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Author: therealheisenberg

Tragicomic US Housing Succumbs To ‘Broad-Based Fatigue’

July 29, 2025July 30, 2025

Homes. If you think they’re expensive to buy, just wait until you find out how

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6 Comments on Tragicomic US Housing Succumbs To ‘Broad-Based Fatigue’

Ambiguous JOLTS

July 29, 2025July 30, 2025

Job openings across the US economy mostly reversed the largest gain of 2025 in June,

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American Consumers Reticent Amid Lingering Tariff Angst

July 29, 2025July 29, 2025

A key update on US consumer moods managed to beat estimates in data released Tuesday,

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2 Comments on American Consumers Reticent Amid Lingering Tariff Angst

Bubble-Spotters

July 29, 2025July 30, 2025

Everyone knows the problem with bubble pronouncements, right? If not, it’s simple: Declaring risk assets

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2 Comments on Bubble-Spotters

Don’t Hate The Players, Just The Game

July 28, 2025

Don’t hate the player, hate the game. Like most pithy maxims, that old adage prescribes

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5 Comments on Don’t Hate The Players, Just The Game

‘Disappointed’

July 28, 2025July 29, 2025

Donald Trump’s “disappointed” in Vladimir Putin. That’s his word. Trump’s. And I’m sure Putin’s heartbroken.

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7 Comments on ‘Disappointed’

Fundamentally Speaking…

July 28, 2025July 29, 2025

I’m going to dwell, for another beat, on the fundamentals. How quaint, right? First thing

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1 Comment on Fundamentally Speaking…

Gosh, It’s Good To Be A Corporate

July 28, 2025July 29, 2025

At the risk of jinxing things (there’s no such risk; superstition’s for the mentally desperate)

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8 Comments on Gosh, It’s Good To Be A Corporate

The Busiest Week Of The Year

July 27, 2025July 29, 2025

To say the US macro-market docket will be “busy” in the days ahead would be

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1 Comment on The Busiest Week Of The Year

‘It’s The Biggest Trade Deal Ever’

July 27, 2025July 28, 2025

“It was the best we could get.” So said Ursula von der Leyen on Sunday,

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3 Comments on ‘It’s The Biggest Trade Deal Ever’

Dissent(s) Ahoy!

July 27, 2025July 28, 2025

It’s tempting to say there’s no chance of a Fed cut at what, whether anyone

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5 Comments on Dissent(s) Ahoy!

That’s It, I’m Moving To Switzerland

July 26, 2025August 23, 2025

[Editor’s note: I’m making the Weekly available to all readers this week, as I think

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31 Comments on That’s It, I’m Moving To Switzerland

From Melt-Up To Bubble Watch

July 25, 2025July 27, 2025

It’s fair to say the melt-up materialized. That’d be the equity melt-up I spent the

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15 Comments on From Melt-Up To Bubble Watch

I’m Doing Great, How Are You?

July 25, 2025July 27, 2025

I’m doing great, how are you? One of the great tragedies of Donald Trump’s populism

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8 Comments on I’m Doing Great, How Are You?

Free Rein

July 25, 2025July 27, 2025

I’m pretty tired by now of hearing about what Donald Trump “can” and “can’t” do.

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28 Comments on Free Rein

Caution: Men Working

July 24, 2025July 26, 2025

I promised myself I wasn’t going to write about Donald Trump’s publicity stunt at the

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11 Comments on Caution: Men Working

Before The Fall, A Blow-Off Top?

July 24, 2025July 25, 2025

Are US equities approaching a “blow-off” top ahead of the traditional late-summer vol expansion and

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7 Comments on Before The Fall, A Blow-Off Top?

America’s New Home Inventory Bloat Reaches Epic Proportions

July 24, 2025July 25, 2025

The pace of new home sales in the US barely rose in June leaving the

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2 Comments on America’s New Home Inventory Bloat Reaches Epic Proportions

About Those ‘Urgent’ Rate Cuts…

July 24, 2025July 25, 2025

There wasn’t much Thursday in the way of evidence to support a US slowdown narrative.

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‘This Guy’s Gotta Go’

July 24, 2025July 24, 2025

“This is literally the government of Japan giving Donald Trump and the America people $550

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6 Comments on ‘This Guy’s Gotta Go’

What Even Is Tesla These Days?

July 23, 2025July 24, 2025

Remember Tesla? That’s the car company Elon Musk runs when he’s not… well, when he’s

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6 Comments on What Even Is Tesla These Days?

Alphabet’s Spending Plan In Focus After Very Solid Quarter

July 23, 2025July 24, 2025

Alphabet kicked off Magnificent 7 results with what looked like a solid beat. The company

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1 Comment on Alphabet’s Spending Plan In Focus After Very Solid Quarter

The Fed’s Probably Lost To Us

July 23, 2025July 24, 2025

House Speaker Mike Johnson’s “disenchanted” with Jerome Powell. That’s Johnson’s word. “Disenchanted.” He used it

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7 Comments on The Fed’s Probably Lost To Us

Existing Home Prices Soar To New Record. Sales Torpedoed

July 23, 2025July 23, 2025

Surprise! Existing home sales in the US fell far more than expected last month, according

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5 Comments on Existing Home Prices Soar To New Record. Sales Torpedoed

A Concept Of A Deal

July 23, 2025July 24, 2025

Japan will invest $550 billion — equivalent, roughly, to a bazillion, gagillion yen — in

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16 Comments on A Concept Of A Deal

What A Weak Dollar Means For Corporate Bottom Lines

July 22, 2025July 22, 2025

These are the sessions — hot summer sessions when everybody who’s anybody is on vacation

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Should The Fed Just Give Up? After All, Everyone Else Has

July 22, 2025July 23, 2025

More or less everyone’s lost their minds in America. I get that. And most people

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19 Comments on Should The Fed Just Give Up? After All, Everyone Else Has

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on Frozen Bubble
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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