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Author: therealheisenberg

Miki Delivers

June 25, 2025

Miki Bowman’s paying off for Wall Street already. Just weeks after assuming a role which

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2 Comments on Miki Delivers

The World’s Always Ending. Stocks Rarely Care.

June 25, 2025June 26, 2025

Market participants on Wednesday expressed varying degrees of incredulity at the resilience on display in

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21 Comments on The World’s Always Ending. Stocks Rarely Care.

New US Home Sales Plunge, Inventory Piles Skyward

June 25, 2025June 26, 2025

New home sales ran at a slower-than-expected pace in the US last month, disappointing government

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3 Comments on New US Home Sales Plunge, Inventory Piles Skyward

Volatility-Targeting Models Poised For Biggest-Ever Stock-Buying Spree

June 25, 2025June 26, 2025

Earlier this week, in “Behind The Scenes Of Wall Street’s V-Shaped Recovery,” I spent some

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3 Comments on Volatility-Targeting Models Poised For Biggest-Ever Stock-Buying Spree

‘A Good Friend. I Trust Him.’

June 25, 2025June 26, 2025

“Donald, you will achieve something NO American president in decades could get done,” Mark Rutte

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6 Comments on ‘A Good Friend. I Trust Him.’

Could The Fed Surprise With A July ‘Insurance’ Cut?

June 24, 2025

As discussed here on Tuesday morning, I think the odds of a Fed cut at

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2 Comments on Could The Fed Surprise With A July ‘Insurance’ Cut?

Behind The Scenes Of Wall Street’s V-Shaped Recovery

June 24, 2025June 25, 2025

Higher now, lower later. That’s been the equities refrain from Nomura’s Charlie McElligott for the

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14 Comments on Behind The Scenes Of Wall Street’s V-Shaped Recovery

Powell Endures Congressional ‘Work Over’

June 24, 2025June 25, 2025

At 1:32 AM on Tuesday, while — I don’t know — finding his way to

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4 Comments on Powell Endures Congressional ‘Work Over’

Trump Loses It: Israel, Iran ‘Don’t Know What The F-ck They’re Doing’

June 24, 2025June 25, 2025

Furious. That was Donald Trump early Tuesday. He wasn’t mad at Iran. Well, he was,

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21 Comments on Trump Loses It: Israel, Iran ‘Don’t Know What The F-ck They’re Doing’

US Consumer Confidence Back To Melting

June 24, 2025June 25, 2025

It didn’t last. The surge in US consumer confidence triggered by the perception of a

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Peace Through Crazy

June 23, 2025June 24, 2025

Hand him that Nobel he’s always wanted. Late Monday in the US (early Tuesday in

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9 Comments on Peace Through Crazy

Risky Business

June 23, 2025

Donald Trump’s a risky proposition. Just in general, but particularly as President of the United

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Fireworks In Qatar

June 23, 2025June 24, 2025

Iran wasted some missiles it couldn’t spare on Monday taking pointless pot shots at the

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8 Comments on Fireworks In Qatar

In US Housing, Total Gridlock

June 23, 2025June 24, 2025

Existing home sales managed a minuscule uptick in the US last month, data released on

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11 Comments on In US Housing, Total Gridlock

Tariff Inflation Evident In Otherwise Decent US PMIs

June 23, 2025June 24, 2025

Demand’s holding up, but price pressures are evident. That was the overarching message from preliminary

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2 Comments on Tariff Inflation Evident In Otherwise Decent US PMIs

The Gambler

June 23, 2025June 23, 2025

Iran on Monday branded Donald Trump a “gambler” for weekend strikes on the country’s nuclear

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25 Comments on The Gambler

What Happens Next…

June 22, 2025June 23, 2025

It’s not about regime change. That was Pete Hegseth’s message to Iran on Sunday morning,

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11 Comments on What Happens Next…

Meanwhile, Back At The Ranch…

June 22, 2025June 23, 2025

The marquee event in the days ahead is the onset of World War III, tentatively

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This Is The End, Beautiful Friend

June 21, 2025June 23, 2025

As it turns out, two weeks meant two days. Just 48 hours — give or

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31 Comments on This Is The End, Beautiful Friend

Countdown To July 9

June 21, 2025June 23, 2025

According to the ubiquitous people familiar with the matter, a comprehensive US-Europe trade accord won’t

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6 Comments on Countdown To July 9

Max Madman Theory

June 20, 2025June 20, 2025

On June 18, The Daily Beast ran a pretty funny headline: “Trump Boasts ‘Nobody Knows

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2 Comments on Max Madman Theory

Pros Have Never Been This Down On The Dollar

June 20, 2025June 22, 2025

Dollar dominance is facing its biggest test in the (short) history of American empire: True

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4 Comments on Pros Have Never Been This Down On The Dollar

Chris Waller Really Wishes Donald Trump Would Notice Him

June 20, 2025June 22, 2025

Chris Waller would really appreciate it if someone — anyone — would acknowledge how hard

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5 Comments on Chris Waller Really Wishes Donald Trump Would Notice Him

One Week In

June 20, 2025June 21, 2025

We’re now one week into the Israel-Iran war. I’m no expert on Israeli political polling,

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3 Comments on One Week In

Donald Trump’s Putting Jerome Powell In Danger

June 19, 2025June 20, 2025

When Jerome Powell was asked this week about his “friend down at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue,”

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3 Comments on Donald Trump’s Putting Jerome Powell In Danger

‘Widespread Chaos’

June 19, 2025June 21, 2025

“Whatever you do, don’t hit a hospital.” I realize turning the other cheek isn’t an

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15 Comments on ‘Widespread Chaos’

Back To ZIRP!

June 19, 2025June 20, 2025

We’re back to ZIRP. In Switzerland. Swiss monetary policy’s somewhat eccentric. They aim for price

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5 Comments on Back To ZIRP!

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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