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Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 20, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A King In Washington

    September 20, 2026
  • The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

    September 19, 2026September 19, 2026

Markets

‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Holding Pattern

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • ‘The Plain Fact’

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026
  • How Crack Spread Reflexivity Kills The Equity Bull Market

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

economy

Weekly: The Counterfactual

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026
  • Bolstered By Stock Gains, Americans Keep Spending

    September 16, 2026September 16, 2026

Geopolitics

Over A Barrel

September 14, 2026September 14, 2026

The Bab Al-Mandab Now Belongs To The Houthis

September 11, 2026September 14, 2026

$5,000 ‘Trump Dividend’ Is Classic Populist Inanity

September 10, 2026September 11, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Mexico To Buy Twitter?

January 12, 2017

“Instead of spending its precious reserves to defend the peso, Mexico should just buy Twitter Inc. — at a cost of about $12 billion — and immediately shut it down.” They’ve got the money so what the hell, right?

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2 Comments on Mexico To Buy Twitter?

“Cash”ing In?

January 12, 2017

The holder of cash has an effective option to purchase more volatile assets if and

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It’s A “Clearly Artificial Regime”: No Love For The PBoC

January 12, 2017

Last week, we witnessed a truly epic short squeeze in Hong Kong. Soaring deposit rates,

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1 Comment on It’s A “Clearly Artificial Regime”: No Love For The PBoC

Thursday Humor: Epic Headline Hockey

January 12, 2017

Fake news?

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1 Comment on Thursday Humor: Epic Headline Hockey

Think The Great Bond Bull Market Is Dead? Not So Fast

January 12, 2017

Old bulls, like old habits, die hard.

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More Cold Turkey: Is It A Currency Crisis Or Not?

January 12, 2017

On Wednesday, in a post that was simultaneously tragic and hilarious, I documented Turkey’s unfolding

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2 Comments on More Cold Turkey: Is It A Currency Crisis Or Not?

Thursday Chart Check: How Far Are We From Throwing A “Tantrum”?

January 12, 2017

Needless to say, there’s been no shortage of speculation this year about yields and where

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“It’s Like Living In The Roman Colosseum”: Reaction To Trump Presser Lacks Nuance

January 12, 2017

“If investors were left disappointed on details relevant to the economy and policies, it’s because no one raised the issues in any substantive way.”

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1 Comment on “It’s Like Living In The Roman Colosseum”: Reaction To Trump Presser Lacks Nuance

Daily Kickstart (Dollar Doldrums)

January 12, 2017

Oh how the mighty (greenback) has fallen. The consensus trade of 2017 is having a rough

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Visualizing A “Yield Crisis”

January 11, 2017

Bonds for the capital gains, stocks for the yield…

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“Populism Leads To War And Poverty”: Chinese President To Deliver Stark Warning In Historic Visit To Davos

January 11, 2017

Essentially, Xi sees the US election and the political turmoil in Europe as an opportunity for China to usher in a new era of bipolarity on the way to -perhaps – unipolarity with China as the world’s only superpower.

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3 Comments on “Populism Leads To War And Poverty”: Chinese President To Deliver Stark Warning In Historic Visit To Davos

Trump Event A Yawner – Unless You Own Biotechs

January 11, 2017

Today’s “main event” turned out to be a bit of a dud. And I don’t

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1 Comment on Trump Event A Yawner – Unless You Own Biotechs

It’s Not All Bad For US Stocks…

January 11, 2017

We can always count on leverage…

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Caption Contest (Vanity)

January 11, 2017

“Definitely my favorite sin”…

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How To Trade Today’s Main Event

January 11, 2017

“You can cut the anticipation with a knife.”

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Wednesday Chart Check (Trump, Brexit, And FX Chaos)

January 11, 2017

The US election and Brexit have a whole lot in common. Both represent the electorate’s

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1 Comment on Wednesday Chart Check (Trump, Brexit, And FX Chaos)

Daily Kickstart (Dear Mexico, We’re Sorry About All This)

January 11, 2017

I think I can probably sum up Wednesday with one sentence and one chart…

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Tuesday Chart Check (Bitcoin Edition)

January 10, 2017January 10, 2017

Sure, many Chinese citizens are so desperate to move money out of the country that they’re

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1 Comment on Tuesday Chart Check (Bitcoin Edition)

Two Thirds Of Americans Say Trump Should Stop Tweeting – For Good

January 10, 2017

“140 characters may not be enough to tell Donald Trump just how much Americans want him to knock off the tweeting.”

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4 Comments on Two Thirds Of Americans Say Trump Should Stop Tweeting – For Good

Trading Trump’s Coronation

January 10, 2017

There’s been nothing ambiguous about investors’ collective reaction to the election of Donald Trump. Once

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John Kerry Slams Trump’s Twitter Addiction, Warns On “Rise Of Authoritarian Populism”

January 10, 2017January 10, 2017

“Every country in the world better start worrying about authoritarian populism and the absence of substance in our dialogue.”

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Liquidity Lapse: Don’t Say You Weren’t Warned

January 10, 2017

The liquidity picture for corporate cash bonds is looking increasingly ugly.

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2 Comments on Liquidity Lapse: Don’t Say You Weren’t Warned

Tuesday Humor (Citi Cuts Goldman To Sell)

January 10, 2017

Them’s fightin’ words…

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1 Comment on Tuesday Humor (Citi Cuts Goldman To Sell)

Tuesday Chart Check (Squeeze Please Edition)

January 10, 2017January 10, 2017

Shaking out the shorts…

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One Trader “Doesn’t Like What He Hears” From Fed Speakers

January 10, 2017

“But don’t they owe us a clear indication of what it would take to actually get March?”

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Daily Kickstart (Go Home Lira, You’re Drunk Edition)

January 10, 2017

“There is still much uncertainty about how his exact economic agenda will look,” Commerzbank’s Thu Lan

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Think The War In Syria Will End In 2017? Think Again.

January 9, 2017

Did you think the war in Syria (which is now coming up on its six year

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • derek on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?
  • Marto on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?
  • DL on A King In Washington
  • Mr. Lucky on A King In Washington

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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