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Author: therealheisenberg

IMF Yells At Clouds Again, Cuts Global Growth Forecasts Citing Reckless Trade Policies

January 21, 2019

Somehow, I doubt anyone cares too much about this, but for what it’s worth…

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5 Comments on IMF Yells At Clouds Again, Cuts Global Growth Forecasts Citing Reckless Trade Policies

‘Stabilization’? Analysts Weigh In As China’s Economy Slows To Crisis-Era Pace

January 21, 2019January 21, 2019

It would be odd to characterize an uninspiring set of numbers as “Goldilocks”, but…

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1 Comment on ‘Stabilization’? Analysts Weigh In As China’s Economy Slows To Crisis-Era Pace

Recession Obsession: What Causes Downturns And How Vulnerable Is The US?

January 20, 2019

“Recession obsession” has become a fixture of markets over the past three months…

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5 Comments on Recession Obsession: What Causes Downturns And How Vulnerable Is The US?

Rudy Giuliani Inexplicably Admits Trump, Cohen Discussed Moscow Project Until Eve Of Election

January 20, 2019January 21, 2019

“Yeah. Probably up to, could be up to as far as October, November.”

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14 Comments on Rudy Giuliani Inexplicably Admits Trump, Cohen Discussed Moscow Project Until Eve Of Election

China Is About To Report The Slowest Growth In 28 Years – Who’s Excited?

January 20, 2019January 20, 2019

This will be a true test of whether bad news really is “good” news.

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4 Comments on China Is About To Report The Slowest Growth In 28 Years – Who’s Excited?

A Glowing-Orange Trump Delivers Nothing’berder’ Shutdown Plan

January 19, 2019January 20, 2019

Man is told proposal is “non-starter”, tries to float it anyway.

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6 Comments on A Glowing-Orange Trump Delivers Nothing’berder’ Shutdown Plan

Here’s An Hour-Long Interview With Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

January 19, 2019

“…what is important to note here are a number of things.”

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10 Comments on Here’s An Hour-Long Interview With Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

Revisiting The Subverted Perspective: Normalization Parallax

January 19, 2019January 19, 2019

“…the reality which they experience is never fully complete, not because a large part of it eludes them, but because the entire configuration contains a ‘blind spot’.”

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6 Comments on Revisiting The Subverted Perspective: Normalization Parallax

Friday Night Lights: Trump Maybe Won’t Declare National Emergency On Border, Maybe Will On Chinese Telecoms

January 18, 2019January 19, 2019

Never a dull moment.

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4 Comments on Friday Night Lights: Trump Maybe Won’t Declare National Emergency On Border, Maybe Will On Chinese Telecoms

Marko Kolanovic Explains Why ‘QT’ Is Dangerous (Hint: It’s Not The Mechanical Impact)

January 18, 2019

Think: fragility.

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1 Comment on Marko Kolanovic Explains Why ‘QT’ Is Dangerous (Hint: It’s Not The Mechanical Impact)

‘Mean Aversion’: Why Grantham’s GMO Thinks The US Stock Bubble Is Bursting

January 18, 2019January 18, 2019

“…our advice, consistent with our portfolio positions, is to continue to own as little U.S. equity as career risk allows.”

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2 Comments on ‘Mean Aversion’: Why Grantham’s GMO Thinks The US Stock Bubble Is Bursting

Wars Of Attrition.

January 18, 2019October 24, 2021

“…over time the cumulative cost can become very high.”

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3 Comments on Wars Of Attrition.

‘Individual 1’ Really ‘Makes It Happen’ When It Comes To Forcing Lawyers To Lie To Congress About Treason

January 18, 2019October 24, 2021

Meanwhile, on the latest episode of “World’s Dumbest Conspiracies”…

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2 Comments on ‘Individual 1’ Really ‘Makes It Happen’ When It Comes To Forcing Lawyers To Lie To Congress About Treason

A Two-Front War, Tariff Headline Hockey And The Updated ‘SG Swan Chart’

January 17, 2019

The bottom line is that Trump has predictably boxed himself in.

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2 Comments on A Two-Front War, Tariff Headline Hockey And The Updated ‘SG Swan Chart’

‘The Worst Is Yet To Come’: As Federal Workers Tap Retirement Funds, Confidence In Economy Collapses

January 17, 2019

For the GOP, this is an existential crisis.

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4 Comments on ‘The Worst Is Yet To Come’: As Federal Workers Tap Retirement Funds, Confidence In Economy Collapses

Meanwhile: Trump’s Current Lawyer Admits Campaign Collusion, Trump’s Old Lawyer Admits Handing Out Cash In Blue Walmart Bags

January 17, 2019January 18, 2019

So many high crimes and misdemeanors, so little time.

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5 Comments on Meanwhile: Trump’s Current Lawyer Admits Campaign Collusion, Trump’s Old Lawyer Admits Handing Out Cash In Blue Walmart Bags

Mad Greeks.

January 17, 2019October 24, 2021

“However, a move down through 2575 in SPX”…

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2 Comments on Mad Greeks.

Morgan Stanley Delivers Epic Faceplant, FICC Plunges 30%

January 17, 2019January 17, 2019

Juuust a bit outside.

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Apple’s Main Chipmaker Delivers Dour Outlook, Underscoring Smartphone Worries, Growth Concerns

January 17, 2019January 17, 2019

In case you needed any more evidence…

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1 Comment on Apple’s Main Chipmaker Delivers Dour Outlook, Underscoring Smartphone Worries, Growth Concerns

‘Good’ Trump Isn’t Coming Back, Get Used To ‘Bad’ Trump, One Bank Warns

January 16, 2019October 24, 2021

“The author does not believe markets will come back to the ‘good’ Trump story anytime soon.”

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10 Comments on ‘Good’ Trump Isn’t Coming Back, Get Used To ‘Bad’ Trump, One Bank Warns

Marko Kolanovic Explains The ‘Liquidity-Volatility-Flows Feedback Loop’

January 16, 2019January 8, 2022

“… at times of high volatility, the VIX is almost the sole driver of market
liquidity.”

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3 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Explains The ‘Liquidity-Volatility-Flows Feedback Loop’

Narrative Check: Brexit, Trump, China Stimulus And An Update On Charlie’s CTA Model

January 16, 2019

Ok, it’s time for “narrative” check – as it were.

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1 Comment on Narrative Check: Brexit, Trump, China Stimulus And An Update On Charlie’s CTA Model

Shutdown Shenanigans: Kevin Hassett Staffer Becomes Uber Driver, IRS Confronts Tax Overhaul With Skeleton Crew

January 16, 2019January 18, 2019

“…[we] found that yeah, the damage is a little bit worse.”

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6 Comments on Shutdown Shenanigans: Kevin Hassett Staffer Becomes Uber Driver, IRS Confronts Tax Overhaul With Skeleton Crew

Goldman Beats, Market Happy With Advisory Blowout Despite FICC Fail

January 16, 2019January 16, 2019

Lots to digest here, but it looks like the knee-jerk is to “buy”.

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4 Comments on Goldman Beats, Market Happy With Advisory Blowout Despite FICC Fail

Bank Of America Surges As Market Ignores Latest FICC Miss

January 16, 2019October 24, 2021

Benefit of the doubt?

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If Stock Selloff Comes Back, Rich People May Buy Fewer Watches, ‘Pleasure Boats’, Goldman Warns

January 15, 2019October 24, 2021

Bummer.

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1 Comment on If Stock Selloff Comes Back, Rich People May Buy Fewer Watches, ‘Pleasure Boats’, Goldman Warns

Kraft Heinz To Rescue Furloughed Workers With Free Mac & Cheese As MAGA Promise Keeps Delivering

January 15, 2019October 24, 2021

“Make people rely on charity mac & cheese again!”

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