for poor grammar

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16 Comments on Warnock, Walker And A Nation Adrift

Smoke Signals And Fantasy Worlds

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

The Fed is planning to hike rates beyond 5% in 2023 and company analysts are

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7 Comments on Smoke Signals And Fantasy Worlds

This Ain’t Over: Macro Discomfort Returns For The Holidays

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

Muted markets and subdued sentiment looked more like visible discomfort by noon on Wall Street

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2 Comments on This Ain’t Over: Macro Discomfort Returns For The Holidays

Dimon On Crypto, Hurricanes And Cups ‘Runneth Over’

December 6, 2022December 13, 2022

Jamie Dimon has a lot on his mind. And Dimon’s mind isn’t something he’s shy

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Put ‘$5 Trillion’ In The Headline

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

The holiday slowdown beckons. If you know what to look for, you can see it

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Leave a Comment on Put ‘$5 Trillion’ In The Headline

COVID Easing Versus Policy Tightening

December 6, 2022December 6, 2022

Markets were muted and sentiment subdued Tuesday, as news of incremental easing in China’s COVID

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4 Comments on COVID Easing Versus Policy Tightening

Reversal Shocks

December 5, 2022December 6, 2022

Notwithstanding a Monday bounce triggered at least in part by a robust ISM services print

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2 Comments on Reversal Shocks

US Services Sector Is Thriving. And Also Deteriorating

December 5, 2022December 6, 2022

Bad news: Good news. The first of this week’s sparse US economic data was inconsistent

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7 Comments on US Services Sector Is Thriving. And Also Deteriorating

The Terrifying Case Of $65 Trillion In ‘Missing US Dollar Debt’

December 5, 2022December 20, 2022

“Off-balance sheet dollar debt may remain out of sight and out of mind, but only

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8 Comments on The Terrifying Case Of $65 Trillion In ‘Missing US Dollar Debt’

Grand Reopening?

December 5, 2022December 6, 2022

“COVID zero” in China is over. Not officially, and maybe not for good. But de

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3 Comments on Grand Reopening?

The Fed Keeps Proving Critics Right

December 4, 2022December 5, 2022

I try to give technocratic policymakers the benefit of the doubt. I really do. For

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It’s The Quiet Weeks That Get You

December 4, 2022December 9, 2022

The data docket is a bit sparse in the US this week, and Fed officials

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2 Comments on It’s The Quiet Weeks That Get You

America’s Cheap Labor Addiction Revisited

December 3, 2022December 6, 2022

[Editor’s note: Historically, I haven’t run many articles more than once, not because there aren’t

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7 Comments on America’s Cheap Labor Addiction Revisited

Larry Summers Sketches The Coming Recession

December 3, 2022December 12, 2022

On the eve of a jobs report which argued for the persistence of an overtly

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4 Comments on Larry Summers Sketches The Coming Recession

‘The Buy Signal Is Close To An End’

December 3, 2022December 4, 2022

Is the rebound in risk assets sustainable? That question burns after the Dow rallied into

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4 Comments on ‘The Buy Signal Is Close To An End’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on Frozen Bubble
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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