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Category: Markets

Fun And Games

September 18, 2020September 18, 2020

“Investors await catalysts”, read one chyron on a quad witching Friday, capturing the “limbo” character

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Bonanzas, Borrowing Binges, And Cash Off The Sidelines

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

Investment grade credit funds took in another $5.17 billion in the week through Wednesday, the

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Bubble Watching With A Blind Man

September 17, 2020

On Wednesday afternoon, during a virtual Q&A with reporters, Jerome Powell made a somewhat dubious

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September Tech Correction Turns World Upside Down

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

The US equity market took a rare turn for the egalitarian in September. A summer

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Jobless Claims: ‘Better’ Is An Extremely Relative Term These Days

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

860,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, broadly in-line with market expectations. The latest

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims: ‘Better’ Is An Extremely Relative Term These Days

Negativity: BOE Does Prep Work For Sub-Zero Rates

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

The existing stance of policy remains appropriate, the BOE said Thursday, in the course of

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SqueezIt

September 17, 2020September 17, 2020

Global equities were under pressure Thursday, as Jerome Powell’s perceived reticence on tweaks to the

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Jerome Powell Can’t Find Duration Bubble He Saw Eight Years Ago

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

As regular readers are aware, I’m generally loath to devote too much energy to lampooning

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7 Comments on Jerome Powell Can’t Find Duration Bubble He Saw Eight Years Ago

Jerome Powell Relearns A Lesson He Taught In 2012: ‘It Will Never Be Enough For The Market’

September 16, 2020September 17, 2020

Jerome Powell described the Fed’s new, outcome-based forward guidance as “strong and powerful” on Wednesday,

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3 Comments on Jerome Powell Relearns A Lesson He Taught In 2012: ‘It Will Never Be Enough For The Market’

Fed Adopts Outcome-Based Forward Guidance, Will Keep Rates Near Zero For At Least 3 Years

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

Headed into the September meeting, the Fed wasn’t expected to make meaningful changes to the

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1 Comment on Fed Adopts Outcome-Based Forward Guidance, Will Keep Rates Near Zero For At Least 3 Years

JPMorgan Sees $200 Billion Near-Term Risk For Stocks, But Kolanovic Still Broadly Bullish

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

If you’re looking for an excuse to get tactically bearish, you might point to quarterly

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1 Comment on JPMorgan Sees $200 Billion Near-Term Risk For Stocks, But Kolanovic Still Broadly Bullish

Retail Sales Miss May Be Coal Mine Canary For US Recovery

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

Retail sales, one of the few top-tier economic indicators to stage a “real” V-shaped recovery,

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6 Comments on Retail Sales Miss May Be Coal Mine Canary For US Recovery

Keeping Up With The Kardashians

September 16, 2020September 16, 2020

Global equities were mixed and US stocks looked poised to build on gains as traders

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Paranoia

September 15, 2020September 16, 2020

US stocks ended off their best levels on Tuesday, giving up a portion of early

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Oracle’s TikTok Deal Takes Shape With Some Trump Demands Unmet

September 15, 2020

Oracle’s proposal for dealing with Donald Trump’s TikTok “problem” does not include a payment to

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Everyone’s A ‘Loser’: Meaningless WTO Ruling Marks Peak Absurdity In US-China Trade War

September 15, 2020

“Before the Trump administration came along and decimated the Appellate body, a case like this

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1 Comment on Everyone’s A ‘Loser’: Meaningless WTO Ruling Marks Peak Absurdity In US-China Trade War

‘The Vaccine’s The Thing’ For Bond Yields, Elusive Stock Rotation

September 15, 2020

“The vaccine’s the thing”, writes BofA’s Michael Hartnett, describing what respondents to the bank’s monthly

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1 Comment on ‘The Vaccine’s The Thing’ For Bond Yields, Elusive Stock Rotation

It’s A Bull Market And The Recession Is Over, Say Fund Managers

September 15, 2020

“It’s a bull market” and this is “no longer a recession”. That’s the “September zeitgeist”

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Problem Solvers

September 15, 2020September 15, 2020

Reasonably strong activity data out of China was enough to bolster global risk appetite on

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China Beats Across The Board With August Activity Data. Yuan Strongest Since Huawei Ban

September 14, 2020September 15, 2020

China on Tuesday reported activity data for August that beat expectations, helping to cement the

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‘Mega’ Risk

September 14, 2020September 14, 2020

When it comes to performance, mega-cap US tech is more exception than rule. The Nasdaq

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Oil Faces Existential Crisis As Mother Nature Finds A Way

September 14, 2020September 14, 2020

Headlines around the outlook for crude continued to deteriorate on Monday, as OPEC chimed in

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oil, OPEC6 Comments on Oil Faces Existential Crisis As Mother Nature Finds A Way

M&A(benomics)

September 14, 2020September 14, 2020

Global equities were buoyant to start the new week as deal activity, a smooth leadership

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Was That It?

September 13, 2020September 14, 2020

Was that it? Market participants will be asking themselves some version of that simple question

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Oracle Said To Win TikTok Bidding War As Microsoft Rejected, Algo In Question

September 13, 2020September 14, 2020

Just 48 hours after reports indicated that Beijing would prefer ByteDance simply shut down TikTok

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Amid Summer Stock Storm, A Dove Yawns

September 13, 2020September 14, 2020

Barring some kind of truly dramatic, nightmarish spiral in risk assets on Monday and Tuesday,

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Analysts Stirred, But Not Shaken, By ‘Warp Speed’ Correction

September 12, 2020September 14, 2020

In the midst of rampant uncertainty, Goldman’s cross-asset strategy team this week upgraded equities to

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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