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Author: therealheisenberg

Services Inflation Revival Blemishes Otherwise Rosy US Macro Picture

August 29, 2025August 31, 2025

Core inflation in the US was the briskest since February last month, according to BEA

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8 Comments on Services Inflation Revival Blemishes Otherwise Rosy US Macro Picture

Monopoly

August 28, 2025August 29, 2025

It’s funny how the Nvidia narrative changed when the S&P pushed higher to notch a(nother)

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1 Comment on Monopoly

Cook V. Trump

August 28, 2025August 30, 2025

Consider yourself sued, despot. That was Lisa Cook’s message to Donald Trump on Thursday, when

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4 Comments on Cook V. Trump

Nothing Doing

August 28, 2025August 29, 2025

No traction. None. That’s housing contract activity in America. We’re well on past broken record

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US Economy Revised To Show Stronger Performance

August 28, 2025August 29, 2025

Good job, Howard. The BEA, which one can only assume is every bit as beholden

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‘The Ultimate Dip-Buyer’

August 27, 2025August 27, 2025

I remind readers of this whenever the opportunity presents itself: The biggest source of demand

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Frenzy Wanes, But Nvidia Still ‘Extraordinary’

August 27, 2025August 28, 2025

Nvidia and its swollen market cap narrowly topped estimates in results released after the bell

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Told You So. Now It’s Too Late

August 27, 2025August 28, 2025

Now you get it. Now everyone gets it. If only it weren’t too late. Above-the-fold

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5 Comments on Told You So. Now It’s Too Late

No, Bill. It Wasn’t ‘Fine’

August 27, 2025August 28, 2025

Earlier this month, Bill Dudley penned an Op-Ed confidently declaring that the Fed will “be

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9 Comments on No, Bill. It Wasn’t ‘Fine’

Trump, Cook, SCOTUS And The Appeasement Paradox

August 26, 2025August 28, 2025

The problem with appeasement as a strategy for dealing with overbearing types is self-evident: They

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8 Comments on Trump, Cook, SCOTUS And The Appeasement Paradox

In US Housing, A ‘Decisive Shift’

August 26, 2025August 27, 2025

We’re witnessing “a decisive shift” in the US housing market. Specifically, it’s shifting decisively in

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2 Comments on In US Housing, A ‘Decisive Shift’

US Consumers Still Not Convinced ‘Tariff’ Is ‘Most Beautiful Word’

August 26, 2025August 27, 2025

The good news is, consumer confidence in the US came in ahead of estimates in

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1 Comment on US Consumers Still Not Convinced ‘Tariff’ Is ‘Most Beautiful Word’

Fire Juggler

August 26, 2025August 27, 2025

I’m quite sure he doesn’t care, or at least not yet, right now. And he’s

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Dear Governor Cook…

August 25, 2025August 26, 2025

Ok, everyone try not to laugh. Donald Trump has “a solemn duty to ensure that

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23 Comments on Dear Governor Cook…

The Deals Are Falling Through

August 25, 2025August 25, 2025

“We also agreed to increase the one-time membership fee from $—- to $—-,” read the

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1 Comment on The Deals Are Falling Through

Two And 20 In 2025

August 25, 2025August 26, 2025

What’d you get for your two and 20 this year so far? On average, hedge

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5 Comments on Two And 20 In 2025

New Construction Glut Weighs On Prices As US Housing Struggles Persist

August 25, 2025August 26, 2025

Sales of partially prefabricated wooden boxes adorned on at least one side with a handsome,

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8 Comments on New Construction Glut Weighs On Prices As US Housing Struggles Persist

Junk!

August 25, 2025August 26, 2025

Junk. Who wants some? Americans, that’s who. We love junk. Zebra Cakes washed down with

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7 Comments on Junk!

Corporate Inequality Revisited

August 24, 2025August 25, 2025

Rate cuts are coming soon to the allegedly over-budget construction site that is the Marriner

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2 Comments on Corporate Inequality Revisited

Classic Boiling Frog

August 24, 2025August 25, 2025

Unless Howard Lutnick intervenes to say otherwise, the BEA will probably tell Americans what they

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8 Comments on Classic Boiling Frog

The 800-Pound Gorilla

August 23, 2025August 25, 2025

Ignoring the 800-pound gorilla won’t make him disappear. To let the financial media and the

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5 Comments on The 800-Pound Gorilla

Powell Holds Firm, But Nods To September Rate Cut

August 22, 2025August 25, 2025

As expected, Jerome Powell opened the door to a rate cut at the September FOMC

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6 Comments on Powell Holds Firm, But Nods To September Rate Cut

Bury My FAIT At Jackson Hole

August 22, 2025August 24, 2025

The last time the Fed reviewed its policymaking framework, they adopted a strategy which explicitly

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5 Comments on Bury My FAIT At Jackson Hole

Famine

August 22, 2025August 24, 2025

“There are no longer natural famines in the world; there are only political famines. If

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9 Comments on Famine

FHFA As Trump’s Personal Prosecutor

August 21, 2025August 23, 2025

“[A]n ominous turn in political lawfare.” That’s how The Wall Street Journal described what’s going

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5 Comments on FHFA As Trump’s Personal Prosecutor

Resale Housing Market Celebrates ‘Ever-So-Slight’ Improvement

August 21, 2025August 22, 2025

Congratulations are in order. The perpetually beleaguered resale US housing market managed to show a

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US PMIs Suggest Fed Should Be Hiking, Not Cutting

August 21, 2025August 22, 2025

Well, good news and bad news from the preliminary read on services and manufacturing activity

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1 Comment on US PMIs Suggest Fed Should Be Hiking, Not Cutting

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  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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