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Category: Markets

Rocket League

September 12, 2020September 14, 2020

“A bull correction” — according to what can loosely be described as the consensus narrative,

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Oh, Whale: Misguided Media Frenzy Around Tech Trades Prompts Rethink At SoftBank

September 11, 2020September 14, 2020

“While we are not concerned about a dominant ‘whale’-type investor, exceptionally large trades in thin

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Goldman Upgrades Stocks Despite Uncertainty. Also Likes Cash (You Know, Just In Case)

September 11, 2020September 11, 2020

It’s not immediately obvious that now is the time to get bullish on equities amid

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Inflation Comes In Hot For Second Month As Markets Appraise Fed’s Policy Shift

September 11, 2020September 11, 2020

You might recall that core inflation rose the most since 1991 in July, an anomalous

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4 Comments on Inflation Comes In Hot For Second Month As Markets Appraise Fed’s Policy Shift

‘As A Late Summer Storm’

September 11, 2020September 11, 2020

“Albert would welcome permanent risk off”, SocGen’s Kit Juckes wrote on Friday morning. “I’d just

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5 Comments on ‘As A Late Summer Storm’

Blue-Chip Supply, Debt Demand, And $105 Billion In Cash Off The Sidelines

September 10, 2020September 10, 2020

As expected, this week saw a deluge of new high-grade supply, with the US investment

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8 Comments on Blue-Chip Supply, Debt Demand, And $105 Billion In Cash Off The Sidelines

‘I Thought This Was Supposed To Last!’ Extra Jobless Benefits Dry Up

September 10, 2020September 10, 2020

“The Montana Department of Labor & Industry today was informed in a call with the

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8 Comments on ‘I Thought This Was Supposed To Last!’ Extra Jobless Benefits Dry Up

Let Her Run: ECB Throws Caution To Wind With Laissez-Faire Approach To Surging Euro

September 10, 2020September 10, 2020

Anyone who went into the September ECB meeting thinking Christine Lagarde would jawbone the euro

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6 Comments on Let Her Run: ECB Throws Caution To Wind With Laissez-Faire Approach To Surging Euro

Jobless Claims Point To Unhappy Equilibrium

September 10, 2020September 10, 2020

Hopes for additional virus relief from Congress faded this week, with the GOP’s “skinny” bill

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8 Comments on Jobless Claims Point To Unhappy Equilibrium

Christine Lagarde Confronts Deflation, Surging Currency At Virus Crossroads

September 10, 2020September 10, 2020

Even as no formal policy changes were in the cards, it probably isn’t accurate to

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Pay No Attention To The Burning World

September 10, 2020September 10, 2020

Global markets were generally mixed Thursday as traders pondered a calendar littered with event risk,

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‘It’s All One Trade’: One Bank Declares Value Investing ‘Dead’

September 9, 2020September 9, 2020

By now, you know the story — or at least you should. If value, as

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5 Comments on ‘It’s All One Trade’: One Bank Declares Value Investing ‘Dead’

Biden Fiscal Platform ‘Not A Manifesto On Modern Monetary Theory,’ JPMorgan Says

September 9, 2020September 9, 2020

Ted Cruz on Wednesday said he doesn’t think Congress is going to pass another stimulus

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5 Comments on Biden Fiscal Platform ‘Not A Manifesto On Modern Monetary Theory,’ JPMorgan Says

Stan Druckenmiller Calls Stocks ‘Absolute Raging Mania,’ Tells Inflation Ghost Story

September 9, 2020September 9, 2020

The last time most market participants heard from Stan Druckenmiller, he retained a somewhat flummoxed

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4 Comments on Stan Druckenmiller Calls Stocks ‘Absolute Raging Mania,’ Tells Inflation Ghost Story

Buy The Dip Mantra Tested After ‘Right Kind Of Washout’ For Tech Mania

September 9, 2020September 9, 2020

“I’m buying the dip, who’s with me?!” If I frequented retail investor Reddit boards, I

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Instability At Warp Speed

September 9, 2020September 9, 2020

Headlines for western markets on Wednesday revolved around some iteration on the narrative that equities

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3 Comments on Instability At Warp Speed

Electric Slide

September 8, 2020September 8, 2020

“The horror”, Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas joked, on Tuesday evening, after a third straight day of

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1 Comment on Electric Slide

Deutsche’s Kocic Flags ‘Fear Of Massive Risk-Off Trade’ Amid Unprecedented Political Entropy

September 8, 2020September 9, 2020

Earlier this month, while appraising the twisted, smoldering heap of institutions, norms, and principles that

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15 Comments on Deutsche’s Kocic Flags ‘Fear Of Massive Risk-Off Trade’ Amid Unprecedented Political Entropy

That Is Soooo 2020

September 8, 2020September 8, 2020

In the context of the historic summer surge, it would be strange to characterize the

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Nomura’s McElligott: Tesla The ‘Retail Gamma Proxy’ Is Now An ‘Idiosyncratic Pain Point’

September 8, 2020September 8, 2020

Why does Tesla’s tumble in the wake of what Bloomberg described as the S&P 500

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Tesla The ‘Retail Gamma Proxy’ Is Now An ‘Idiosyncratic Pain Point’

Legends Of The Summer

September 7, 2020September 8, 2020

For obvious reasons, market participants are obsessed with the blockbuster rally in US tech, which

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8 Comments on Legends Of The Summer

Froth Off The Top

September 7, 2020

“Take a little off the top”. That’s generally how market participants are thinking about last

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2 Comments on Froth Off The Top

When The Chips Are Down

September 7, 2020September 7, 2020

Monday was a rough day for Semiconductor Manufacturing International. Shares of China’s top chipmaker plunged

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2 Comments on When The Chips Are Down

We’re All SoftBank. We’re All Masayoshi Son. We’re All Robinhood.

September 7, 2020September 7, 2020

The market did not appear to be amused with the idea of Masayoshi Son, gunslinging

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13 Comments on We’re All SoftBank. We’re All Masayoshi Son. We’re All Robinhood.

Frankenstein

September 6, 2020September 7, 2020

If you were wondering how much SoftBank made buying calls on US tech stocks over

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14 Comments on Frankenstein

Dystopia Revisited: ‘Central-Bankism’ And ‘The Next Normal’

September 6, 2020September 7, 2020

It’s with varying degrees of success that I’ve endeavored to explain to casual readers what,

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11 Comments on Dystopia Revisited: ‘Central-Bankism’ And ‘The Next Normal’

Volatility The Wayward Traveler (Unemployment Abyss 2045)

September 6, 2020September 7, 2020

Perhaps the most important thing to understand about the societal unrest that continues to play

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14 Comments on Volatility The Wayward Traveler (Unemployment Abyss 2045)

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • BTFD on Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk
  • T-Dog on Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk
  • dayjob on There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…
  • derek on There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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