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Featured

Let’s Get ‘Mechanical’ About This

November 10, 2026November 10, 2026
  • ‘Vol Cubed’ Explodes, Eclipsing ‘Even Volmageddon’

    November 10, 2026November 10, 2026
  • Trial Balloon

    November 10, 2026November 10, 2026
  • He’s An Importer-Exporter, Okay?

    November 10, 2026

Markets

Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

November 9, 2026November 10, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 10, 2026
  • Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

    November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026

economy

What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

November 9, 2026November 10, 2026
  • Inflation Week!

    November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Iran War Shatters Bullish Wall Street Consensus

March 17, 2026March 18, 2026

The global growth outlook “tanked” and cash allocations “surged” among professional money managers this month

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4 Comments on Iran War Shatters Bullish Wall Street Consensus

Israel Kills Ali Larijani, ‘Iran’s Delcy’

March 17, 2026March 18, 2026

Ali Larijani’s dead. Israel killed him in an airstrike Tuesday. That means Mojtaba Khamenei better

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13 Comments on Israel Kills Ali Larijani, ‘Iran’s Delcy’

Joe Kent Has Words For Donald Trump

March 17, 2026March 18, 2026

Time was, you could trust Joe Kent. And by “you” I mean Donald Trump. “The

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4 Comments on Joe Kent Has Words For Donald Trump

It Could Be Worse…

March 16, 2026March 17, 2026

With inflation still elevated (and poised to rise, at least on a headline basis and

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5 Comments on It Could Be Worse…

Your Hedges Are Bleeding

March 16, 2026March 17, 2026

Last week, in “Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens,” I again called readers’ attention

Read More

2 Comments on Your Hedges Are Bleeding

If Iran ‘Fun’ Continues, S&P Could Plunge To 5400

March 16, 2026March 17, 2026

Are we having fun yet? At least one person (two if you count Pete Hegseth)

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14 Comments on If Iran ‘Fun’ Continues, S&P Could Plunge To 5400

Thawing Dragon

March 16, 2026March 17, 2026

It’s an afterthought amid a mideast melee that’s poised to dominate every headline for a

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1 Comment on Thawing Dragon

Something’s Gotta Give This Week

March 15, 2026March 16, 2026

I’m probably on the record enough by now, but just in case: I’m avowedly not

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7 Comments on Something’s Gotta Give This Week

Battle-Weary Fed Confronts Another Supply Shock

March 15, 2026March 16, 2026

For quite a while after Russia invaded Ukraine, Western central banks included an admonishment to

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2 Comments on Battle-Weary Fed Confronts Another Supply Shock

‘No Exit Ramp’: Markets Fear War Spiral After Kharg Strikes

March 15, 2026March 16, 2026

The Strait of Hormuz is “open to everyone.” Everyone, that is, except America, its friends

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10 Comments on ‘No Exit Ramp’: Markets Fear War Spiral After Kharg Strikes

Kharg In The Crosshairs

March 14, 2026March 16, 2026

Donald Trump’s a “decent” guy. That’s according to the man himself who, while detailing the

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19 Comments on Kharg In The Crosshairs

Weekly: War Comes To The US Front-End

March 13, 2026March 15, 2026

The war came home for America this week. Not in the form of any actual

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5 Comments on Weekly: War Comes To The US Front-End

Mideast Wars, High Gas Prices Still Unpopular (Who Knew?)

March 13, 2026March 15, 2026

Consumer sentiment among American households might’ve improved again this month were it not for the

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5 Comments on Mideast Wars, High Gas Prices Still Unpopular (Who Knew?)

Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Measure Hit Multi-Year High Before War

March 13, 2026March 13, 2026

Core inflation in the US ran the fastest in nearly two years to start 2026,

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3 Comments on Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Measure Hit Multi-Year High Before War

US Economy Gets Sharp Downgrade In Stagflationary GDP Update

March 13, 2026March 14, 2026

The US economy expanded at just half the initially-reported pace in Q4, the BEA said

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1 Comment on US Economy Gets Sharp Downgrade In Stagflationary GDP Update

Iran Oil Blowback Has World Over A Barrel

March 13, 2026March 15, 2026

Don’t read The New York Times. That was Donald Trump’s advice to Americans as the

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11 Comments on Iran Oil Blowback Has World Over A Barrel

Stocks In War

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

In light of Mojtaba Khamenei’s avowed determination to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed in

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10 Comments on Stocks In War

Market Derelict On Oil Inflation Risk, Albert Edwards Says

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

If you ask the sell-side’s most famous bear, the bond market’s insufficiently attentive to inflation

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7 Comments on Market Derelict On Oil Inflation Risk, Albert Edwards Says

‘The Caravan Of Martyrs’

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

Apples and trees. The former don’t generally land too far afield of the latter. Mojtaba

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5 Comments on ‘The Caravan Of Martyrs’

The Tankers Are On Fire

March 12, 2026March 13, 2026

The front pages were ablaze Thursday with video of burning tankers off the coast of

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18 Comments on The Tankers Are On Fire

Two Crazy Charts And A Wildly Bullish Backtest

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Wanna see something crazy?! When it’s me asking, you can safely answer in the emphatic

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5 Comments on Two Crazy Charts And A Wildly Bullish Backtest

Mines And Mischief

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

The regime in Tehran’s good at three things. Network-building (through proxy cultivation, influence-buying and opportunistic

Read More

15 Comments on Mines And Mischief

Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Earlier this week, in “Where’s The Iran War Stock Crash?,” I highlighted the disparity between,

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Leave a Comment on Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens

Cool Inflation Report Is Old News In Hot War

March 11, 2026March 12, 2026

Wednesday’s US inflation update from the outfit formerly known as the world’s preeminent statistical organization

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Leave a Comment on Cool Inflation Report Is Old News In Hot War

Will Oracle’s Cloud Growth Stanch The Bleeding?

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

In the normal course of things, I wouldn’t dedicate special coverage to Oracle’s earnings release.

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1 Comment on Will Oracle’s Cloud Growth Stanch The Bleeding?

Canaries And Eye Candy From Inside The AI Bubble

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

How crucial are AI investment and AI-enabled cloud services to overall corporate profit growth in

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2 Comments on Canaries And Eye Candy From Inside The AI Bubble

In US Housing, A Faint Pulse. But That’s It.

March 10, 2026March 11, 2026

Well whaddya know, the resale US housing market evidenced a pulse in Tuesday’s update on

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Leave a Comment on In US Housing, A Faint Pulse. But That’s It.

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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