China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway
After spending the better part of a year engineering a series of overlapping crises in
China’s Export Machine Shows ‘No Signs Of Slowing’
China’s economy may be beset with difficulties, but trade remains robust. Exports and imports both
The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk
What happens to the US equity market if macro volatility rises as a result of
Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’
We’ve seen it before. The Fed pivots hawkish, only to recant in the face of
More Noise Than Signal
I’d call it a testament to rampant uncertainty, but it’s probably more accurate to say
Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis
Another day, another selloff in Chinese tech shares. The Hang Seng Tech Index dove more
China Slashes RRR As Economy Teeters
Just one business day after Premier Li Keqiang tipped incremental policy easing aimed at bolstering
Nothing Is More Political Than Inflation
Towards the end of “Bad Optics,” I spoke briefly about the political ramifications of persistently
Bad Optics
Traders will attempt to find their way back from “dark places” in the new week.
Zeitgeist: Tightening Into A Slowdown
A consensus is forming around the notion that the Fed is on the brink of
Omicron Cuts Begin: Goldman Slashes US Growth Forecast
In the days following the first Omicron headlines and associated post-holiday market tumult in the
Bitcoin, Crypto ‘Liquidated’ In Saturday Plunge
“As usual, since crypto traders deploy leverage, it results in cascading sell orders and liquidations,”
Weird, Wild And Crazy
On Friday, someone described the November jobs report as “one of the weirdest I’ve ever
Under The Hood Of The November Jobs Report
Apparently, November’s US jobs report admitted of “too many takeaways” to quickly process. That was
Good News Is Definitely Bad News Now
For once, “scorching” isn’t hyperbole. The US services sector is on fire, according to the
Jobs Report Misses Big, But Unemployment Rate Drops Sharply
The US economy added just 210,000 jobs last month, the government said Friday. The headline
‘I Quit. No, You’re Fired.’
“You’re fired.” “No, I quit.” That, in a nutshell, describes the state of play for
In Turkey, An Autocrat Goes All-In
After years spent living in denial, emerging market watchers finally came around to the reality
Germany’s State Of Exception
Someone, somewhere is aggrieved. Germany on Thursday agreed to institute sweeping restrictions on the unvaccinated
Markets Turn ‘Shockingly Dysfunctional’
If you get the feeling markets are dysfunctional, it’s not just your imagination. Over the
Jobless Claims Stay Low, Congress Averts Government Shutdown
A week after falling to the lowest level since 1969, US jobless claims rose. But
Apples, Hawks And Boosters
Uncertainty lingered on Thursday, as traders assessed a smattering of Omicron headlines, more relatively hawkish
Kolanovic Asks: What If Omicron Ends Up Being Bullish?
JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic has a few questions about the Omicron variant and associated turmoil across
Adaptation
Can you blame them? That’s what I’d ask of anyone inclined to criticize retail investors
None Of It Was Transitory After All
It was an “in line” kind of day for US data. Shortly after ADP said
Employers Add Half-Million Jobs As Omicron Looms Over December
US private sector employers added 534,000 jobs in November, ADP said Wednesday. That was slightly
OECD: Vaccinate The World. It’s A Lot Cheaper
The OECD had a simple suggestion for advanced economies on Wednesday: Vaccinate the world. It’s
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