Throat Punch: Fed Plans Derailed As CPI Torches Doves Again
Bad news! Underlying inflation in the US overshot expectations for a third consecutive month in
Wanted: Viable Bear Cases
Equity bears are caught in a kind of insanity loop. Generally speaking, bear cases fall
Skew Has A Story To Tell
“I’m just waiting for an update on skew.” So said one reader last week. That
Joe Biden Has A Small Business Problem
Small businesses in the US are feeling pretty glum these days. That’s bad news. As
Comrades Counteracting
It’s been half a dozen years since Sergei Lavrov met formally, one-on-one with Xi Jinping
The Policy Catalysts For Gold’s Monumental Rally
Gold’s big move is big news. It’s also a big mystery. As discussed at some
Kolanovic And Wilson Embrace Energy Bull Case
“We are not out of the woods yet on inflation,” JPMorgan analysts led by Marko
Quietly Bad: NY Fed Survey Sends Ominous Signals
If you’re the type who tracks each and every incoming macro release out of the
McElligott Returns, Talks Tail Risks, Vol ‘Phase Shift’
Previously smooth Sharpes on short-vol trades are “getting chopped up” as traders see fatter tail
‘Priorities Have Clearly Changed’: Wall Street Has A New Top Bull
Manish Kabra’s reign as Wall Street’s biggest stock bull lasted as long as Savita Subramanian’s.
What The Hell’s Going On With Gold?
Gold was in the headlines on Monday. Still. It was still in the headlines. Atahualpa’s
Who’s Winning The 2024 Flows Race?
2024’s on track to be a banner year for money market fund inflows. But you
US Inflation Cliffhanger Headlines Big Week For Markets
It’s CPI week in the US. [Insert ominous cliché] Wednesday’s release isn’t the last inflation
ECB, China, Bernanke BoE Review Top Global Macro Agenda
An update on US inflation and the start of earnings season for corporate America will
Bits, Bytes And Bubbles
A few days ago, I explained why the AI “bubble” label may be a misleading
Earnings Season’s Here! What To Expect From Corporate America
Earnings season’s here! Who’s excited? If your hand’s raised, you need to get out more.
Behold: The Great Golden Disconnect
Gold’s an inverse real yields play. Everyone knows that. It’s axiomatic. If you’re not enamored
Trillions Sits Out Stock Rally As Money Fund AUM Balloons
When will money market funds start to drain? I’m a little weary of that question
Another Barnburner: US Labor Market Steams Ahead
Stop me if you’ve heard this intro before: The US economy added far more jobs
I Thought I Saw A Terrorist
The Israeli military’s “deeply” sorry for killing seven food volunteers in Gaza earlier this week.
Money Market Fund Assets Surge Back To Record High
Money market funds snapped a “streak” of redemptions in the week to April 3. Emphatically.
Not Cutting It?
The Fed may not cut rates this year. So intimated Neel Kashkari on Thursday, when
Why The ‘AI Bubble’ Label Is Misleading
Given the ubiquity of the “Magnificent 7” in market discourse, the prevalence of bear narratives
Searching For America’s Missing Recession
It’s hard to make a recession case for the US economy. Mostly because the US
Netanyahu’s An Intolerable Liability. Biden Should Cut Him Loose
I’m sure it occurred to Benjamin Netanyahu that bombing the Iranian embassy in Damascus had
Immigration, Inflation And R-Star
Walling off America to immigrants is a bad idea. Unless you’re a Native American in
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