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Author: therealheisenberg

Bull Markets, Dog Days

August 8, 2025August 11, 2025

Don’t fight it. The stock melt-up, I mean. It’s a losing battle. At least until

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3 Comments on Bull Markets, Dog Days

Trump-Putin Ukraine Plan Validates Kremlin’s Modus Operandi

August 8, 2025August 11, 2025

Congratulations to Vladimir Putin. He’s on the verge of securing from Donald Trump, shrewd negotiator,

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7 Comments on Trump-Putin Ukraine Plan Validates Kremlin’s Modus Operandi

Not The Gold!

August 8, 2025August 10, 2025

An under-appreciated aspect of policymaking in any Trump administration is the (I think incontrovertible) fact

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2 Comments on Not The Gold!

Boardroom Drama

August 7, 2025August 8, 2025

I’m running low on fake Donald Trump astonishment. After a while, there’s something disingenuous about

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6 Comments on Boardroom Drama

‘Giving Gazans A Good Life’

August 7, 2025August 9, 2025

Israel’s going to take over Gaza. Completely. But don’t worry. They’re not staying. It’s a

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17 Comments on ‘Giving Gazans A Good Life’

Tariff Fatigue

August 7, 2025August 8, 2025

Donald Trump’s latest and “greatest” tariffs kicked in Thursday. By now, who cares? “What difference,

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6 Comments on Tariff Fatigue

Undaunted

August 7, 2025August 8, 2025

Superman may be more powerful than a locomotive, but “Tariff Man” isn’t strong enough to

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6 Comments on Undaunted

BoE Makes History With Most Confused Policy Decision Ever

August 7, 2025August 7, 2025

The Bank of England carried on Thursday with what’s now among the longest easing cycles

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3 Comments on BoE Makes History With Most Confused Policy Decision Ever

US Labor Productivity Improves, Jobless Claims Move Up

August 7, 2025August 7, 2025

Good news: Productivity improved across the US economy and unit labor cost growth moderated, according

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8 Comments on US Labor Productivity Improves, Jobless Claims Move Up

We’re All Deranged Here

August 6, 2025August 7, 2025

You know, it’s funny: The era of hyper-partisanship in America’s actually turning me apolitical. Sure,

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12 Comments on We’re All Deranged Here

Railroads!

August 6, 2025August 7, 2025

Here’s something you might ask if you wanted to justify the swollen market-caps of America’s

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1 Comment on Railroads!

‘He Hates These Cans!’

August 6, 2025August 7, 2025

Tariff Man gonna tariff I suppose. Donald Trump made good on threats to impose additional

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7 Comments on ‘He Hates These Cans!’

A Buyer’s Market Where No One Can Buy

August 6, 2025August 7, 2025

There was good news Wednesday for millions of beleaguered American renters: Mortgage rates in the

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4 Comments on A Buyer’s Market Where No One Can Buy

Margin For Error

August 5, 2025August 5, 2025

If you’re a corporate, the simplest way to “mitigate” tariffs is to raise prices to

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1 Comment on Margin For Error

August Bulls

August 5, 2025August 6, 2025

Historically, September sucks for stocks. The good news is, it’s not September. Yet. It will

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2 Comments on August Bulls

Fire Burn And Caldron Bluster

August 5, 2025August 6, 2025

If you were looking for more evidence to support a US slowdown narrative that’s much

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1 Comment on Fire Burn And Caldron Bluster

The India Row

August 5, 2025August 6, 2025

A couple of days ago, while regaling a crowd in Uttar Pradesh, Narendra Modi enjoined

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7 Comments on The India Row

‘Get Ready For Stocks To Drop’?

August 4, 2025August 6, 2025

The most read story on Bloomberg as of 8 PM ET on Monday was called

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1 Comment on ‘Get Ready For Stocks To Drop’?

Fake Beats

August 4, 2025August 5, 2025

The beats aren’t real! Shouted anybody and everybody, with 65% or so of the S&P

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4 Comments on Fake Beats

If Nobody Sees It, It Didn’t Happen

August 4, 2025August 5, 2025

If a tree falls in the forest and nobody’s around to hear it, does it

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3 Comments on If Nobody Sees It, It Didn’t Happen

‘This Is Fine’

August 4, 2025August 5, 2025

The good news is, America’s premier statistics agency will prove impervious to Donald Trump’s worst

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5 Comments on ‘This Is Fine’

Alternative Facts

August 3, 2025August 4, 2025

Just when markets were ready and willing to give Donald Trump the benefit of the

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8 Comments on Alternative Facts

Matters Of The Utmost Concern

August 3, 2025August 4, 2025

I’m as exhausted with narrow market laments — the jeremiads of disgruntled bears citing “extreme

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2 Comments on Matters Of The Utmost Concern

Buffett’s Junk Food Write-Down (And Other Berkshire Snackables)

August 2, 2025August 4, 2025

Berkshire reported “earnings” on Saturday, and I gotta say: The report seemed underwhelming. That evaluation

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3 Comments on Buffett’s Junk Food Write-Down (And Other Berkshire Snackables)

Trump Moves To Fire BLS Chief Over Poor Jobs Report

August 1, 2025August 4, 2025

I’ve said it before since January and I’m sure I’ll say it a few (dozen)

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24 Comments on Trump Moves To Fire BLS Chief Over Poor Jobs Report

Kugler Resigns, Praises Powell’s ‘Unwavering Commitment’

August 1, 2025August 3, 2025

Adriana Kugler’s seen enough. “Dear President Trump, I am writing to notify you that I

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2 Comments on Kugler Resigns, Praises Powell’s ‘Unwavering Commitment’

DROP THE RATE!

August 1, 2025August 3, 2025

The sky’s falling. It fell this time last year too. Parallels between this week and

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3 Comments on DROP THE RATE!

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Monthly Letter

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Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on High Macro Drama
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

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