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Author: therealheisenberg

Fire Burn And Caldron Bluster

August 5, 2025August 6, 2025

If you were looking for more evidence to support a US slowdown narrative that’s much

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1 Comment on Fire Burn And Caldron Bluster

The India Row

August 5, 2025August 6, 2025

A couple of days ago, while regaling a crowd in Uttar Pradesh, Narendra Modi enjoined

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7 Comments on The India Row

‘Get Ready For Stocks To Drop’?

August 4, 2025August 6, 2025

The most read story on Bloomberg as of 8 PM ET on Monday was called

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1 Comment on ‘Get Ready For Stocks To Drop’?

Fake Beats

August 4, 2025August 5, 2025

The beats aren’t real! Shouted anybody and everybody, with 65% or so of the S&P

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4 Comments on Fake Beats

If Nobody Sees It, It Didn’t Happen

August 4, 2025August 5, 2025

If a tree falls in the forest and nobody’s around to hear it, does it

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3 Comments on If Nobody Sees It, It Didn’t Happen

‘This Is Fine’

August 4, 2025August 5, 2025

The good news is, America’s premier statistics agency will prove impervious to Donald Trump’s worst

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5 Comments on ‘This Is Fine’

Alternative Facts

August 3, 2025August 4, 2025

Just when markets were ready and willing to give Donald Trump the benefit of the

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8 Comments on Alternative Facts

Matters Of The Utmost Concern

August 3, 2025August 4, 2025

I’m as exhausted with narrow market laments — the jeremiads of disgruntled bears citing “extreme

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2 Comments on Matters Of The Utmost Concern

Buffett’s Junk Food Write-Down (And Other Berkshire Snackables)

August 2, 2025August 4, 2025

Berkshire reported “earnings” on Saturday, and I gotta say: The report seemed underwhelming. That evaluation

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3 Comments on Buffett’s Junk Food Write-Down (And Other Berkshire Snackables)

Trump Moves To Fire BLS Chief Over Poor Jobs Report

August 1, 2025August 4, 2025

I’ve said it before since January and I’m sure I’ll say it a few (dozen)

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24 Comments on Trump Moves To Fire BLS Chief Over Poor Jobs Report

Kugler Resigns, Praises Powell’s ‘Unwavering Commitment’

August 1, 2025August 3, 2025

Adriana Kugler’s seen enough. “Dear President Trump, I am writing to notify you that I

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2 Comments on Kugler Resigns, Praises Powell’s ‘Unwavering Commitment’

DROP THE RATE!

August 1, 2025August 3, 2025

The sky’s falling. It fell this time last year too. Parallels between this week and

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3 Comments on DROP THE RATE!

Should’ve Cut! (Déjà Vu All Over Again)

August 1, 2025August 1, 2025

If you were looking to US factory floors for evidence to support a bullish domestic

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3 Comments on Should’ve Cut! (Déjà Vu All Over Again)

Revisionist History

August 1, 2025August 2, 2025

Job creation across the US economy slowed to a relative crawl over the last three

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17 Comments on Revisionist History

Apple Impresses. Amazon Worries With Profit Guide

July 31, 2025August 1, 2025

Amazon topped estimates and guided ahead of the Street for current-quarter sales, but I don’t

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2 Comments on Apple Impresses. Amazon Worries With Profit Guide

Mission Accomplished?

July 31, 2025August 1, 2025

Deals, Donald Trump’s got ’em. Although Trump on Thursday unveiled steep levies on a hodgepodge

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1 Comment on Mission Accomplished?

US Labor Costs Are Warming Up Again…

July 31, 2025July 31, 2025

For whatever it’s worth, the Fed’s preferred measure of labor costs in America rose more than

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1 Comment on US Labor Costs Are Warming Up Again…

Warm Inflation, Cool Spending Hint At Tariff Impact

July 31, 2025August 1, 2025

Technically, the market already had Thursday’s marquee US macro release in hand. The BEA’s personal

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1 Comment on Warm Inflation, Cool Spending Hint At Tariff Impact

Claims Versus Cuts: Who You Gonna Believe?

July 31, 2025August 1, 2025

Jobless claims are low, job cuts are high. Who you gonna believe? I’m just joking.

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3 Comments on Claims Versus Cuts: Who You Gonna Believe?

Meta, Microsoft Deliver Blowout Quarters

July 30, 2025July 31, 2025

Q2 2025 (it’s actually Q4 for the company’s fiscal year) was Microsoft’s 50th anniversary. The

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2 Comments on Meta, Microsoft Deliver Blowout Quarters

No Surrender

July 30, 2025July 31, 2025

A “reasonable base case” for tariffs is that their impact on US inflation is a

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7 Comments on No Surrender

Fed Keeps Rates On Hold. Waller, Bowman Dissent

July 30, 2025July 31, 2025

The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday, as expected, and much to Donald Trump’s chagrin.

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5 Comments on Fed Keeps Rates On Hold. Waller, Bowman Dissent

Pending Home Sales Disappoint As America’s Housing Malaise Persists

July 30, 2025July 30, 2025

Contract activity in the beleaguered US housing market slipped in June, partially reversing the prior

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1 Comment on Pending Home Sales Disappoint As America’s Housing Malaise Persists

Trade Distortion Masks A Slowing US Economy

July 30, 2025July 31, 2025

The US economy expanded a brisker-than-expected rate in the second quarter, the first read on

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Leave a Comment on Trade Distortion Masks A Slowing US Economy

Private Hiring Rebounds In America, To Sighs Of Relief

July 30, 2025July 30, 2025

Private sector employers in the US added 104,000 jobs in July, ADP said Wednesday. That

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Leave a Comment on Private Hiring Rebounds In America, To Sighs Of Relief

A $125 Billion Mechanical Bull

July 29, 2025July 30, 2025

Over the past six or so weeks, I’ve been on at length about re-allocation flows

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Leave a Comment on A $125 Billion Mechanical Bull

Time To Hedge?

July 29, 2025

The S&P came into Tuesday having gone 16 straight sessions without an up or down

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3 Comments on Time To Hedge?

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
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  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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