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Featured

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

When The Chips Are Down

September 7, 2020September 7, 2020

Monday was a rough day for Semiconductor Manufacturing International. Shares of China’s top chipmaker plunged

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2 Comments on When The Chips Are Down

We’re All SoftBank. We’re All Masayoshi Son. We’re All Robinhood.

September 7, 2020September 7, 2020

The market did not appear to be amused with the idea of Masayoshi Son, gunslinging

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13 Comments on We’re All SoftBank. We’re All Masayoshi Son. We’re All Robinhood.

Frankenstein

September 6, 2020September 7, 2020

If you were wondering how much SoftBank made buying calls on US tech stocks over

Read More

14 Comments on Frankenstein

Dystopia Revisited: ‘Central-Bankism’ And ‘The Next Normal’

September 6, 2020September 7, 2020

It’s with varying degrees of success that I’ve endeavored to explain to casual readers what,

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11 Comments on Dystopia Revisited: ‘Central-Bankism’ And ‘The Next Normal’

Volatility The Wayward Traveler (Unemployment Abyss 2045)

September 6, 2020September 7, 2020

Perhaps the most important thing to understand about the societal unrest that continues to play

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14 Comments on Volatility The Wayward Traveler (Unemployment Abyss 2045)

Meanwhile, In Credit: More Records

September 5, 2020September 7, 2020

Week after week, it’s the same story: investors’ appetite for corporate credit is insatiable. Although

Read More

6 Comments on Meanwhile, In Credit: More Records

‘We Disagree With Every Element Of This Narrative’: Why One Bank Doubts A Consensus Bond Trade

September 5, 2020September 7, 2020

Lost in the fog of “whale tales” and superseded in the news cycle by the

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1 Comment on ‘We Disagree With Every Element Of This Narrative’: Why One Bank Doubts A Consensus Bond Trade

Whale Tales And Riverboat Gamblers: The Story Of 2020’s Summer Tech Bonanza

September 5, 2020September 7, 2020

“Think back to last week when the bulls were telling us that the market was

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9 Comments on Whale Tales And Riverboat Gamblers: The Story Of 2020’s Summer Tech Bonanza

The Nasdaq Whale

September 4, 2020September 7, 2020

We now know that SoftBank was the “Nasdaq whale”. For at least a week prior

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18 Comments on The Nasdaq Whale

$1.6 Billion Per Hour (And Apple As The ‘Poster Child’ For Right-Tail Repricing)

September 4, 2020September 7, 2020

If you thought the Nasdaq 100’s 30% premium to its 200-day moving average was egregious,

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Leave a Comment on $1.6 Billion Per Hour (And Apple As The ‘Poster Child’ For Right-Tail Repricing)

Charlie McElligott And The Reservoir Dogs Standoff

September 4, 2020September 4, 2020

“Little did you know I meant MINUTES not months”, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott quipped on Friday,

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2 Comments on Charlie McElligott And The Reservoir Dogs Standoff

Permanent Job Losses Surged In August (And Other Reality Checks)

September 4, 2020

And now for the bad news. As is customary in the post-pandemic reality, a quick

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8 Comments on Permanent Job Losses Surged In August (And Other Reality Checks)

August Jobs Report Puts US Nearly Halfway To Recovering Pandemic Losses, Unemployment Rate Drops

September 4, 2020September 4, 2020

Evidence on the US labor market was mixed coming into August payrolls on Friday. Jobless

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3 Comments on August Jobs Report Puts US Nearly Halfway To Recovering Pandemic Losses, Unemployment Rate Drops

‘This Was Not A Rally To Take Seriously’

September 4, 2020September 4, 2020

Global equities took the largest selloff in US shares since June largely in stride, although

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2 Comments on ‘This Was Not A Rally To Take Seriously’

Bill Barr Comes For Google

September 3, 2020

“Way” back on May 16, I wondered if Donald Trump would gamble 20% of the

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6 Comments on Bill Barr Comes For Google

A Badly Needed ‘Crash’

September 3, 2020September 4, 2020

Lost in a truly egregious rout for US equities on Thursday was news that Steve

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5 Comments on A Badly Needed ‘Crash’

Attention-Deficit Disorder

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

On Thursday, investors received a decidedly unwelcome reminder that stocks can (and will) occasionally fall,

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1 Comment on Attention-Deficit Disorder

As Tech Bleeds Red, A Possible Silver Lining Emerges…

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

On Thursday morning, tech shares in the US plunged in what was poised to be

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Leave a Comment on As Tech Bleeds Red, A Possible Silver Lining Emerges…

Nomura’s McElligott: Equities Vol Complex Is ‘Broken,’ ‘Something’s Gotta Give’

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

After a blistering run that conjured every superlative in the dictionary, US equities betrayed the

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7 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Equities Vol Complex Is ‘Broken,’ ‘Something’s Gotta Give’

881,000 (Newly ‘Adjusted’) Jobless Claims — That’s What ‘Good’ Is In 2020

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

The legislature is suffering from a particularly acute bout of paralysis, above and beyond the

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1 Comment on 881,000 (Newly ‘Adjusted’) Jobless Claims — That’s What ‘Good’ Is In 2020

Boiling And Launching

September 3, 2020September 3, 2020

“If related enterprises are transferring technology abroad during trade, investment or technical cooperation that fall

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1 Comment on Boiling And Launching

Color Me Skeptical

September 2, 2020September 3, 2020

In what certainly felt like a combination of capitulation and forced buying, US equities accelerated

Read More

9 Comments on Color Me Skeptical

A Disputed Election And An ‘Institutionalized Powell Put’

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

A few weeks back, I documented the extent to which Wall Street is preparing for

Read More

2 Comments on A Disputed Election And An ‘Institutionalized Powell Put’

Bridgewater ‘Tweaks’ Risk Parity Model, Moves Into Gold As Bonds Get More Risky

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

“Is risk parity dead?” probably isn’t the right question. In the same vein, “the end

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16 Comments on Bridgewater ‘Tweaks’ Risk Parity Model, Moves Into Gold As Bonds Get More Risky

Zoom, Gamma, And A Big Picture Read On ‘An Extremely Unstable Situation’

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

Following Tuesday’s absurd run-up in shares of Zoom, it’s worth taking a moment to say

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7 Comments on Zoom, Gamma, And A Big Picture Read On ‘An Extremely Unstable Situation’

ADP Misses By A Mile, Clouding Outlook For August Jobs Report

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

Given ADP’s recent track record vis-à-vis NFP, I suppose it would be foolish to put

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6 Comments on ADP Misses By A Mile, Clouding Outlook For August Jobs Report

First World Problems

September 2, 2020September 2, 2020

Predictably, the euro pulled back Wednesday after Philip Lane emphasized that the currency “does matter”

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1 Comment on First World Problems

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • hackpoet on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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