Powell Gets Rally Fed May Live To Regret
In the wake of a very encouraging US CPI report, I suggested the Fed may
US Home Prices, Mortgage Payments Notch Simultaneous Records
Mortgage rates in the US are a whisker away from a seven-handle, but home prices
FTC Launches ‘Expansive’ OpenAI Probe In Preemptive Strike
“I’m with the government, and I’m here to help.” “Help investigate you, that is.” The
US Producer Prices Flatline. Jobless Claims Stay Low
In what looked like another constructive development on the inflation front in the US, producer
Troubled Chinese Economy Suffers Worst Export Slump Since Pandemic
China better hope the rest of the world dodges a recession. A set of unfortunate
Is The Inflation Battle Won?
It’s possible that Wednesday’s CPI release in the US marked a turning point in the
Fed Faces Market Eager For Last Hike
Backing away from the inflation fight too soon would be a recipe for disaster. That’s
As Dollar Plunges, Fed May Fear November Redux
Needless to say, Wednesday’s US inflation figures pulled the rug out for the dollar. This
Fed Spots Light At Tunnel’s End In Benign US CPI Report
Drum roll! The most important US CPI report since… well, since last month’s report, showed
Canada Pushes Rates To 22-Year High
The Bank of Canada pressed ahead with another rate hike on Wednesday, the second consecutive
Make Or Break Something
Earlier this week, Wall Street’s most prominent bear suggested the recent spike in bond volatility
Irrelevant Playbooks?
How is this cycle different? Let me count the ways. On second thought, let me
War And Recession. What Else?
If you’re a thrill seeker, “CPI eve” sessions in the pandemic era can be tedious
Small Businesses Offer More Cautious Evidence Of Disinflation
If it’s more incremental, under-the-radar evidence to support the disinflation narrative you’re after, the latest
JPMorgan ‘Firmly Negative’ On Stocks Amid ‘Full-Swing FOMO’
“We retain a firmly negative stance in equities.” So said JPMorgan analysts led by Marko
Does Xi Still Know What He’s Doing?
Sad pictures of unfinished residential buildings. Cranes. Stock photos of the PBoC. Statistics on local
Is The US Consumer Finally Exhausted?
Americans are dialing back on borrowing in the face of economic uncertainty and higher financing
A Very ‘Significant Development’
Last week, in “Too Hot,” I insisted on the idea that the trek higher for
Inflation Headaches
There’s something about the NY Fed consumer survey that gives me a headache. Not literally.
Big Drop In Used Car Prices Helps Disinflation Stars Align
There was more incrementally good news on the inflation front Monday in the US, when
Liquidity And One Great Narrative
2023’s US equity rally is all about two things (and they aren’t mutually exclusive): The
Mike Wilson Asks: ‘Do Earnings Matter?’
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson has a question. Maybe you can answer it. “Do earnings matter?”
Local Protection Racket Struggles To Ward Off Deflation
Xi Jinping may be done bleeding China’s largest tech firms (for now), but a purported
Huge Disparity Opens Between Year-End Stock Forecasts
Some readers are probably tired, by now, of hearing me insist on the futility of
Slowly But Surely?
Data due this week will show core inflation in the US ran at two and
As Bad As It Gets? What To Expect From Earnings Season
Reporting season is upon us in the US and according to consensus, Q2 was the
Rapprochement Or Platitudes?
Not surprisingly, Janet Yellen’s high-profile trip to Beijing was long on nebulous soundbites and short
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