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Featured

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 20, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A King In Washington

    September 20, 2026
  • The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

    September 19, 2026September 19, 2026

Markets

‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Holding Pattern

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • ‘The Plain Fact’

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026
  • How Crack Spread Reflexivity Kills The Equity Bull Market

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

economy

Weekly: The Counterfactual

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026
  • Bolstered By Stock Gains, Americans Keep Spending

    September 16, 2026September 16, 2026

Geopolitics

Over A Barrel

September 14, 2026September 14, 2026

The Bab Al-Mandab Now Belongs To The Houthis

September 11, 2026September 14, 2026

$5,000 ‘Trump Dividend’ Is Classic Populist Inanity

September 10, 2026September 11, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

A “Clean And Hard” Pounding: Complete Recap Of Pound’s Rough Day

January 16, 2017January 16, 2017

As expected, all anyone cares about this morning is cable, which of course plunged overnight on reports that UK PM Theresa May is set to push the envelope on a “hard Brexit” in a speech on Tuesday.

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2 Comments on A “Clean And Hard” Pounding: Complete Recap Of Pound’s Rough Day

China’s Nasdaq Crashes

January 16, 2017

The normalization of initial public offerings (IPOs) in China could help raise the financing efficiency

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Monday Morning Chart Check (“Clean And Hard” Edition)

January 16, 2017

Theresa May likes her Brexits “clean and hard.”

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Sunday Humor (Scottish TV Guide Edition)

January 15, 2017

“After a long absence, The Twilight Zone returns”…

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Macro Funds “Losing Patience” With British Pound; Trump Comments, UK Treasury Provide Little Relief

January 15, 2017January 15, 2017

Sunday was all about Brexit. The stage was set for cable to collapse today after The

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Chart Check (Let’s All Move To Hong Kong)

January 15, 2017

Are you a Chinese citizen who wants to circumvent Beijing’s increasingly onerous capital controls on the

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Pound Plunges On Brexit Fears

January 15, 2017

So just what kind of hit are we talking about for sterling due to May’s speech,

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“Fasten Your Seat Belts” Or, Prepare For A “Pound”ing

January 15, 2017

So what did we learn on Saturday evening? Well, we learned that next Friday’s circus

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“Expect A Correction”: Big Brexit Speech “May” Sow Chaos

January 15, 2017January 15, 2017

You can argue for protectionism and against progressivism and multiculturalism all you want, but what you can’t do is stop the market from rendering its own judgement.

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2 Comments on “Expect A Correction”: Big Brexit Speech “May” Sow Chaos

2016 Vs. 2017: YTD Returns

January 14, 2017January 14, 2017

Anything would have been better than last year…

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oil1 Comment on 2016 Vs. 2017: YTD Returns

Is The Market Turning On The Man In The Blonde Wig?

January 14, 2017January 14, 2017

And now, back to our regularly scheduled programming…

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2 Comments on Is The Market Turning On The Man In The Blonde Wig?

China: We’ll “Fight Against Protectionism,” Lead “Global Governance” Push

January 14, 2017

Beijing is making a concerted effort to present China as the new champion of global governance. To the extent Trump believes he’s undercutting the Chinese, he’s actually creating a kind of power vacuum that Xi Jinping is more than happy to fill.

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3 Comments on China: We’ll “Fight Against Protectionism,” Lead “Global Governance” Push

Chart Check (Heisenberg “Uncertainty” Principle)

January 14, 2017

What’s wrong with this picture?

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2 Comments on Chart Check (Heisenberg “Uncertainty” Principle)

Dear Donald: You’re Not Hamilton And We’re Not Living In 1791

January 14, 2017

Since the election, these pages have been awash with commentary suggesting that the incoming Trump

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6 Comments on Dear Donald: You’re Not Hamilton And We’re Not Living In 1791

Massive Treasury Short Now At 4 Standard Deviations

January 14, 2017January 14, 2017

If there’s one thing leveraged funds are damn sure of, it’s that short Treasurys is the way to go in the new year.

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Presenting Goldman’s “10 Questions For 2017”

January 14, 2017January 14, 2017

I’ll take the under.

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“Trading On Faith” Has Its Limits

January 14, 2017January 14, 2017

“With tangible details on most of these policies still missing, the market’s capacity to advance driven purely by faith is now showing its limits.”

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1 Comment on “Trading On Faith” Has Its Limits

Heresy! Don’t Doubt The Narrative

January 13, 2017

It seems like I’ve been chained to this damn keyboard writing about 10Y yields and

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1 Comment on Heresy! Don’t Doubt The Narrative

Friday Chart Check: More High Yield Hijinks

January 13, 2017

Everything is not fixed in HY energy just because oil prices are no longer scraping the bottom of the barrel (pun fully intended).

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Friday Chart Check: More High Yield Hijinks

Meet Steve Patterson. He Just Made $500 Trading Trump’s Tweets

January 13, 2017

“I think it’s going to be a fun year for trading”…

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3 Comments on Meet Steve Patterson. He Just Made $500 Trading Trump’s Tweets

Time To Revisit That “Short Of A Lifetime”?

January 13, 2017

“Nein!!”

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1 Comment on Time To Revisit That “Short Of A Lifetime”?

Friday Political Humor: What Obama Should Have Said

January 13, 2017January 13, 2017

Jordan Belfort said it best…

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2 Comments on Friday Political Humor: What Obama Should Have Said

Treasurys Dump, Dollar Jumps After Econ Data

January 13, 2017

Boy, that escalated quickly…

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Big Bank Earnings Breakdown: Full Summaries Of JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo Results

January 13, 2017January 13, 2017

Bank earnings are seen as the first real test for the Trump rally as investors are looking forward to what they hope will be higher margins and a more friendly regulatory regime.

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Gun To Your Head, Which Do You Go Long: Mexican Peso Or Turkish Lira?

January 13, 2017

“Choose wisely”…

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3 Comments on Gun To Your Head, Which Do You Go Long: Mexican Peso Or Turkish Lira?

This Chart Tells You All You Need To Know About Hedge Funds

January 13, 2017

“2 and 20” works fine when things are going well. Not so much when things are going poorly. After all, who wants to pay someone 2% of AUM to lose money or to grossly underperform benchmarks?

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Daily Kickstart (“I Had Some Bad Chinese”)

January 13, 2017

We’re gonna need a weaker yuan. Data out Friday showed China’s exports falling 6.1% y/y

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Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • derek on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?
  • Marto on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?
  • DL on A King In Washington
  • Mr. Lucky on A King In Washington

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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