Stocks’ Interpretation Of Rate Cut Pricing May Lack Nuance
Stocks’ interpretation of market pricing for Fed cuts in 2024 may lack sufficient nuance. That
Bonds Upset By Waller’s ‘Careful’ Cuts
There’s “no reason” the Fed should cut rates “as quickly or as rapidly as in
$600 Billion Writes Off Recession
And the biggest driver of equity prices in 2024 will be — drumroll — the
Wall Street Earnings Wrap Up With Goldman Reclaiming Equities Crown
“We have a much stronger platform for 2024,” David Solomon said Tuesday, in remarks accompanying
Zelensky Gets Thoughts And Prayers In Davos
“I’m Jamie Dimon from JPMorgan Chase,” said Jamie Dimon, from JPMorgan Chase. “God bless you.”
New Houthi Attacks Leave US, UK With Few Options
Following a round of airstrikes on Houthi targets and positions in Yemen last week, the
The Loners
Every night on my stroll home from nowhere I pass a warm-looking farm-to-table restaurant. It’s
Is China Out Of Ideas To Rescue Its Economy?
China was supposed to cut rates on Monday. Consumer prices are flat in good months
We’re All CTAs Now
Over the years, and across countless articles, I’ve described the extent to which all market
Fed Speakers In Focus As Rate Cut Expectations Build
It’s another holiday-shortened week in the US. Traders coming off the three-day weekend (the third
One More Time: Chaos Is Normal. Calm Is The Outlier
Over and over again, day after day, market observers of all kinds (myself included, although
Taiwan Rebukes China, Elects ‘Troublemaker’ Lai
Somewhere, Xi Jinping donned his famous smirk. Taiwan chose Lai Ching-te for president on Saturday,
Rowdy Rebels
“It’s not possible for us not to respond to these operations.” That accidentally (and tragically)
Xi Stares At Deflation
The Chinese economy is in trouble. You already know that, so I won’t dwell too
Big Bank Earnings More Opaque Than Usual. Which Is Saying Something
Sifting through big bank results is a largely thankless task but, unfortunately, it’s obligatory. JPMorgan’s
Dimon Warns On Risky World As NII Beat Offsets Otherwise Mixed Quarter
JPMorgan kicked off earnings season in the US with what looked like a mixed set
US Producer Prices Slow Again, But Red Sea Drama Poses Inflation Risk
If you were up all night worrying about the overshoot on headline CPI reported by
Houthis Get Their Wish: US, UK Pound Yemen With Airstrikes
For weeks, the Houthi leadership in Yemen insisted the group was prepared for a head-to-head
MMF AUM Edges Closer To $6 Trillion. RRP Still Falling. BTFP Hits $147 Billion
Money market fund inflows slowed after a massive haul around the calendar flip, but total
Soft Landing Bandwagon Welcomes A Big Name As Market Ponders CPI
Call off the soft landing. Larry Summers has joined the bandwagon. Normally that’d be funny.
Albert Edwards Revisits Greedflation, Sees Something ‘Sad’ At Fed
Investors are “divorced from cyclical reality.” That’s according to SocGen’s Albert Edwards, who, if past
US Inflation Report Warm, But Too Ambiguous To Alter Narratives
Inflation in the US was quicker than expected in December, data released on Thursday showed.
Iran Escalates As Masked Hijackers Seize Oil Tanker
The tanker formerly known as the Suez Rajan was carrying a cargo of Iraqi crude
Spend It If You Have It!
Broken record time but, hey, what can you do, right? The knock-on effects from 2023’s
Why The Path To New S&P Records Goes Through Janet Yellen
There were some questions earlier this week about what I dubbed a “crash-up blueprint 2.0.”
‘Don’t Take Disinflation For Granted’: Two Charts And A Lot Of Words
Admittedly, the “risk of inflation re-acceleration” talking point is a bit tired by now. Over
Potential Market And Macro Surprises For 2024
This week, in honor of the late Byron Wien, BofA released a list of 10
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